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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

Louisiana Tech

Conference:WAC
Expected RPI:205.7
Current RPI:189
Expected SOS:169
Current Record:9-12
Expected Record:13-17
Current Conf Record:3-5
Expected Conf Record:5-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-1
Probability of Auto Bid:1.75%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-3
Current OOC Record:6-7
Expected OOC Record:8-7
Expected OOC RPI:194
Expected OOC SOS:255


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
18-1358.06%136.00.01%
17-1356.67%141.80.04%
18-1456.25%119.10.14%
17-1454.84%138.80.19%
16-1453.33%161.40.35%
17-1553.12%130.50.62%
16-1551.61%154.71.27%
16-1650.00%148.91.49%
15-1550.00%176.83.09%
15-1648.39%171.53.68%
15-1746.88%164.92.34%
14-1646.67%192.611.86%
14-1745.16%188.86.15%
14-1843.75%183.51.79%
13-1743.33%207.524.18%
13-1841.94%205.55.11%
13-1940.62%199.60.59%
12-1840.00%221.922.26%
12-1938.71%219.91.74%
12-2037.50%212.40.13%
11-1936.67%235.910.08%
11-2035.48%232.50.51%
11-2134.38%222.00.01%
10-2033.33%250.32.14%
10-2132.26%248.20.04%
9-2130.00%266.40.18%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Louisiana Tech.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-19Texas Arlington (85.3)SlndA68-61L0%0.0
11-25Maryland Eastern Shore (319.8)MEACN73-54W100%0.0
11-26Portland St. (206.9)BSkyN66-48L0%0.0
11-27Wyoming (58.0)MWCA73-58L0%0.0
11-30Southeastern Louisiana (326.4)SlndA72-69L0%0.0
12-3Louisiana Monroe (324.7)SBA71-73W100%0.0
12-6Northwestern St. (179.3)SlndH94-93W100%0.0
12-10Southern Mississippi (18.2)CUSAA78-62L0%0.0
12-14McNeese St. (207.5)SlndH60-58W100%0.0
12-17Arkansas Little Rock (187.9)SBH71-68W100%0.0
12-20Northeastern (165.1)CAAH56-53W100%0.0
12-22Arkansas (71.4)SECA77-63L0%0.0
12-31Southern Methodist (217.6)CUSAA73-65L0%0.0
1-7New Mexico St. (67.9)WACH73-83L0%0.0
1-12Idaho (164.8)WACH88-90L0%0.0
1-14Utah St. (129.7)WACH65-69L0%0.0
1-19Hawaii (185.9)WACA70-74W100%0.0
1-21San Jose St. (278.3)WACA67-71W100%0.0
1-26Fresno St. (181.1)WACH59-58W100%0.0
1-28Nevada (62.8)WACH63-65L0%0.0
2-4New Mexico St. (67.9)WACA83-72L0%0.0
2-9Utah St. (129.7)WACA0-018%-10.0
2-11Idaho (164.8)WACA0-023%-8.2
2-16North Dakota (250.8)GWCH0-073%6.6
2-18Central Arkansas (299.9)SlndH0-086%11.6
2-23San Jose St. (278.3)WACH0-074%6.9
2-25Hawaii (185.9)WACH0-052%0.4
3-1Fresno St. (181.1)WACA0-024%-7.8
3-3Nevada (62.8)WACA0-014%-11.6