Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Grambling   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 9, 2010.

Grambling

Conference:SWAC
Expected RPI:341.2
Current RPI:342
Expected SOS:341
Current Record:5-20
Expected Record:5-21
Current Conf Record:4-14
Expected Conf Record:4-15
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-1
Probability of Auto Bid:0.24%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:5-13
Current OOC Record:1-6
Expected OOC Record:1-6
Expected OOC RPI:307
Expected OOC SOS:278


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
8-2028.57%333.80.24%
7-2125.00%337.31.70%
6-2122.22%340.512.86%
5-2119.23%341.485.20%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Grambling.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-17Centenary (314.0)SumH66-71L0%0.0
11-21Marquette (55.8)BEA41-87L0%0.0
11-24Louisiana Monroe (275.8)SBA66-76L0%0.0
12-5Wisconsin (15.5)B10A46-79L0%0.0
12-11Massachusetts (172.7)A10A58-81L0%0.0
12-16Northwestern St. (314.7)SlndA63-62W100%0.0
12-22Illinois St. (73.9)MVCA56-80L0%0.0
1-4Alabama St. (275.7)SWACH55-70L0%0.0
1-6Alabama A&M (328.2)SWACH64-62W100%0.0
1-9Southern (343.2)SWACA67-73L0%0.0
1-11Alcorn St. (346.0)SWACA82-74W100%0.0
1-16Texas Southern (228.0)SWACH59-74L0%0.0
1-18Prairie View A&M (269.9)SWACH59-64L0%0.0
1-23Jackson St. (192.0)SWACA59-75L0%0.0
1-30Arkansas Pine Bluff (191.1)SWACA69-92L0%0.0
2-1Mississippi Valley St. (324.1)SWACA83-93L0%0.0
2-6Southern (343.2)SWACH65-59W100%0.0
2-8Alcorn St. (346.0)SWACH73-58W100%0.0
2-13Texas Southern (228.0)SWACA66-87L0%0.0
2-15Prairie View A&M (269.9)SWACA58-74L0%0.0
2-20Jackson St. (192.0)SWACH79-84L0%0.0
2-27Arkansas Pine Bluff (191.1)SWACH56-68L0%0.0
3-1Mississippi Valley St. (324.1)SWACH61-65L0%0.0
3-4Alabama St. (275.7)SWACA76-81L0%0.0
3-6Alabama A&M (328.2)SWACA60-81L0%0.0