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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

Grambling

Conference:SWAC
Expected RPI:341.9
Current RPI:342
Expected SOS:341
Current Record:3-18
Expected Record:4-24
Current Conf Record:3-8
Expected Conf Record:4-14
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:4-15
Current OOC Record:0-10
Expected OOC Record:0-10
Expected OOC RPI:334
Expected OOC SOS:189


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
9-2130.00%322.00.01%
8-2127.59%326.00.01%
8-2226.67%325.90.07%
8-2325.81%328.00.04%
7-2125.00%334.50.02%
7-2224.14%333.50.47%
7-2323.33%333.30.22%
7-2422.58%334.00.01%
6-2221.43%337.41.68%
6-2320.69%337.23.20%
6-2420.00%337.30.17%
5-2317.86%340.817.78%
5-2417.24%340.32.95%
5-2516.67%341.00.02%
4-2414.29%342.341.52%
4-2513.79%341.90.16%
3-2510.71%343.031.66%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Grambling.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-12Houston (235.4)CUSAA88-42L0%0.0
11-14Mississippi (79.8)SECA69-39L0%0.0
11-16Utah Valley (206.6)GWCA64-34L0%0.0
11-19Oakland (140.4)SumH45-75L0%0.0
11-26Arkansas (71.4)SECA86-44L0%0.0
11-30Washington St. (168.5)P12A69-37L0%0.0
12-18Texas Tech (244.3)B12A87-59L0%0.0
12-20North Texas (198.8)SBA82-40L0%0.0
12-22Texas Christian (133.2)MWCA85-53L0%0.0
12-29Louisiana St. (91.6)SECA69-37L0%0.0
1-3Alabama St. (302.2)SWACH62-73L0%0.0
1-5Alabama A&M (330.8)SWACH60-55W100%0.0
1-7Southern (280.2)SWACA72-59L0%0.0
1-9Alcorn St. (330.4)SWACA71-72W100%0.0
1-14Texas Southern (228.4)SWACH57-61L0%0.0
1-16Prairie View A&M (278.7)SWACH64-81L0%0.0
1-21Jackson St. (312.2)SWACA80-67L0%0.0
1-28Arkansas Pine Bluff (322.7)SWACA55-60W100%0.0
1-30Mississippi Valley St. (143.0)SWACA77-59L0%0.0
2-4Southern (280.2)SWACH53-57L0%0.0
2-6Alcorn St. (330.4)SWACH55-57L0%0.0
2-11Texas Southern (228.4)SWACA0-03%-19.8
2-13Prairie View A&M (278.7)SWACA0-09%-14.4
2-18Jackson St. (312.2)SWACH0-029%-5.9
2-25Arkansas Pine Bluff (322.7)SWACH0-030%-5.8
2-27Mississippi Valley St. (143.0)SWACH0-06%-16.6
3-1Alabama St. (302.2)SWACA0-09%-14.3
3-3Alabama A&M (330.8)SWACA0-013%-12.1