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Through games of Mar 16, 2014.

UIC

Conference:Horz
Expected RPI:315.0
Current RPI:315
Expected SOS:183
Current Record:4-25
Expected Record:4-25
Current Conf Record:1-16
Expected Conf Record:1-16
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-7
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-11
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:2-7
Current OOC Record:3-9
Expected OOC Record:3-9
Expected OOC RPI:279
Expected OOC SOS:217


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
4-2513.79%315.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for UIC.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-9Drake (174.0)MVCH59-61L0%0.0
11-16Eastern Illinois (291.0)OVCH66-86L0%0.0
11-20Northwestern (123.0)B10H58-93L0%0.0
11-25San Diego (156.0)WCCN74-70W100%0.0
11-26Louisiana Tech (62.0)CUSAN78-103L0%0.0
11-27Wagner (218.0)NECN76-94W100%0.0
12-4SMU (53.0)AmerH65-73L0%0.0
12-7Loyola Chicago (288.0)MVCA73-70L0%0.0
12-14Southeast Missouri St. (257.0)OVCA69-75W100%0.0
12-20UC Riverside (319.0)BWA57-56L0%0.0
12-23Colorado St. (182.0)MWCA74-61L0%0.0
12-28Illinois (70.0)B10N74-60L0%0.0
1-2Valparaiso (184.0)HorzA87-72L0%0.0
1-7Youngstown St. (237.0)HorzH62-75L0%0.0
1-12Wright St. (173.0)HorzA58-53L0%0.0
1-16Milwaukee (131.0)HorzH63-67L0%0.0
1-19Green Bay (58.0)HorzH64-69L0%0.0
1-22Cleveland St. (91.0)HorzH64-74L0%0.0
1-25Oakland (181.0)HorzA76-75L0%0.0
1-29Detroit (230.0)HorzA74-68L0%0.0
2-1Valparaiso (184.0)HorzH46-70L0%0.0
2-5Green Bay (58.0)HorzA81-70L0%0.0
2-13Cleveland St. (91.0)HorzA73-53L0%0.0
2-15Youngstown St. (237.0)HorzA59-56L0%0.0
2-18Detroit (230.0)HorzH59-65L0%0.0
2-21Oakland (181.0)HorzH71-86L0%0.0
2-25Milwaukee (131.0)HorzA58-80W100%0.0
3-1Wright St. (173.0)HorzH61-68L0%0.0
3-4Valparaiso (184.0)HorzA73-63L0%0.0