Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Murray St.   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Murray St.

Conference:OVC
Expected RPI:54.4
Current RPI:55
Expected SOS:262
Current Record:28-4
Expected Record:28-4
Current Conf Record:22-1
Expected Conf Record:22-1
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:100.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:11-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:15-0
Current OOC Record:6-3
Expected OOC Record:6-3
Expected OOC RPI:70
Expected OOC SOS:177


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
28-487.50%54.4100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Murray St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-9California (18.5)P10A70-75L0%0.0
11-20James Madison (241.9)CAAN71-43W100%0.0
11-22North Carolina Central (347.0)indN84-61W100%0.0
11-23Florida International (296.0)SBA84-71W100%0.0
12-3Eastern Kentucky (154.3)OVCH62-60W100%0.0
12-5Morehead St. (84.2)OVCH86-56W100%0.0
12-12East Tennessee St. (121.0)ASunA61-57W100%0.0
12-15Louisiana Tech (77.1)WACA81-87L0%0.0
12-19Chattanooga (238.0)SCH73-62W100%0.0
12-22Western Kentucky (133.5)SBA72-83L0%0.0
12-30SIU Edwardsville (321.4)OVCA82-51W100%0.0
1-4Tennessee Martin (338.0)OVCH83-59W100%0.0
1-7Tennessee St. (259.6)OVCA80-59W100%0.0
1-9Austin Peay (162.2)OVCA69-53W100%0.0
1-11Eastern Illinois (170.5)OVCH75-59W100%0.0
1-14Jacksonville St. (298.1)OVCH92-68W100%0.0
1-16Tennessee Tech (196.0)OVCH88-66W100%0.0
1-21Eastern Illinois (170.5)OVCA60-51W100%0.0
1-23Southeast Missouri St. (312.9)OVCA80-61W100%0.0
1-27SIU Edwardsville (321.4)OVCH84-51W100%0.0
1-30Tennessee Martin (338.0)OVCA77-45W100%0.0
2-4Tennessee St. (259.6)OVCH76-54W100%0.0
2-6Austin Peay (162.2)OVCH65-63W100%0.0
2-11Tennessee Tech (196.0)OVCA94-62W100%0.0
2-13Jacksonville St. (298.1)OVCA75-67W100%0.0
2-16Southeast Missouri St. (312.9)OVCH80-68W100%0.0
2-20Morgan St. (102.4)MEACH75-66W100%0.0
2-25Morehead St. (84.2)OVCA65-70L0%0.0
2-27Eastern Kentucky (154.3)OVCA88-74W100%0.0
3-2Tennessee St. (259.6)OVCH84-51W100%0.0
3-5Eastern Illinois (170.5)OVCN55-51W100%0.0
3-6Morehead St. (84.2)OVCN62-51W100%0.0