Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Long Beach St.   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Long Beach St.

Conference:BW
Expected RPI:105.3
Current RPI:107
Expected SOS:113
Current Record:15-15
Expected Record:16-15
Current Conf Record:10-8
Expected Conf Record:11-8
Expected Conf Tourney Record:1-0
Probability of Auto Bid:51.91%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-5
Current OOC Record:5-7
Expected OOC Record:5-7
Expected OOC RPI:51
Expected OOC SOS:5


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
16-1551.61%100.051.91%
15-1648.39%111.148.09%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Long Beach St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-17Pepperdine (304.1)WCCA67-58W100%0.0
11-19Notre Dame (48.1)BEA62-82L0%0.0
11-21Wisconsin Green Bay (107.0)HorzA81-69W100%0.0
11-26West Virginia (3.9)BEN62-85L0%0.0
11-27Clemson (34.3)ACCN79-87L0%0.0
11-29UCLA (137.1)P10N79-68W100%0.0
12-7Texas (29.3)B12A74-107L0%0.0
12-18Utah St. (24.4)WACH75-62W100%0.0
12-21Loyola Marymount (174.0)WCCA80-85L0%0.0
12-23Kentucky (2.8)SECA73-86L0%0.0
12-29Duke (2.8)ACCA63-84L0%0.0
1-2UC Riverside (255.6)BWA67-69L0%0.0
1-7Cal St. Fullerton (205.2)BWA75-85L0%0.0
1-9UC Irvine (275.6)BWH55-53W100%0.0
1-14UC Santa Barbara (101.7)BWH67-47W100%0.0
1-16Cal Poly (255.8)BWH79-90L0%0.0
1-21UC Irvine (275.6)BWA60-71L0%0.0
1-28Cal St. Northridge (251.7)BWA69-68W100%0.0
1-30UC Davis (244.0)BWH80-58W100%0.0
2-4Cal St. Fullerton (205.2)BWH75-81L0%0.0
2-6Cal St. Northridge (251.7)BWH65-51W100%0.0
2-11Cal Poly (255.8)BWA78-72W100%0.0
2-13UC Santa Barbara (101.7)BWA62-64L0%0.0
2-17Pacific (128.6)BWH52-74L0%0.0
2-20Idaho (173.2)WACA77-66W100%0.0
2-25UC Davis (244.0)BWA68-65W100%0.0
2-27Pacific (128.6)BWA51-61L0%0.0
3-5UC Riverside (255.6)BWH76-74W100%0.0
3-11Cal Poly (255.8)BWN79-69W100%0.0
3-12Pacific (128.6)BWN66-61W100%0.0