Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  North Carolina St.   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

North Carolina St.

Conference:ACC
Expected RPI:92.6
Current RPI:91
Expected SOS:68
Current Record:19-14
Expected Record:19-15
Current Conf Record:7-11
Expected Conf Record:7-12
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-1
Probability of Auto Bid:0.56%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:5-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-0
Current OOC Record:12-3
Expected OOC Record:12-3
Expected OOC RPI:109
Expected OOC SOS:243


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
22-1461.11%71.20.56%
21-1558.33%77.05.36%
20-1557.14%85.620.75%
19-1555.88%95.873.33%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for North Carolina St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-12Georgia St. (248.0)CAAH69-53W100%0.0
11-20Akron (84.2)MACN66-45W100%0.0
11-21Austin Peay (162.2)OVCN66-59W100%0.0
11-22Auburn (156.5)SECN60-58W100%0.0
11-29New Orleans (323.2)SBH69-52W100%0.0
12-1Northwestern (115.0)B10H53-65L0%0.0
12-5Marquette (49.5)BEA77-73W100%0.0
12-12Georgia Southern (288.0)SCH75-57W100%0.0
12-17Elon (269.0)SCH79-76W100%0.0
12-20Wake Forest (40.6)ACCA59-67L0%0.0
12-23Arizona (95.4)P10A74-76L0%0.0
12-29Winthrop (159.8)BSthH68-52W100%0.0
12-31NC Greensboro (249.3)SCA89-67W100%0.0
1-3Florida (54.2)SECH61-62L0%0.0
1-6Holy Cross (272.4)PatH87-70W100%0.0
1-9Virginia (126.0)ACCH62-70L0%0.0
1-12Florida St. (41.5)ACCA88-81W100%0.0
1-16Clemson (34.3)ACCH70-73L0%0.0
1-20Duke (2.8)ACCH88-74W100%0.0
1-23Maryland (22.1)ACCA64-88L0%0.0
1-26North Carolina (94.1)ACCH63-77L0%0.0
1-30North Carolina Central (347.0)indH77-42W100%0.0
2-3Virginia (126.0)ACCA47-59L0%0.0
2-6Georgia Tech (36.8)ACCA71-73L0%0.0
2-10Virginia Tech (56.6)ACCH52-72L0%0.0
2-13North Carolina (94.1)ACCA61-74L0%0.0
2-17Maryland (22.1)ACCH58-67L0%0.0
2-20Wake Forest (40.6)ACCH68-54W100%0.0
2-27Miami FL (95.7)ACCA71-66W100%0.0
3-3Virginia Tech (56.6)ACCA59-71L0%0.0
3-7Boston College (124.9)ACCH66-54W100%0.0
3-11Clemson (34.3)ACCN59-57W100%0.0
3-12Florida St. (41.5)ACCN58-52W100%0.0