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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

North Carolina St.

Expected RPI:123.0
Current RPI:123
Expected SOS:47
Current Record:16-17
Expected Record:16-17
Current Conf Record:6-14
Expected Conf Record:6-14
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-7
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-8
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:8-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:5-0
Current OOC Record:10-3
Expected OOC Record:10-3
Expected OOC RPI:86
Expected OOC SOS:145


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for North Carolina St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13William & Mary (67.0)CAAH68-85L0%0.0
11-15South Alabama (240.0)SBH88-70W100%0.0
11-18IUPUI (189.0)SumH79-56W100%0.0
11-23Arizona St. (99.0)P12N79-76L0%0.0
11-24LSU (94.0)SECN83-72W100%0.0
11-27Winthrop (130.0)BSthH87-79W100%0.0
12-1Michigan (56.0)B10H59-66L0%0.0
12-5Bucknell (183.0)PatH99-86W100%0.0
12-13South Florida (230.0)AmerA46-65W100%0.0
12-16High Point (158.0)BSthH76-73W100%0.0
12-19Missouri (222.0)SECA59-73W100%0.0
12-22UNC Greensboro (237.0)SCH58-52W100%0.0
12-29Northeastern (109.0)CAAH72-66W100%0.0
1-2Virginia Tech (89.0)ACCA73-68L0%0.0
1-7Louisville (17.0)ACCH72-77L0%0.0
1-10Wake Forest (159.0)ACCA77-74L0%0.0
1-13Florida St. (82.0)ACCH78-85L0%0.0
1-16North Carolina (5.0)ACCA67-55L0%0.0
1-19Pittsburgh (53.0)ACCA61-78W100%0.0
1-23Duke (20.0)ACCH78-88L0%0.0
1-27Georgia Tech (69.0)ACCH83-90L0%0.0
1-30Miami FL (9.0)ACCH85-69W100%0.0
2-1Florida St. (82.0)ACCA77-73L0%0.0
2-6Duke (20.0)ACCA88-80L0%0.0
2-13Wake Forest (159.0)ACCH99-88W100%0.0
2-15Virginia (3.0)ACCA73-53L0%0.0
2-20Clemson (131.0)ACCH77-74W100%0.0
2-24North Carolina (5.0)ACCH68-80L0%0.0
2-27Syracuse (72.0)ACCA75-66L0%0.0
3-2Boston College (250.0)ACCH73-72W100%0.0
3-5Notre Dame (31.0)ACCA89-75L0%0.0
3-8Wake Forest (159.0)ACCN75-72W100%0.0
3-9Duke (20.0)ACCN92-89L0%0.0