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Tweet Through games of Mar 5, 2015.


New Mexico St.

Conference:WAC
Expected RPI:98.7
Current RPI:109
Expected SOS:214
Current Record:18-10
Expected Record:21-10
Current Conf Record:12-1
Expected Conf Record:15-1
Expected Conf Tourney Record:2-0
Probability of Auto Bid:77.36%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:18-1
Current OOC Record:6-9
Expected OOC Record:6-9
Expected OOC RPI:169
Expected OOC SOS:38



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
21-1067.74%91.176.55%
20-1164.52%114.811.68%
19-1163.33%131.911.54%
19-1261.29%136.10.08%
18-1260.00%157.40.15%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for New Mexico St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Wichita St. (11.2)MVCA71-54L0%0.0
11-18Saint Mary's (58.6)WCCA83-71L0%0.0
11-19Northern Colorado (238.0)BSkyH86-65W100%0.0
11-22UTEP (70.3)CUSAA77-76L0%0.0
11-24Stetson (336.5)ASunH88-68W100%0.0
11-26Florida A&M (350.0)MEACH78-33W100%0.0
11-29Wyoming (95.7)MWCA78-75L0%0.0
12-3New Mexico (159.2)MWCA62-47L0%0.0
12-6UTEP (70.3)CUSAH71-64W100%0.0
12-13Oral Roberts (150.9)SumA86-83L0%0.0
12-17Baylor (13.6)B12A66-55L0%0.0
12-20New Mexico (159.2)MWCH67-69L0%0.0
12-27Colorado St. (29.7)MWCH57-58L0%0.0
12-30Texas Southern (123.0)SWACH54-52W100%0.0
1-3UC Irvine (100.5)BWH70-67W100%0.0
1-10UMKC (269.9)WACH63-45W100%0.0
1-15Cal St. Bakersfield (288.9)WACA54-70W100%0.0
1-17Seattle (278.5)WACA58-52L0%0.0
1-22Grand Canyon (277.5)WACH85-63W100%0.0
1-24Utah Valley (307.8)WACH69-44W100%0.0
1-31Texas Pan American (334.7)WACH53-48W100%0.0
2-5Chicago St. (332.4)WACA61-69W100%0.0
2-7UMKC (269.9)WACA63-77W100%0.0
2-12Seattle (278.5)WACH73-47W100%0.0
2-14Cal St. Bakersfield (288.9)WACH74-58W100%0.0
2-19Utah Valley (307.8)WACA38-51W100%0.0
2-21Grand Canyon (277.5)WACA55-72W100%0.0
3-4Texas Pan American (334.7)WACA48-69W100%0.0
3-7Chicago St. (332.4)WACH0-099%23.1