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Through games of Mar 16, 2014.

Utah St.

Expected RPI:116.0
Current RPI:116
Expected SOS:102
Current Record:17-14
Expected Record:17-14
Current Conf Record:8-12
Expected Conf Record:8-12
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:10-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-1
Current OOC Record:9-2
Expected OOC Record:9-2
Expected OOC RPI:88
Expected OOC SOS:223


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Utah St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-8USC (176.0)P12H78-65W100%0.0
11-12Southern Utah (346.0)BSkyH90-57W100%0.0
11-16UC Santa Barbara (107.0)BWA64-71W100%0.0
11-23Mississippi St. (245.0)SECH87-68W100%0.0
11-26Weber St. (149.0)BSkyA71-77W100%0.0
11-30BYU (31.0)WCCN85-74L0%0.0
12-7Pacific (133.0)WCCH68-78L0%0.0
12-14Utah Valley (144.0)WACH71-60W100%0.0
12-19Western Illinois (290.0)SumH68-52W100%0.0
12-20UC Santa Barbara (107.0)BWH77-71W100%0.0
12-21Troy (285.0)SBH71-50W100%0.0
1-1Air Force (251.0)MWCA73-72L0%0.0
1-4San Jose St. (278.0)MWCH86-67W100%0.0
1-11Nevada (137.0)MWCA62-54L0%0.0
1-15Colorado St. (182.0)MWCH57-50W100%0.0
1-18Boise St. (82.0)MWCA78-74L0%0.0
1-22UNLV (108.0)MWCA62-42L0%0.0
1-25San Diego St. (15.0)MWCH69-74L0%0.0
1-28New Mexico (12.0)MWCH65-78L0%0.0
2-1Wyoming (135.0)MWCA74-57L0%0.0
2-5Nevada (137.0)MWCH83-75W100%0.0
2-8Boise St. (82.0)MWCH76-70W100%0.0
2-11Colorado St. (182.0)MWCA62-71W100%0.0
2-15UNLV (108.0)MWCH62-73L0%0.0
2-18San Diego St. (15.0)MWCA60-45L0%0.0
2-22Fresno St. (117.0)MWCH76-79L0%0.0
2-25New Mexico (12.0)MWCA67-58L0%0.0
3-1San Jose St. (278.0)MWCA58-75W100%0.0
3-5Wyoming (135.0)MWCH65-54W100%0.0
3-12Colorado St. (182.0)MWCN73-69W100%0.0
3-13San Diego St. (15.0)MWCN73-39L0%0.0