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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

North Carolina St.

Conference:ACC
Expected RPI:49.0
Current RPI:49
Expected SOS:26
Current Record:22-12
Expected Record:22-12
Current Conf Record:11-8
Expected Conf Record:11-8
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-8
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:5-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:8-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-0
Current OOC Record:11-4
Expected OOC Record:11-4
Expected OOC RPI:43
Expected OOC SOS:21


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
22-1264.71%49.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for North Carolina St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11NC Asheville (104.0)BSthH84-75W100%0.0
11-13Morehead St. (166.0)OVCH91-61W100%0.0
11-16Princeton (87.0)IvyH60-58W100%0.0
11-19Vanderbilt (18.0)SECN79-86L0%0.0
11-21Texas (50.0)B12N74-77W100%0.0
11-25Elon (228.0)SCH82-67W100%0.0
11-30Indiana (17.0)B10H75-86L0%0.0
12-4Stanford (97.0)P12A76-72L0%0.0
12-11North Carolina Central (233.0)MEACH65-60W100%0.0
12-17Syracuse (1.0)BEH72-88L0%0.0
12-20St. Bonaventure (72.0)A10N65-67W100%0.0
12-22Northeastern (172.0)CAAH88-59W100%0.0
12-29Campbell (206.0)BSthH87-81W100%0.0
12-31Western Carolina (220.0)SCH82-55W100%0.0
1-4Delaware St. (249.0)MEACH78-44W100%0.0
1-8Maryland (105.0)ACCH79-74W100%0.0
1-11Georgia Tech (197.0)ACCH71-82L0%0.0
1-14Wake Forest (183.0)ACCA40-76W100%0.0
1-19Boston College (244.0)ACCH76-62W100%0.0
1-22Miami FL (60.0)ACCA73-78W100%0.0
1-26North Carolina (3.0)ACCA74-55L0%0.0
1-28Virginia (53.0)ACCH60-61L0%0.0
2-1Boston College (244.0)ACCA51-56W100%0.0
2-4Wake Forest (183.0)ACCH87-76W100%0.0
2-9Georgia Tech (197.0)ACCA52-61W100%0.0
2-16Duke (5.0)ACCA78-73L0%0.0
2-18Florida St. (11.0)ACCH62-76L0%0.0
2-21North Carolina (3.0)ACCH74-86L0%0.0
2-25Clemson (151.0)ACCA72-69L0%0.0
2-29Miami FL (60.0)ACCH77-73W100%0.0
3-4Virginia Tech (116.0)ACCA58-70W100%0.0
3-8Boston College (244.0)ACCN78-57W100%0.0
3-9Virginia (53.0)ACCN64-67W100%0.0
3-10North Carolina (3.0)ACCN69-67L0%0.0