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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Northern Iowa

Conference:MVC
Expected RPI:73.0
Current RPI:73
Expected SOS:52
Current Record:18-13
Expected Record:18-13
Current Conf Record:9-10
Expected Conf Record:9-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:2-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:9-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:5-1
Current OOC Record:9-3
Expected OOC Record:9-3
Expected OOC RPI:16
Expected OOC SOS:13


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
18-1358.06%73.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Northern Iowa.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-12Old Dominion (103.0)CAAA46-63W100%0.0
11-14St. Mary's (28.0)WCCA57-41L0%0.0
11-20Northern Colorado (262.0)BSkyH78-69W100%0.0
11-22Western Carolina (220.0)SCH59-39W100%0.0
11-25Rice (171.0)CUSAN64-60W100%0.0
11-26Providence (156.0)BEN62-79W100%0.0
11-30Iowa St. (33.0)B12A62-69W100%0.0
12-3Colorado St. (29.0)MWCH83-77W100%0.0
12-6Iowa (130.0)B10H80-60W100%0.0
12-10Wisconsin Milwaukee (125.0)HorzH67-51W100%0.0
12-20Ohio (47.0)MACH59-76L0%0.0
12-29Illinois St. (100.0)MVCA65-61L0%0.0
1-1Evansville (131.0)MVCH65-76L0%0.0
1-4Indiana St. (129.0)MVCH65-48W100%0.0
1-7Drake (133.0)MVCA68-83W100%0.0
1-10Creighton (24.0)MVCA63-60L0%0.0
1-13Missouri St. (123.0)MVCH61-60W100%0.0
1-15Bradley (265.0)MVCA78-67L0%0.0
1-18Wichita St. (12.0)MVCH68-71L0%0.0
1-22Drake (133.0)MVCH66-52W100%0.0
1-25Indiana St. (129.0)MVCA59-54L0%0.0
1-28Missouri St. (123.0)MVCA63-51L0%0.0
1-31Southern Illinois (255.0)MVCH58-49W100%0.0
2-4Creighton (24.0)MVCH65-62W100%0.0
2-8Wichita St. (12.0)MVCA82-57L0%0.0
2-11Illinois St. (100.0)MVCH78-63W100%0.0
2-15Evansville (131.0)MVCA63-62L0%0.0
2-17Virginia Commonwealth (38.0)CAAA77-68L0%0.0
2-22Bradley (265.0)MVCH64-55W100%0.0
2-25Southern Illinois (255.0)MVCA61-65W100%0.0
3-2Illinois St. (100.0)MVCN54-42L0%0.0