Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  New Mexico St.   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

New Mexico St.

Conference:WAC
Expected RPI:58.1
Current RPI:58
Expected SOS:85
Current Record:20-11
Expected Record:20-12
Current Conf Record:13-5
Expected Conf Record:13-6
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-1
Probability of Auto Bid:8.48%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-1
Current OOC Record:7-6
Expected OOC Record:7-6
Expected OOC RPI:89
Expected OOC SOS:44


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
21-1165.62%51.58.48%
20-1262.50%58.791.52%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for New Mexico St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13St. Mary's (35.6)WCCA68-100L0%0.0
11-17New Mexico (10.5)MWCH87-97L0%0.0
11-24Cal St. Fullerton (205.2)BWA73-84L0%0.0
11-26North Carolina A&T (299.1)MEACH84-68W100%0.0
12-1Texas El Paso (32.8)CUSAH58-79L0%0.0
12-5New Mexico (10.5)MWCA58-75L0%0.0
12-13Texas El Paso (32.8)CUSAA87-80W100%0.0
12-15UCLA (137.1)P10A68-100L0%0.0
12-18Pepperdine (304.1)WCCA78-72W100%0.0
12-21Alcorn St. (345.5)SWACH97-72W100%0.0
12-23Texas Southern (222.1)SWACH79-75W100%0.0
12-28Prairie View A&M (273.1)SWACH95-76W100%0.0
1-2Utah St. (24.4)WACH55-52W100%0.0
1-4Nevada (72.9)WACH67-77L0%0.0
1-9Boise St. (202.8)WACA88-85W100%0.0
1-11Idaho (173.2)WACA75-72W100%0.0
1-16Fresno St. (190.4)WACH86-77W100%0.0
1-21Hawaii (253.2)WACA71-69W100%0.0
1-23San Jose St. (177.2)WACA84-93L0%0.0
1-30Louisiana Tech (77.1)WACA91-77W100%0.0
2-6San Jose St. (177.2)WACH94-82W100%0.0
2-8Louisiana Tech (77.1)WACH70-68W100%0.0
2-11Fresno St. (190.4)WACA64-83L0%0.0
2-15Hawaii (253.2)WACH88-64W100%0.0
2-20Pacific (128.6)BWA84-78W100%0.0
2-24Idaho (173.2)WACH74-57W100%0.0
2-27Boise St. (202.8)WACH95-92W100%0.0
3-4Nevada (72.9)WACA92-100L0%0.0
3-6Utah St. (24.4)WACA63-81L0%0.0
3-11San Jose St. (177.2)WACN90-69W100%0.0
3-12Nevada (72.9)WACA80-79W100%0.0