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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Murray St.

Conference:OVC
Expected RPI:22.0
Current RPI:22
Expected SOS:158
Current Record:27-1
Expected Record:27-1
Current Conf Record:17-1
Expected Conf Record:17-1
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:100.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:2-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-0
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:11-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:12-0
Current OOC Record:10-0
Expected OOC Record:10-0
Expected OOC RPI:2
Expected OOC SOS:34


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
27-196.43%22.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Murray St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Morgan St. (286.0)MEACA69-80W100%0.0
11-20UAB (112.0)CUSAA55-62W100%0.0
11-25San Francisco (136.0)WCCN67-70W100%0.0
11-26Southern Mississippi (20.0)CUSAN90-81W100%0.0
12-1Western Kentucky (189.0)SBA59-70W100%0.0
12-4Dayton (81.0)A10H75-58W100%0.0
12-11Memphis (16.0)CUSAA72-76W100%0.0
12-15Lipscomb (225.0)ASunH89-65W100%0.0
12-17Arkansas St. (222.0)SBH66-53W100%0.0
12-21Tennessee Martin (326.0)OVCH78-54W100%0.0
12-30Eastern Illinois (285.0)OVCA40-73W100%0.0
1-4Eastern Kentucky (226.0)OVCH76-67W100%0.0
1-7Austin Peay (193.0)OVCA75-87W100%0.0
1-12Jacksonville St. (216.0)OVCH66-55W100%0.0
1-14Tennessee Tech (138.0)OVCH82-74W100%0.0
1-18Morehead St. (166.0)OVCA60-66W100%0.0
1-21SIU Edwardsville (300.0)OVCA65-82W100%0.0
1-28Eastern Illinois (285.0)OVCH73-58W100%0.0
2-2Southeast Missouri St. (248.0)OVCH81-73W100%0.0
2-4Tennessee Martin (326.0)OVCA58-65W100%0.0
2-9Tennessee St. (107.0)OVCH68-72L0%0.0
2-11Austin Peay (193.0)OVCH82-63W100%0.0
2-15Southeast Missouri St. (248.0)OVCA66-75W100%0.0
2-18St. Mary's (28.0)WCCH65-51W100%0.0
2-23Tennessee St. (107.0)OVCA62-80W100%0.0
2-25Tennessee Tech (138.0)OVCA64-69W100%0.0
3-2Tennessee Tech (138.0)OVCN78-58W100%0.0
3-3Tennessee St. (107.0)OVCN52-54W100%0.0