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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

Kent St.

Conference:MAC
Expected RPI:82.5
Current RPI:96
Expected SOS:148
Current Record:15-6
Expected Record:21-10
Current Conf Record:6-3
Expected Conf Record:12-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:1-1
Probability of Auto Bid:14.05%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:7-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:12-1
Current OOC Record:9-3
Expected OOC Record:10-3
Expected OOC RPI:74
Expected OOC SOS:183


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
26-681.25%24.00.30%
25-778.12%33.22.11%
24-777.42%51.40.65%
23-776.67%63.70.57%
25-875.76%34.00.03%
24-875.00%43.16.07%
23-874.19%61.73.97%
22-873.33%75.13.00%
24-972.73%54.20.50%
23-971.88%54.78.41%
22-970.97%72.58.61%
21-970.00%86.97.63%
23-1069.70%67.41.69%
22-1068.75%70.17.00%
21-1067.74%86.210.92%
22-1166.67%80.92.37%
20-1066.67%99.17.92%
21-1165.62%91.55.21%
20-1164.52%104.98.04%
21-1263.64%94.81.31%
19-1163.33%112.73.81%
20-1262.50%108.22.37%
19-1261.29%122.53.77%
20-1360.61%102.00.30%
18-1260.00%129.11.12%
19-1359.38%117.90.45%
18-1358.06%133.71.16%
19-1457.58%120.00.01%
17-1356.67%144.50.35%
18-1456.25%126.30.10%
17-1454.84%142.60.16%
16-1453.33%156.50.04%
16-1551.61%141.00.02%
15-1550.00%172.50.02%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Kent St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-15West Virginia (33.4)BEA60-70W100%0.0
11-19Alcorn St. (330.4)SWACH77-58W100%0.0
11-22Cleveland St. (55.0)HorzH53-57L0%0.0
11-28Louisiana Lafayette (158.5)SBH76-67W100%0.0
12-1Morehead St. (185.5)OVCH83-63W100%0.0
12-3UAB (146.2)CUSAH57-48W100%0.0
12-6James Madison (249.9)CAAA51-71W100%0.0
12-10Western Carolina (257.4)SCA56-58W100%0.0
12-20St. Peter's (280.4)MAACN67-58W100%0.0
12-21Texas Arlington (85.3)SlndN74-73L0%0.0
12-22Utah St. (129.7)WACA81-62L0%0.0
12-29Arkansas St. (229.8)SBA54-69W100%0.0
1-7Buffalo (65.6)MACA66-65L0%0.0
1-11Miami OH (208.4)MACH71-67W100%0.0
1-14Bowling Green (155.4)MACH92-87W100%0.0
1-18Ohio (61.7)MACA87-65L0%0.0
1-21Akron (44.8)MACA84-75L0%0.0
1-25Northern Illinois (337.7)MACH90-56W100%0.0
1-28Toledo (273.3)MACA61-77W100%0.0
1-31Central Michigan (271.5)MACA60-67W100%0.0
2-4Western Michigan (182.0)MACH78-73W100%0.0
2-8Eastern Michigan (253.1)MACA0-081%9.5
2-11Ball St. (218.9)MACH0-078%8.3
2-14Buffalo (65.6)MACH0-056%1.7
2-18College of Charleston (122.2)SCH0-074%7.0
2-21Miami OH (208.4)MACA0-061%3.0
2-25Bowling Green (155.4)MACA0-046%-1.0
2-29Ohio (61.7)MACH0-056%1.8
3-3Akron (44.8)MACH0-050%0.1