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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Georgia St.

Expected RPI:180.0
Current RPI:180
Expected SOS:177
Current Record:14-14
Expected Record:14-14
Current Conf Record:9-12
Expected Conf Record:9-12
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-6
Current OOC Record:5-2
Expected OOC Record:5-2
Expected OOC RPI:22
Expected OOC SOS:45


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Georgia St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-25Mississippi (96.0)SECA68-59L0%0.0
11-27IUPUI (189.0)SumH78-72W100%0.0
12-1UAB (88.0)CUSAA64-57L0%0.0
12-4Wright St. (146.0)HorzA46-59W100%0.0
12-12Old Dominion (140.0)CUSAH68-64W100%0.0
12-19Southern Miss (314.0)CUSAA46-66W100%0.0
12-22Middle Tennessee (78.0)CUSAH64-62W100%0.0
12-30UT Arlington (105.0)SBA85-70L0%0.0
1-2Texas St. (238.0)SBA46-58W100%0.0
1-7Troy (293.0)SBH72-68W100%0.0
1-9South Alabama (240.0)SBH70-55W100%0.0
1-14Louisiana Monroe (95.0)SBH65-51W100%0.0
1-16Louisiana Lafayette (157.0)SBH54-87L0%0.0
1-19Georgia Southern (243.0)SBH69-66W100%0.0
1-21Appalachian St. (259.0)SBA76-67L0%0.0
1-28Arkansas St. (285.0)SBA75-69L0%0.0
1-30Arkansas Little Rock (42.0)SBA63-53L0%0.0
2-4Texas St. (238.0)SBH59-56W100%0.0
2-6UT Arlington (105.0)SBH69-90L0%0.0
2-11South Alabama (240.0)SBA79-78L0%0.0
2-13Troy (293.0)SBA54-53L0%0.0
2-18Arkansas Little Rock (42.0)SBH49-57L0%0.0
2-20Arkansas St. (285.0)SBH69-61W100%0.0
2-23Georgia Southern (243.0)SBA54-52L0%0.0
2-27Appalachian St. (259.0)SBH83-70W100%0.0
3-3Louisiana Lafayette (157.0)SBA69-72W100%0.0
3-5Louisiana Monroe (95.0)SBA91-78L0%0.0
3-10Texas St. (238.0)SBN61-63L0%0.0