Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Texas Christian   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Texas Christian

Conference:MWC
Expected RPI:188.1
Current RPI:189
Expected SOS:78
Current Record:11-19
Expected Record:11-19
Current Conf Record:5-12
Expected Conf Record:5-12
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-6
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:10-0
Current OOC Record:6-7
Expected OOC Record:6-7
Expected OOC RPI:206
Expected OOC SOS:172


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
11-1936.67%188.1100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Texas Christian.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-16Cal St. Northridge (251.7)BWN83-65W100%0.0
11-17Arizona St. (63.4)P10A49-52L0%0.0
11-21Nebraska (148.7)B12A77-90L0%0.0
11-23Colgate (290.0)PatH76-63W100%0.0
11-24Texas St. (242.5)SlndH108-99W100%0.0
11-28Louisiana Tech (77.1)WACH63-68L0%0.0
12-2Southern Methodist (208.1)CUSAA60-53W100%0.0
12-8Texas Tech (71.6)B12H70-80L0%0.0
12-12Wichita St. (42.8)MVCA68-80L0%0.0
12-23Houston (126.1)CUSAA81-105L0%0.0
12-30Northern Colorado (116.7)BSkyH53-64L0%0.0
1-2Rice (311.0)CUSAH70-58W100%0.0
1-6Air Force (244.3)MWCH59-50W100%0.0
1-9Utah (156.1)MWCA45-65L0%0.0
1-12Wyoming (227.6)MWCH62-59W100%0.0
1-16San Diego St. (24.6)MWCA62-67L0%0.0
1-20Texas Pan American (336.0)GWCH70-58W100%0.0
1-23Nevada Las Vegas (40.1)MWCH70-79L0%0.0
1-27Colorado St. (119.8)MWCA57-63L0%0.0
1-30New Mexico (10.5)MWCH57-73L0%0.0
2-2Brigham Young (21.9)MWCA56-76L0%0.0
2-6Air Force (244.3)MWCA65-51W100%0.0
2-10Utah (156.1)MWCH55-64L0%0.0
2-13Wyoming (227.6)MWCA76-68W100%0.0
2-16San Diego St. (24.6)MWCH51-68L0%0.0
2-24Nevada Las Vegas (40.1)MWCA62-78L0%0.0
2-27Colorado St. (119.8)MWCH73-67W100%0.0
3-3New Mexico (10.5)MWCA66-73L0%0.0
3-6Brigham Young (21.9)MWCH77-107L0%0.0
3-11Brigham Young (21.9)MWCN85-95L0%0.0