- Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

New Mexico St.

Expected RPI:111.0
Current RPI:111
Expected SOS:218
Current Record:21-10
Expected Record:21-10
Current Conf Record:14-2
Expected Conf Record:14-2
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:16-1
Current OOC Record:7-8
Expected OOC Record:7-8
Expected OOC RPI:187
Expected OOC SOS:144


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for New Mexico St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Houston Baptist (224.0)SlndH91-69W100%0.0
11-15New Mexico (141.0)MWCH74-83L0%0.0
11-18Tennessee Tech (134.0)OVCH76-63W100%0.0
11-21Mississippi Valley St. (330.0)SWACH85-46W100%0.0
11-24Robert Morris (291.0)NECH81-71W100%0.0
11-28Air Force (226.0)MWCA66-64L0%0.0
12-2UTEP (215.0)CUSAH73-59W100%0.0
12-5Long Beach St. (79.0)BWA67-53L0%0.0
12-13Wyoming (187.0)MWCH59-62L0%0.0
12-16New Mexico (141.0)MWCA79-61L0%0.0
12-19UTEP (215.0)CUSAA53-73W100%0.0
12-21Oral Roberts (148.0)SumH76-61W100%0.0
12-23Baylor (25.0)B12A85-70L0%0.0
1-2UC Irvine (75.0)BWA54-52L0%0.0
1-7Utah Valley (272.0)WACA66-78W100%0.0
1-9Grand Canyon (91.0)WACA79-75L0%0.0
1-14UMKC (286.0)WACH65-64W100%0.0
1-16Chicago St. (348.0)WACH80-62W100%0.0
1-21Seattle (287.0)WACA60-68W100%0.0
1-23Cal St. Bakersfield (117.0)WACA67-68W100%0.0
1-30UT Rio Grande Valley (338.0)WACH92-68W100%0.0
2-4Grand Canyon (91.0)WACH70-50W100%0.0
2-6Utah Valley (272.0)WACH98-74W100%0.0
2-13Chicago St. (348.0)WACA55-69W100%0.0
2-15Wichita St. (47.0)MVCA71-41L0%0.0
2-18Cal St. Bakersfield (117.0)WACH63-55W100%0.0
2-20Seattle (287.0)WACH70-57W100%0.0
2-27UMKC (286.0)WACA61-62W100%0.0
3-5UT Rio Grande Valley (338.0)WACA44-83W100%0.0
3-11UMKC (286.0)WACN78-64W100%0.0
3-12Cal St. Bakersfield (117.0)WACN54-57L0%0.0