Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Texas El Paso   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 9, 2010.

Texas El Paso

Conference:CUSA
Expected RPI:38.1
Current RPI:41
Expected SOS:116
Current Record:24-5
Expected Record:26-6
Current Conf Record:15-1
Expected Conf Record:17-2
Expected Conf Tourney Record:2-1
Probability of Auto Bid:34.11%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:3-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:5-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:7-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:10-0
Current OOC Record:9-4
Expected OOC Record:9-4
Expected OOC RPI:135
Expected OOC SOS:180


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
27-584.38%29.934.11%
26-681.25%38.423.39%
25-680.65%43.229.86%
24-680.00%48.112.63%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Texas El Paso.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Texas Southern (228.0)SWACH89-70W100%0.0
11-18Arkansas Pine Bluff (191.1)SWACH70-52W100%0.0
11-21Arkansas St. (202.1)SBH82-56W100%0.0
11-25North Carolina A&T (300.7)MEACH81-66W100%0.0
12-1New Mexico St. (68.9)WACA79-58W100%0.0
12-13New Mexico St. (68.9)WACH80-87L0%0.0
12-16Mississippi (56.3)SECN81-91L0%0.0
12-19Alcorn St. (346.0)SWACH101-41W100%0.0
12-21Oklahoma (114.4)B12N89-74W100%0.0
12-28Norfolk St. (260.0)MEACH93-56W100%0.0
12-29Air Force (258.0)MWCH58-47W100%0.0
1-3Texas Tech (76.5)B12A78-86L0%0.0
1-6Southern Methodist (198.9)CUSAH49-45W100%0.0
1-9Brigham Young (19.0)MWCH77-83L0%0.0
1-13Houston (158.6)CUSAA65-75L0%0.0
1-16Southern Mississippi (123.6)CUSAH56-49W100%0.0
1-20Memphis (48.8)CUSAA72-67W100%0.0
1-23Central Florida (197.8)CUSAA96-59W100%0.0
1-27Tulane (278.6)CUSAH84-71W100%0.0
1-30UAB (40.8)CUSAA74-65W100%0.0
2-3Houston (158.6)CUSAH65-58W100%0.0
2-6Tulsa (69.4)CUSAH73-59W100%0.0
2-10Southern Methodist (198.9)CUSAA62-51W100%0.0
2-13East Carolina (229.5)CUSAH100-76W100%0.0
2-20Tulsa (69.4)CUSAA78-70W100%0.0
2-24Southern Mississippi (123.6)CUSAA59-56W100%0.0
2-27Rice (309.7)CUSAH78-64W100%0.0
3-2Marshall (60.4)CUSAA80-76W100%0.0
3-6UAB (40.8)CUSAH52-50W100%0.0