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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

New Mexico St.

Conference:WAC
Expected RPI:59.0
Current RPI:59
Expected SOS:116
Current Record:24-9
Expected Record:24-9
Current Conf Record:13-4
Expected Conf Record:13-4
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:100.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:10-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:13-1
Current OOC Record:11-5
Expected OOC Record:11-5
Expected OOC RPI:63
Expected OOC SOS:72


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
24-972.73%59.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for New Mexico St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-12Northern Colorado (262.0)BSkyA75-89W100%0.0
11-16New Mexico (27.0)MWCA53-62W100%0.0
11-19Texas El Paso (147.0)CUSAH89-73W100%0.0
11-24Central Michigan (280.0)MACN78-49W100%0.0
11-25Southern Mississippi (20.0)CUSAN72-80L0%0.0
11-26San Francisco (136.0)WCCN71-81W100%0.0
11-29Arizona (79.0)P12H76-83L0%0.0
12-4Southern Mississippi (20.0)CUSAA74-66L0%0.0
12-11Texas El Paso (147.0)CUSAA73-69L0%0.0
12-19Southern (281.0)SWACH91-66W100%0.0
12-21McNeese St. (174.0)SlndH82-62W100%0.0
12-28New Mexico (27.0)MWCH69-89L0%0.0
12-31Arkansas Pine Bluff (302.0)SWACH81-65W100%0.0
1-2Cal St. Bakersfield (213.0)indA72-73W100%0.0
1-7Louisiana Tech (160.0)WACA73-83W100%0.0
1-12Utah St. (143.0)WACH80-60W100%0.0
1-14Idaho (146.0)WACH80-68W100%0.0
1-19San Jose St. (279.0)WACA63-79W100%0.0
1-21Hawaii (204.0)WACA91-87L0%0.0
1-26Nevada (65.0)WACH60-68L0%0.0
1-28Fresno St. (229.0)WACH60-56W100%0.0
2-1Cal St. Bakersfield (213.0)indH78-57W100%0.0
2-4Louisiana Tech (160.0)WACH83-72W100%0.0
2-9Idaho (146.0)WACA59-58L0%0.0
2-11Utah St. (143.0)WACA69-80W100%0.0
2-18Drake (133.0)MVCH71-55W100%0.0
2-23Hawaii (204.0)WACH115-73W100%0.0
2-25San Jose St. (279.0)WACH79-68W100%0.0
3-1Nevada (65.0)WACA65-61L0%0.0
3-3Fresno St. (229.0)WACA78-83W100%0.0
3-8Fresno St. (229.0)WACN65-49W100%0.0
3-9Hawaii (204.0)WACN92-81W100%0.0
3-10Louisiana Tech (160.0)WACN57-82W100%0.0