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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Utah St.

Expected RPI:151.0
Current RPI:151
Expected SOS:112
Current Record:14-15
Expected Record:14-15
Current Conf Record:8-12
Expected Conf Record:8-12
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-0
Current OOC Record:6-3
Expected OOC Record:6-3
Expected OOC RPI:78
Expected OOC SOS:105


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Utah St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Weber St. (108.0)BSkyA70-73W100%0.0
11-24Utah Valley (272.0)WACH81-55W100%0.0
11-29Duke (20.0)ACCA85-52L0%0.0
12-1Missouri St. (235.0)MVCA68-69W100%0.0
12-9BYU (76.0)WCCA80-68L0%0.0
12-12UC Irvine (75.0)BWH63-73L0%0.0
12-21UT Rio Grande Valley (338.0)WACH94-69W100%0.0
12-22Idaho St. (256.0)BSkyH69-58W100%0.0
12-23North Dakota St. (120.0)SumH76-62W100%0.0
12-30San Jose St. (301.0)MWCA71-80W100%0.0
1-2San Diego St. (41.0)MWCH67-70L0%0.0
1-5Boise St. (101.0)MWCH61-76L0%0.0
1-9New Mexico (141.0)MWCA77-59L0%0.0
1-12Air Force (226.0)MWCH79-60W100%0.0
1-16Colorado St. (181.0)MWCA92-96W100%0.0
1-19UNLV (147.0)MWCH68-80L0%0.0
1-23San Diego St. (41.0)MWCA70-55L0%0.0
1-30Nevada (118.0)MWCH84-89L0%0.0
2-2Boise St. (101.0)MWCA70-67L0%0.0
2-6Wyoming (187.0)MWCA84-65L0%0.0
2-9New Mexico (141.0)MWCH80-72W100%0.0
2-17Colorado St. (181.0)MWCH72-59W100%0.0
2-20Fresno St. (66.0)MWCA75-68L0%0.0
2-24Nevada (118.0)MWCA73-68L0%0.0
2-27San Jose St. (301.0)MWCH88-70W100%0.0
3-1Air Force (226.0)MWCA65-78W100%0.0
3-5Fresno St. (66.0)MWCH85-86L0%0.0
3-9Wyoming (187.0)MWCN70-88W100%0.0
3-10San Diego St. (41.0)MWCN71-65L0%0.0