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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

Mississippi St.

Conference:SEC
Expected RPI:48.3
Current RPI:32
Expected SOS:60
Current Record:18-5
Expected Record:23-10
Current Conf Record:5-3
Expected Conf Record:10-8
Expected Conf Tourney Record:1-1
Probability of Auto Bid:2.07%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:11-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-0
Current OOC Record:13-2
Expected OOC Record:13-2
Expected OOC RPI:54
Expected OOC SOS:173


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
28-682.35%9.80.13%
27-681.82%18.30.13%
26-681.25%26.00.10%
28-780.00%5.00.01%
27-779.41%14.60.95%
26-778.79%25.41.36%
25-778.12%34.61.56%
27-877.14%11.90.07%
26-876.47%20.02.63%
25-875.76%31.26.16%
24-875.00%42.86.85%
26-974.29%19.50.56%
25-973.53%27.94.12%
24-972.73%39.411.70%
23-971.88%52.412.70%
25-1071.43%26.61.32%
24-1070.59%37.35.49%
23-1069.70%50.912.69%
22-1068.75%64.39.12%
24-1168.57%34.41.24%
23-1167.65%47.52.82%
22-1166.67%61.37.18%
23-1265.71%41.90.36%
21-1165.62%77.24.59%
22-1264.71%57.30.46%
21-1263.64%70.32.87%
22-1362.86%51.00.01%
20-1262.50%89.21.81%
21-1361.76%65.00.07%
20-1360.61%80.80.56%
19-1359.38%102.20.26%
20-1458.82%80.00.01%
19-1457.58%91.20.08%
18-1456.25%116.50.02%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Mississippi St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-7Eastern Kentucky (206.1)OVCH76-66W100%0.0
11-9Akron (44.8)MACH58-68L0%0.0
11-12South Alabama (196.9)SBH80-65W100%0.0
11-17Texas A&M (166.8)B12N69-60W100%0.0
11-18Arizona (75.5)P12N67-57W100%0.0
11-21Louisiana Monroe (324.7)SBH78-63W100%0.0
11-25Tennessee Martin (323.2)OVCH76-50W100%0.0
11-27North Texas (198.8)SBH82-59W100%0.0
12-3West Virginia (33.4)BEH75-62W100%0.0
12-10Troy (271.6)SBH106-68W100%0.0
12-13Florida Atlantic (177.8)SBH75-68W100%0.0
12-17Detroit (180.8)HorzA75-80W100%0.0
12-22Northwestern St. (179.3)SlndN82-67W100%0.0
12-28Baylor (9.9)B12N54-52L0%0.0
12-31Utah St. (129.7)WACH66-64W100%0.0
1-7Arkansas (71.4)SECA98-88L0%0.0
1-12Tennessee (140.6)SECH62-58W100%0.0
1-14Alabama (29.7)SECH56-52W100%0.0
1-18Mississippi (79.8)SECA75-68L0%0.0
1-21Vanderbilt (35.8)SECA77-78W100%0.0
1-25Louisiana St. (91.6)SECH76-71W100%0.0
1-28Florida (17.2)SECA69-57L0%0.0
2-4Auburn (159.9)SECH91-88W100%0.0
2-9Mississippi (79.8)SECH0-074%7.0
2-11Georgia (139.9)SECH0-082%9.9
2-14Louisiana St. (91.6)SECA0-046%-1.2
2-18Auburn (159.9)SECA0-069%5.3
2-21Kentucky (3.5)SECH0-019%-9.7
2-25Alabama (29.7)SECA0-023%-8.2
2-29South Carolina (178.0)SECA0-063%3.6
3-3Arkansas (71.4)SECH0-066%4.6