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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

Texas El Paso

Conference:CUSA
Expected RPI:180.1
Current RPI:188
Expected SOS:95
Current Record:10-13
Expected Record:14-18
Current Conf Record:3-6
Expected Conf Record:7-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:1-1
Probability of Auto Bid:0.92%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-3
Current OOC Record:7-7
Expected OOC Record:7-7
Expected OOC RPI:144
Expected OOC SOS:78


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
20-1458.82%68.50.04%
19-1457.58%83.00.01%
18-1456.25%113.00.01%
19-1555.88%84.80.12%
17-1454.84%126.20.04%
18-1554.55%109.40.21%
17-1553.12%126.60.60%
18-1652.94%99.10.44%
16-1551.61%145.10.83%
17-1651.52%121.41.15%
17-1750.00%113.90.86%
16-1650.00%141.73.24%
16-1748.48%136.01.70%
15-1648.39%162.93.75%
16-1847.06%128.61.27%
15-1746.88%154.89.79%
15-1845.45%151.32.13%
14-1745.16%180.210.47%
15-1944.12%144.30.74%
14-1843.75%170.713.13%
14-1942.42%166.82.32%
13-1841.94%196.415.25%
14-2041.18%158.70.22%
13-1940.62%189.19.13%
13-2039.39%185.00.99%
12-1938.71%211.012.40%
13-2138.24%173.50.04%
12-2037.50%205.62.50%
12-2136.36%197.30.20%
11-2035.48%224.45.12%
11-2134.38%218.30.28%
10-2132.26%237.21.01%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Texas El Paso.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Texas San Antonio (159.9)SlndH64-73L0%0.0
11-13UC Riverside (257.2)BWH52-41W100%0.0
11-19New Mexico St. (67.9)WACA89-73L0%0.0
11-26Stephen F. Austin (246.7)SlndH35-53L0%0.0
11-29Oregon (92.4)P12A64-59L0%0.0
12-11New Mexico St. (67.9)WACH73-69W100%0.0
12-14Nevada Las Vegas (14.8)MWCA65-54L0%0.0
12-17Southern (280.2)SWACH87-57W100%0.0
12-19McNeese St. (207.5)SlndH69-54W100%0.0
12-22Clemson (165.8)ACCN48-61W100%0.0
12-23Kansas St. (49.5)B12N78-70L0%0.0
12-25Auburn (159.9)SECN83-76W100%0.0
12-28Colorado St. (42.4)MWCH53-56L0%0.0
12-29Arkansas Pine Bluff (322.7)SWACH79-58W100%0.0
1-4Marshall (62.5)CUSAA76-60L0%0.0
1-7Houston (235.4)CUSAH70-50W100%0.0
1-11Tulsa (106.2)CUSAA59-48L0%0.0
1-14Southern Methodist (217.6)CUSAH70-64W100%0.0
1-18East Carolina (158.6)CUSAH70-56W100%0.0
1-21Tulane (171.0)CUSAA66-58L0%0.0
1-28Houston (235.4)CUSAA81-76L0%0.0
2-1Rice (180.2)CUSAA77-75L0%0.0
2-4UAB (146.2)CUSAH60-61L0%0.0
2-8Tulsa (106.2)CUSAH0-049%-0.2
2-11Tulane (171.0)CUSAH0-058%2.2
2-18Memphis (33.8)CUSAA0-010%-14.0
2-22Southern Mississippi (18.2)CUSAH0-035%-4.3
2-25Central Florida (77.0)CUSAA0-028%-6.4
2-29Rice (180.2)CUSAH0-066%4.5
3-3Southern Methodist (217.6)CUSAA0-053%0.7