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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Long Beach St.

Expected RPI:79.0
Current RPI:79
Expected SOS:82
Current Record:18-14
Expected Record:18-14
Current Conf Record:14-5
Expected Conf Record:14-5
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:6-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-2
Current OOC Record:4-9
Expected OOC Record:4-9
Expected OOC RPI:107
Expected OOC SOS:1


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Long Beach St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-16BYU (76.0)WCCH66-65W100%0.0
11-19Seton Hall (19.0)BEN77-80W100%0.0
11-20Virginia (3.0)ACCN87-52L0%0.0
11-22Oklahoma St. (170.0)B12N77-82L0%0.0
11-27Oklahoma St. (170.0)B12A79-73L0%0.0
12-1San Diego St. (41.0)MWCH72-76L0%0.0
12-3Colorado St. (181.0)MWCA77-83W100%0.0
12-5New Mexico St. (111.0)WACH67-53W100%0.0
12-6UCLA (102.0)P12A83-76L0%0.0
12-9Pepperdine (129.0)WCCA77-75L0%0.0
12-18Oregon (2.0)P12A94-73L0%0.0
12-22Arizona (26.0)P12A85-70L0%0.0
12-30Duke (20.0)ACCA103-81L0%0.0
1-6Cal St. Northridge (280.0)BWA79-94W100%0.0
1-9UC Davis (281.0)BWH59-47W100%0.0
1-14UC Irvine (75.0)BWH54-58L0%0.0
1-16Cal Poly (236.0)BWA96-92L0%0.0
1-20UC Santa Barbara (97.0)BWA67-77W100%0.0
1-23UC Riverside (267.0)BWA74-72L0%0.0
1-28UC Santa Barbara (97.0)BWH80-70W100%0.0
1-30Hawaii (80.0)BWA64-78W100%0.0
2-6Cal St. Northridge (280.0)BWH81-76W100%0.0
2-11Cal Poly (236.0)BWH73-70W100%0.0
2-13UC Davis (281.0)BWA48-57W100%0.0
2-20Cal St. Fullerton (290.0)BWH70-57W100%0.0
2-24UC Irvine (75.0)BWA90-67L0%0.0
2-27UC Riverside (267.0)BWH66-55W100%0.0
3-2Cal St. Fullerton (290.0)BWA73-75W100%0.0
3-5Hawaii (80.0)BWH74-72W100%0.0
3-10UC Riverside (267.0)BWN82-74W100%0.0
3-11UC Irvine (75.0)BWN72-77W100%0.0
3-12Hawaii (80.0)BWN64-60L0%0.0