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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

Oral Roberts

Conference:Sum
Expected RPI:40.9
Current RPI:48
Expected SOS:152
Current Record:21-5
Expected Record:27-7
Current Conf Record:13-1
Expected Conf Record:18-2
Expected Conf Tourney Record:2-1
Probability of Auto Bid:38.24%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:8-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:15-1
Current OOC Record:8-4
Expected OOC Record:9-4
Expected OOC RPI:78
Expected OOC SOS:129


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
29-585.29%20.212.39%
28-682.35%29.327.10%
27-681.82%43.86.84%
26-681.25%54.33.20%
27-779.41%39.019.77%
26-778.79%53.99.70%
25-778.12%64.64.75%
26-876.47%48.87.19%
25-875.76%63.64.15%
24-875.00%75.71.99%
25-973.53%58.11.23%
24-972.73%74.01.03%
23-971.88%86.60.38%
24-1070.59%67.40.12%
23-1069.70%85.60.09%
22-1068.75%97.20.05%
22-1166.67%100.00.01%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Oral Roberts.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11West Virginia (33.4)BEA78-71L0%0.0
11-15Texas San Antonio (159.9)SlndN77-78L0%0.0
11-16Arkansas Pine Bluff (322.7)SWACN80-44W100%0.0
11-19Austin Peay (197.8)OVCH71-59W100%0.0
11-21Southern Methodist (217.6)CUSAH62-56W100%0.0
11-22Florida International (213.6)SBH73-65W100%0.0
11-30Missouri St. (82.9)MVCH68-63W100%0.0
12-3Southern Utah (234.6)SumH61-55W100%0.0
12-8Oklahoma (99.1)B12A73-59L0%0.0
12-12Arkansas Little Rock (187.9)SBA55-58W100%0.0
12-15Gonzaga (29.8)WCCA67-61L0%0.0
12-18Xavier (62.4)A10A42-64W100%0.0
12-22Texas Tech (244.3)B12H72-56W100%0.0
12-28Missouri Kansas City (244.9)SumA65-72W100%0.0
12-30South Dakota (283.1)SumA67-79W100%0.0
1-3Oakland (140.4)SumA80-89W100%0.0
1-5North Dakota St. (121.0)SumH89-80W100%0.0
1-7South Dakota St. (49.5)SumH97-75W100%0.0
1-12Western Illinois (180.2)SumA70-71W100%0.0
1-14IUPUI (246.0)SumA71-81W100%0.0
1-19IUPU Fort Wayne (271.7)SumH65-54W100%0.0
1-21Oakland (140.4)SumH93-86W100%0.0
1-26South Dakota (283.1)SumH97-64W100%0.0
1-28Missouri Kansas City (244.9)SumH77-67W100%0.0
2-2South Dakota St. (49.5)SumA75-60L0%0.0
2-4North Dakota St. (121.0)SumA76-85W100%0.0
2-9IUPUI (246.0)SumH0-091%14.9
2-11Western Illinois (180.2)SumH0-086%11.8
2-15IUPU Fort Wayne (271.7)SumA0-086%11.8
2-18Akron (44.8)MACH0-060%2.7
2-25Southern Utah (234.6)SumA0-080%9.4