Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Northern Iowa   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Northern Iowa

Conference:MVC
Expected RPI:18.2
Current RPI:17
Expected SOS:109
Current Record:28-4
Expected Record:28-4
Current Conf Record:18-3
Expected Conf Record:18-3
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:100.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:4-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:6-0
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:12-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-2
Current OOC Record:10-1
Expected OOC Record:10-1
Expected OOC RPI:52
Expected OOC SOS:235


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
28-487.50%18.2100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Northern Iowa.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Denver (164.4)SBA71-65W100%0.0
11-20DePaul (212.2)BEN52-60L0%0.0
11-21East Carolina (230.2)CUSAN74-68W100%0.0
11-23Boston College (124.9)ACCN81-69W100%0.0
11-28Northern Illinois (262.5)MACH52-45W100%0.0
12-2Iowa St. (122.8)B12A63-60W100%0.0
12-8Iowa (211.1)B10H67-50W100%0.0
12-12Siena (32.4)MAACH82-65W100%0.0
12-19North Dakota (339.3)GWCA64-41W100%0.0
12-23Wyoming (227.6)MWCH72-54W100%0.0
12-29Creighton (114.4)MVCA60-52W100%0.0
1-1Evansville (249.4)MVCH65-46W100%0.0
1-3Missouri St. (90.5)MVCH84-76W100%0.0
1-6Southern Illinois (170.6)MVCA61-49W100%0.0
1-9Illinois St. (75.7)MVCA59-44W100%0.0
1-12Bradley (104.6)MVCH52-50W100%0.0
1-16Indiana St. (87.5)MVCH62-40W100%0.0
1-19Wichita St. (42.8)MVCA51-60L0%0.0
1-24Indiana St. (87.5)MVCA67-58W100%0.0
1-27Drake (180.1)MVCH67-51W100%0.0
1-30Missouri St. (90.5)MVCA55-54W100%0.0
2-3Wichita St. (42.8)MVCH59-56W100%0.0
2-6Southern Illinois (170.6)MVCH55-52W100%0.0
2-10Drake (180.1)MVCA57-48W100%0.0
2-13Bradley (104.6)MVCA59-68L0%0.0
2-16Creighton (114.4)MVCH70-52W100%0.0
2-19Old Dominion (26.9)CAAH71-62W100%0.0
2-23Evansville (249.4)MVCA54-55L0%0.0
2-27Illinois St. (75.7)MVCH61-55W100%0.0
3-5Drake (180.1)MVCN55-40W100%0.0
3-6Bradley (104.6)MVCN57-40W100%0.0
3-7Wichita St. (42.8)MVCN67-52W100%0.0