Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Brigham Young   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 6, 2010.

Brigham Young

Conference:MWC
Expected RPI:14.8
Current RPI:21
Expected SOS:107
Current Record:21-3
Expected Record:29-4
Current Conf Record:7-2
Expected Conf Record:15-3
Expected Conf Tourney Record:2-1
Probability of Auto Bid:40.53%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:3-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:5-0
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:9-0
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:10-0
Current OOC Record:14-1
Expected OOC Record:14-1
Expected OOC RPI:26
Expected OOC SOS:173


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
31-391.18%8.816.15%
30-488.24%11.227.68%
29-487.88%14.38.85%
28-487.50%16.91.45%
29-585.29%14.417.63%
28-584.85%18.910.91%
27-584.38%23.62.02%
28-682.35%18.95.39%
27-681.82%23.95.55%
26-681.25%30.31.34%
27-779.41%24.61.13%
26-778.79%29.81.18%
25-778.12%38.50.32%
26-876.47%31.10.10%
25-875.76%36.00.18%
24-875.00%47.40.05%
25-973.53%36.00.01%
24-972.73%45.80.05%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Brigham Young.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Bradley (117.8)MVCH70-60W100%0.0
11-17Idaho St. (276.8)BSkyH87-53W100%0.0
11-20Hawaii (236.5)WACA83-65W100%0.0
11-24Southern (342.4)SWACH107-51W100%0.0
11-27Weber St. (77.6)BSkyH87-70W100%0.0
12-2Utah St. (31.5)WACA61-71L0%0.0
12-5San Francisco (224.6)WCCN69-43W100%0.0
12-8Arizona St. (69.5)P10H81-68W100%0.0
12-12Fresno St. (160.5)WACA72-67W100%0.0
12-17Wagner (322.5)NECH77-61W100%0.0
12-19Eastern Washington (288.7)BSkyH91-34W100%0.0
12-22Nevada (64.6)WACN110-104W100%0.0
12-23Nebraska (130.3)B12N88-66W100%0.0
12-28Arizona (84.6)P10A99-69W100%0.0
1-6Nevada Las Vegas (32.1)MWCH77-73W100%0.0
1-9Texas El Paso (51.2)CUSAA83-77W100%0.0
1-13Air Force (240.7)MWCA67-49W100%0.0
1-16Colorado St. (116.4)MWCH91-47W100%0.0
1-20Wyoming (208.6)MWCH81-66W100%0.0
1-23San Diego St. (43.5)MWCA71-69W100%0.0
1-27New Mexico (15.6)MWCA72-76L0%0.0
1-30Utah (163.1)MWCH82-69W100%0.0
2-2Texas Christian (173.6)MWCH76-56W100%0.0
2-6Nevada Las Vegas (32.1)MWCA74-88L0%0.0
2-13Air Force (240.7)MWCH0-099%26.6
2-17Colorado St. (116.4)MWCA0-084%11.0
2-20Wyoming (208.6)MWCA0-093%16.4
2-24San Diego St. (43.5)MWCH0-084%10.9
2-27New Mexico (15.6)MWCH0-078%8.4
3-3Utah (163.1)MWCA0-082%10.1
3-6Texas Christian (173.6)MWCA0-089%13.1