- Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Northern Iowa

Expected RPI:70.0
Current RPI:70
Expected SOS:91
Current Record:21-12
Expected Record:21-12
Current Conf Record:14-7
Expected Conf Record:14-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:100.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:2-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:2-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:4-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-3
Current OOC Record:7-5
Expected OOC Record:7-5
Expected OOC RPI:66
Expected OOC SOS:38


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Northern Iowa.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Colorado St. (181.0)MWCH78-84L0%0.0
11-17Stephen F. Austin (61.0)SlndH70-60W100%0.0
11-21North Carolina (5.0)ACCH71-67W100%0.0
11-28North Dakota (218.0)BSkyA51-97W100%0.0
11-30North Texas (295.0)CUSAH93-70W100%0.0
12-5Richmond (121.0)A10A82-67L0%0.0
12-8George Mason (201.0)A10A65-73W100%0.0
12-12New Mexico (141.0)MWCA76-57L0%0.0
12-19Iowa St. (23.0)B12N79-81W100%0.0
12-22Hawaii (80.0)BWA68-52L0%0.0
12-23Washington St. (212.0)P12N63-59W100%0.0
12-25BYU (76.0)WCCN76-84L0%0.0
12-30Bradley (306.0)MVCH80-44W100%0.0
1-2Southern Illinois (138.0)MVCA75-73L0%0.0
1-6Missouri St. (235.0)MVCA59-58L0%0.0
1-9Drake (325.0)MVCH77-44W100%0.0
1-13Indiana St. (172.0)MVCA74-60L0%0.0
1-16Loyola Chicago (239.0)MVCH41-51L0%0.0
1-20Wichita St. (47.0)MVCH55-74L0%0.0
1-23Illinois St. (114.0)MVCA76-67L0%0.0
1-27Bradley (306.0)MVCA50-68W100%0.0
1-31Southern Illinois (138.0)MVCH67-58W100%0.0
2-3Evansville (93.0)MVCH57-54W100%0.0
2-6Drake (325.0)MVCA66-82W100%0.0
2-10Missouri St. (235.0)MVCH83-69W100%0.0
2-13Wichita St. (47.0)MVCA50-53W100%0.0
2-17Loyola Chicago (239.0)MVCA59-56L0%0.0
2-20Illinois St. (114.0)MVCH75-66W100%0.0
2-24Indiana St. (172.0)MVCH66-44W100%0.0
2-27Evansville (93.0)MVCA52-54W100%0.0
3-4Southern Illinois (138.0)MVCN66-60W100%0.0
3-5Wichita St. (47.0)MVCN52-57W100%0.0
3-6Evansville (93.0)MVCN54-56W100%0.0