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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Murray St.

Expected RPI:169.0
Current RPI:169
Expected SOS:174
Current Record:15-14
Expected Record:15-14
Current Conf Record:11-7
Expected Conf Record:11-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:10-2
Current OOC Record:4-7
Expected OOC Record:4-7
Expected OOC RPI:148
Expected OOC SOS:11


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Murray St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-17Middle Tennessee (78.0)CUSAH76-65W100%0.0
11-20Georgia (62.0)SECA63-52L0%0.0
11-23Milwaukee (173.0)HorzN63-66W100%0.0
11-24Pepperdine (129.0)WCCN55-59W100%0.0
11-25Weber St. (108.0)BSkyN75-59L0%0.0
11-28Alabama A&M (332.0)SWACH63-61W100%0.0
12-2Houston (87.0)AmerA93-78L0%0.0
12-5Evansville (93.0)MVCH81-85L0%0.0
12-13Illinois St. (114.0)MVCA63-61L0%0.0
12-18Southern Illinois (138.0)MVCH73-88L0%0.0
12-22Wright St. (146.0)HorzA65-49L0%0.0
1-2Morehead St. (127.0)OVCH62-57W100%0.0
1-7Tennessee Tech (134.0)OVCH65-71L0%0.0
1-9Jacksonville St. (309.0)OVCH69-54W100%0.0
1-14Belmont (98.0)OVCA81-73L0%0.0
1-16Tennessee St. (152.0)OVCA73-71L0%0.0
1-21Eastern Illinois (271.0)OVCH68-58W100%0.0
1-23SIU Edwardsville (305.0)OVCH70-54W100%0.0
1-27Eastern Kentucky (211.0)OVCA71-75W100%0.0
1-30Tennessee Martin (213.0)OVCA63-59L0%0.0
2-4Southeast Missouri St. (342.0)OVCA72-78W100%0.0
2-6Austin Peay (184.0)OVCH73-76L0%0.0
2-11SIU Edwardsville (305.0)OVCA64-70W100%0.0
2-13Southeast Missouri St. (342.0)OVCH83-56W100%0.0
2-20Austin Peay (184.0)OVCA60-76W100%0.0
2-25Eastern Illinois (271.0)OVCA85-74L0%0.0
2-27Tennessee Martin (213.0)OVCH79-55W100%0.0
3-2Eastern Illinois (271.0)OVCN78-62W100%0.0
3-3Morehead St. (127.0)OVCN75-66L0%0.0