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Through games of Mar 16, 2014.

New Mexico St.

Expected RPI:72.0
Current RPI:72
Expected SOS:188
Current Record:25-9
Expected Record:25-9
Current Conf Record:15-4
Expected Conf Record:15-4
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:100.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:19-3
Current OOC Record:10-5
Expected OOC Record:10-5
Expected OOC RPI:41
Expected OOC SOS:46


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for New Mexico St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-8Western Michigan (66.0)MACN64-70L0%0.0
11-9Tennessee St. (300.0)OVCN55-70W100%0.0
11-12Hawaii (160.0)BWA88-95W100%0.0
11-15UTEP (103.0)CUSAH86-73W100%0.0
11-20Northern Colorado (205.0)BSkyH67-63W100%0.0
11-23UTEP (103.0)CUSAA68-77W100%0.0
11-25Bethune Cookman (343.0)MEACH79-56W100%0.0
11-27Prairie View A&M (304.0)SWACH91-60W100%0.0
11-30Colorado St. (182.0)MWCA85-83L0%0.0
12-4New Mexico (12.0)MWCH70-79L0%0.0
12-7Gonzaga (20.0)WCCA80-68L0%0.0
12-11Arizona (2.0)P12A74-48L0%0.0
12-14Drake (174.0)MVCA69-81W100%0.0
12-17New Mexico (12.0)MWCA61-67W100%0.0
12-28South Alabama (280.0)SBH82-64W100%0.0
1-4Grand Canyon (203.0)WACA62-84W100%0.0
1-9Seattle (267.0)WACH96-87W100%0.0
1-11Idaho (238.0)WACH78-54W100%0.0
1-16Chicago St. (259.0)WACA86-81L0%0.0
1-18UMKC (248.0)WACA68-66L0%0.0
1-25Texas Pan American (312.0)WACH90-78W100%0.0
1-30Cal St. Bakersfield (279.0)WACH89-86W100%0.0
2-1Utah Valley (144.0)WACH72-49W100%0.0
2-6Idaho (238.0)WACA73-67L0%0.0
2-8Seattle (267.0)WACA77-92W100%0.0
2-13UMKC (248.0)WACH71-48W100%0.0
2-15Chicago St. (259.0)WACH84-55W100%0.0
2-20Texas Pan American (312.0)WACA61-78W100%0.0
2-27Utah Valley (144.0)WACA66-61L0%0.0
3-1Cal St. Bakersfield (279.0)WACA57-72W100%0.0
3-6Grand Canyon (203.0)WACH81-57W100%0.0
3-13Seattle (267.0)WACN70-68W100%0.0
3-14Cal St. Bakersfield (279.0)WACN69-63W100%0.0
3-15Idaho (238.0)WACN77-55W100%0.0