Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.

How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

New! For Simulations INCLUDING CONFERENCE TOURNAMENTS, click here (updated at least weekly)

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Through games of Mar 13, 2010.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
11.0KansasB120.68780.5972532-232-28-14-14-014-02-014-143110.0NaN
22.4KentuckySEC0.66370.56823131-232-23-12-010-113-04-015-0710920.40.5
32.9DukeACC0.66250.5884828-529-51-37-110-18-03-013-211343-0.1-0.1
43.6West VirginiaBE0.66050.6047327-627-66-43-19-16-03-011-13234-0.4-0.7
55.0SyracuseBE0.65130.58591128-428-45-23-29-06-05-013-013750.0NaN
66.0Kansas St.B120.64550.6085225-725-74-34-23-111-13-012-152460.0NaN
77.0GeorgetownBE0.63510.6194123-1023-106-53-36-13-15-010-12770.0NaN
88.0BaylorB120.63340.58391424-724-72-45-15-08-24-012-11613880.0NaN
99.6New MexicoMWC0.62940.54627029-429-45-22-15-09-19-014-195090.61.3
1110.6ButlerHorz0.62670.54177728-428-42-11-23-114-08-08-4265100.61.3
1011.2TempleA100.62830.55495128-529-53-34-04-213-05-012-32942110.20.1
1211.6Texas A&MB120.62610.5970622-922-91-64-34-08-05-010-3274312-0.4-0.8
1312.9TennesseeSEC0.62550.57861925-825-82-40-19-17-27-012-2195713-0.1-0.2
1413.4VillanovaBE0.62530.57472224-724-73-54-16-16-05-011-12217814-0.6-0.9
1514.6PittsburghBE0.62450.58661024-824-83-24-37-26-04-111-2214815-0.4-0.8
1616.0PurdueB100.62300.55365327-527-54-23-24-19-18-012-010118160.0NaN
1717.0Northern IowaMVC0.62100.527111228-428-40-04-16-012-16-210-151238170.0NaN
1818.4San Diego St.MWC0.61580.55584823-823-82-32-22-110-17-19-336123180.40.8
1919.4XavierA100.61510.56144124-824-81-52-27-19-05-09-54620190.40.8
2020.4CaliforniaP100.61470.58351523-1023-100-41-25-116-31-08-481200.40.8
2221.4WisconsinB100.61380.57032823-823-84-22-33-37-17-010-21430210.40.8
2122.1RichmondA100.61440.55025926-726-82-23-15-59-07-011-43772220.10.0
2323.0Brigham YoungMWC0.61250.525211628-528-52-22-34-010-010-014-12819623-0.0-0.1
2424.0MarylandACC0.61180.57472322-822-81-34-36-24-07-09-410615824-0.0-0.1
2624.4Ohio St.B100.60900.54796326-727-73-42-15-26-111-010-35312826-1.6-0.7
2525.6VanderbiltSEC0.61030.57162523-823-82-22-06-47-26-010-34976250.61.2
2726.7Old DominionCAA0.60530.53858926-826-81-20-17-45-113-08-5431627-0.3-0.5
2828.1Michigan St.B100.60310.55544924-824-82-32-25-49-07-010-345105280.10.3
2929.2TexasB120.60250.56014424-924-92-63-13-110-16-014-124205290.20.4
3030.2Utah St.WAC0.60220.533410026-726-71-01-28-46-210-010-4599731-0.8-1.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
3131.3SienaMAAC0.60210.517412427-627-60-30-16-18-113-07-59670301.32.1
3231.8Oklahoma St.B120.60200.57152622-1022-104-30-41-214-13-012-23015232-0.2-0.3
3332.1Georgia TechACC0.60000.58541321-1121-122-33-46-35-25-011-23214633-0.9-0.4
3434.0ClemsonACC0.59840.57302421-1021-102-43-25-35-16-012-239142340.0NaN
3535.0St. Mary'sWCC0.59680.521012025-525-51-02-34-15-113-012-23573350.0NaN
3636.0GonzagaWCC0.59560.524011825-625-61-12-35-06-111-112-34159360.0NaN
3737.2LouisvilleBE0.59480.5961720-1220-122-51-25-49-13-09-44822370.20.5
3837.8Texas El PasoCUSA0.59440.527811126-626-60-12-06-37-211-09-412917138-0.2-0.5
4039.5Rhode IslandA100.59250.54357423-923-90-51-06-212-24-012-163640-0.5-1.1
3939.5Wake ForestACC0.59270.56902919-1019-103-23-23-64-06-010-23181390.51.1
4141.0WashingtonP100.59150.54946024-924-93-20-05-313-43-010-22341410.0NaN
4242.0Florida St.ACC0.59020.55335522-922-90-44-25-37-06-012-242216420.0NaN
4343.0Wichita St.MVC0.58770.530410524-924-91-30-18-17-38-110-287281430.0NaN
4444.0MissouriB120.58610.55754622-1022-101-63-12-010-36-012-356192440.0NaN
4545.0UABCUSA0.58510.532910123-823-81-00-33-310-29-012-22094450.0NaN
4646.1CornellIvy0.58440.481720525-425-40-20-02-110-013-112-344126460.10.3
4747.2Kent St.MAC0.58430.53669522-922-90-21-06-38-47-09-54726470.20.5
4848.2Nevada Las VegasMWC0.58380.53729124-824-84-51-03-06-310-011-263201480.20.5
4949.2Notre DameBE0.58380.56513423-1123-114-31-17-44-37-011-273222490.20.5
5050.2MarquetteBE0.58240.56184022-1122-113-71-26-15-07-19-388199500.20.5
5151.6New Mexico St.WAC0.57980.54397221-1121-110-23-33-26-39-17-69153510.61.0
5252.6OaklandSum0.57910.502815624-824-80-30-12-25-117-14-71019520.61.0
5353.1Mississippi St.SEC0.57810.54377323-1023-111-42-15-18-58-012-36520855-1.9-0.5
5453.6DaytonA100.57700.56623320-1220-121-72-11-212-24-011-31521530.61.0
5554.9Virginia TechACC0.57590.513313323-823-80-33-15-36-19-013-176335540.91.3
5656.4FloridaSEC0.57510.56503521-1221-121-72-14-28-16-111-472113560.40.9
5757.4Murray St.OVC0.57490.460326328-428-40-10-02-211-115-06-370176570.40.9
5857.5MinnesotaB100.57490.56393821-1221-134-42-21-28-37-19-3557760-2.5-0.5
5958.4MemphisCUSA0.57430.53968523-923-90-32-25-07-39-110-510260580.40.9
6059.4William & MaryCAA0.57350.528410921-1021-102-01-33-46-09-37-31828590.40.9
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
6160.4Seton HallBE0.57230.56793219-1219-121-73-22-36-07-09-25819761-0.6-1.2
6261.4MississippiSEC0.57130.54507121-1021-101-51-11-39-19-012-23414062-0.6-1.2
6363.1Arizona St.P100.57000.54118122-1022-101-51-12-112-36-010-35458630.10.4
6464.3ConnecticutBE0.56980.5984417-1517-152-52-45-45-23-010-31210640.30.7
6564.5CincinnatiBE0.56980.5869918-1518-151-73-53-35-06-09-3335165-0.5-0.6
6666.0Virginia CommonwealthCAA0.56730.512513622-922-91-02-23-34-312-19-11795660.0NaN
6767.0MarshallCUSA0.56590.525811420-920-90-11-32-47-110-09-34071670.0NaN
6868.0TulsaCUSA0.56510.53459922-1122-110-11-43-58-110-010-480133680.0NaN
6969.0WoffordSC0.56350.482620225-825-80-10-22-28-315-07-585117690.0NaN
7070.2Sam Houston St.Slnd0.56270.483119921-721-70-10-00-110-311-24-5157107700.20.5
7170.8South FloridaBE0.56260.54836220-1220-122-41-43-36-18-010-27123471-0.2-0.5
7272.0Texas TechB120.56220.58551217-1517-150-83-50-09-25-012-21384720.0NaN
7373.0NevadaWAC0.56180.54257519-1219-120-11-35-58-26-17-69847730.0NaN
7474.5NortheasternCAA0.55950.53669320-1220-120-03-33-34-610-05-710311740.50.9
7575.0IllinoisB100.55910.56473619-1419-142-53-51-15-48-08-512711075-0.0-0.0
7675.6Illinois St.MVC0.55860.512513522-1022-100-21-24-39-38-010-211532476-0.4-0.9
7777.0CharlotteA100.55500.53549719-1219-122-51-31-17-38-010-457135770.0NaN
7878.0Louisiana TechWAC0.55470.494617023-1023-100-11-33-48-211-113-260292780.0NaN
7979.1PortlandWCC0.55430.517712319-1019-100-11-51-16-211-18-59578790.10.4
8079.9Wright St.Horz0.55400.511113920-1220-120-30-11-310-49-17-510516480-0.1-0.4
8181.0FairfieldMAAC0.55300.494517222-1022-100-10-41-15-416-07-4130274810.0NaN
8282.0St. John'sBE0.55130.57512117-1517-151-73-43-24-26-010-22564820.0NaN
8383.0Morehead St.OVC0.54870.500516021-1021-100-10-21-48-212-13-61196830.0NaN
8484.4IUPUISum0.54750.491917922-1022-100-10-11-56-215-15-61223885-0.6-1.3
8685.3St. LouisA100.54730.529210719-1119-111-31-22-210-45-08-5180226841.31.3
8585.4Weber St.BSky0.54750.505815118-1018-100-10-32-36-210-14-61131786-0.6-1.3
8787.0Indiana St.MVC0.54660.54656816-1416-140-20-23-39-54-27-474116870.0NaN
8888.0IonaMAAC0.54600.503515521-1021-100-10-32-28-211-29-362141880.0NaN
8989.0AkronMAC0.54570.501815823-1023-100-10-32-312-29-19-5161213890.0NaN
9090.0Missouri St.MVC0.54490.516912620-1220-120-20-35-26-59-011-150254900.0NaN
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
9191.1College of CharlestonSC0.54430.492917521-1121-110-10-12-15-714-16-61176592-0.9-4.0
9291.9North CarolinaACC0.54380.57861816-1616-161-52-76-22-25-011-46199910.94.0
9393.3South CarolinaSEC0.54250.57602015-1615-162-41-22-55-55-09-57863930.30.4
9494.2UC Santa BarbaraBW0.54200.485019419-919-90-20-01-16-212-45-514491940.20.3
9594.5OhioMAC0.54200.526311320-1420-140-11-24-48-57-29-5816995-0.5-0.7
9696.1ArizonaP100.54140.56134216-1516-151-41-33-19-72-06-61111897-0.9-2.5
9797.1MontanaBSky0.54110.481520620-920-90-00-12-19-59-27-37917798-0.9-2.5
9897.7North Carolina St.ACC0.54110.54636919-1519-151-25-42-64-37-012-3109277961.72.5
9999.0Miami FLACC0.54030.528910819-1319-130-33-44-31-311-013-082346990.0NaN
100100.4HarvardIvy0.53810.459126520-720-70-10-21-14-215-110-375239101-0.6-1.2
101101.4Appalachian St.SC0.53800.490218320-1120-110-00-12-39-49-35-510049103-1.6-3.2
102101.7Morgan St.MEAC0.53800.448729227-927-90-10-10-22-325-29-8136173102-0.3-0.2
103102.4AlabamaSEC0.53790.55754717-1517-151-50-33-45-38-010-486931002.44.9
104104.0North TexasSB0.53620.457827022-822-80-10-10-07-115-56-3661671040.0NaN
105105.1BradleyMVC0.53470.54756616-1516-151-31-24-45-55-16-5163151106-0.9-2.9
106105.9GeorgiaSEC0.53430.57911614-1714-171-42-34-72-25-18-589741050.92.9
107107.0Wisconsin Green BayHorz0.53120.501915719-1219-121-21-12-25-610-17-4901151070.0NaN
108108.0BuffaloMAC0.53060.506615017-1217-120-11-12-26-68-27-468871080.0NaN
109109.0TroySB0.53030.494517117-1217-120-00-10-37-410-42-6201561090.0NaN
110110.0HoustonCUSA0.52990.529410618-1518-150-02-23-57-56-37-61581371100.0NaN
111111.0DuquesneA100.52940.53938615-1515-150-50-22-46-47-08-567671110.0NaN
112112.3Long Beach St.BW0.52900.528011015-1615-160-31-31-24-39-55-7522113-0.7-1.4
113112.7Southern CaliforniaP100.52890.53858816-1416-142-14-22-24-94-08-4941011120.71.4
114114.0Southern MississippiCUSA0.52780.511114116-1316-130-01-50-53-112-26-41282481140.0NaN
115115.4CreightonMVC0.52710.53759016-1516-150-41-12-66-47-06-6191169116-0.6-1.2
116115.6NorthwesternB100.52700.514413120-1320-131-51-33-24-211-212-1642831150.61.2
117117.0Northern ColoradoBSky0.52570.436731623-723-70-00-02-37-214-211-21333441170.0NaN
118118.0OklahomaB120.52560.57891713-1813-180-63-51-35-34-19-5931451180.0NaN
119119.0VermontAE0.52560.441730725-925-90-00-11-09-415-410-51483011190.0NaN
120120.0Colorado St.MWC0.52550.53679215-1515-150-70-21-16-58-08-51071861200.0NaN
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
121121.0ColoradoB120.52530.56883013-1613-161-50-51-36-35-07-51622121210.0NaN
122122.0East Tennessee St.ASun0.52460.496116919-1419-140-10-21-26-412-53-711831220.0NaN
123123.0Western CarolinaSC0.52460.476321519-1119-110-01-32-14-412-37-338521230.0NaN
124124.0Iowa St.B120.52420.56243915-1715-171-80-51-16-37-011-4110215125-1.0-Inf
125125.0Boston CollegeACC0.52400.55515015-1615-160-41-65-34-35-09-51762551241.0Inf
126126.0Oral RobertsSum0.52350.488518619-1319-131-01-21-72-114-35-7137401260.0NaN
127127.3VirginiaACC0.52190.55305715-1615-160-42-44-44-45-09-41602751270.30.4
128127.9PacificBW0.52170.477920920-1120-111-10-21-33-215-38-6154174128-0.1-0.4
129128.9Robert MorrisNEC0.52160.461325823-1123-110-20-11-05-617-26-8208195129-0.1-0.4
130130.0NiagaraMAAC0.52100.504815318-1518-150-01-13-55-79-28-51211881300.0NaN
131131.0Wisconsin MilwaukeeHorz0.52070.498816518-1418-140-40-11-27-610-16-51512061310.0NaN
132132.1MichiganB100.52000.55435214-1714-171-51-43-14-66-16-5145881320.10.3
133132.9Western KentuckySB0.51970.487918721-1321-130-01-12-22-816-27-615983133-0.1-0.3
134134.0PrincetonIvy0.51910.449129019-819-80-10-21-03-315-28-51693081340.0NaN
135135.0BelmontASun0.51840.476021819-1219-120-10-10-27-212-65-599351350.0NaN
137136.4Coastal CarolinaBSth0.51780.423833024-624-60-10-02-02-320-27-2138323137-0.6-1.2
136136.7UCLAP100.51790.56094314-1814-181-41-23-56-63-15-7171291360.71.4
138138.1OregonP100.51710.54088216-1616-160-31-31-610-44-08-4116124140-1.9-5.4
139139.1RiderMAAC0.51690.509114617-1617-160-10-32-46-59-37-61351651381.13.3
140139.7Boston UniversityAE0.51690.485319219-1319-130-10-11-43-715-06-71771031390.70.9
141141.0ProvidenceBE0.51660.57082712-1912-190-60-53-63-26-08-41041751410.0NaN
142142.0Stony BrookAE0.51540.436031721-921-90-00-10-16-315-47-51973311420.0NaN
143143.0JacksonvilleASun0.51520.463925119-1219-120-10-10-24-415-44-51311081430.0NaN
144144.1Miami OHMAC0.51470.54128014-1814-180-41-12-75-46-24-10206331440.10.3
145144.9HofstraCAA0.51450.501315918-1418-140-10-12-82-414-07-5125125145-0.1-0.3
146146.3DrexelCAA0.51400.511413716-1616-160-20-33-33-510-35-8170921460.30.5
147147.0QuinnipiacNEC0.51390.429032423-923-90-00-10-03-520-38-5186338148-1.0-1.9
148147.7George WashingtonA100.51360.504215416-1416-140-40-12-46-58-010-31233141470.71.1
149149.0NebraskaB120.51330.55355415-1815-180-81-42-16-56-012-3772641490.0NaN
151150.6Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.51270.445929820-920-90-00-00-45-315-27-3142273151-0.4-0.9
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
150151.0Western MichiganMAC0.51280.506814817-1517-150-10-14-46-57-47-692391501.01.2
152151.4LehighPat0.51230.445729922-1022-100-10-00-11-321-59-6185294152-0.6-0.7
153153.0MaineAE0.51100.459126618-1118-110-10-00-14-514-47-51242141530.0NaN
154154.0Eastern KentuckyOVC0.51030.473522518-1218-120-20-00-57-311-27-41081661540.0NaN
155155.4St. BonaventureA100.50930.525711514-1614-160-51-00-76-47-06-61341301550.40.8
156155.6AuburnSEC0.50910.54756514-1714-170-20-22-95-47-08-6150143156-0.4-0.8
158157.5UtahMWC0.50750.53888714-1714-170-63-21-24-56-27-7211184158-0.5-1.1
157157.5George MasonCAA0.50760.499216417-1417-140-11-21-63-312-25-72401981570.51.1
159159.0ArkansasSEC0.50680.55834514-1814-180-30-44-35-65-27-8183551590.0NaN
160160.0WinthropBSth0.50650.468424017-1317-130-00-10-43-514-32-72451201600.0NaN
161161.0RutgersBE0.50630.54916114-1714-171-51-21-85-26-09-31142351610.0NaN
162162.2Austin PeayOVC0.50580.505215215-1515-150-20-13-54-68-14-7120141620.20.5
163162.8Washington St.P100.50560.512613415-1515-150-30-32-25-78-09-269276163-0.2-0.5
164164.2StanfordP100.50530.54147814-1814-180-30-41-58-55-16-61901621640.20.5
165164.8DenverSB0.50520.471823019-1319-130-10-01-14-614-57-49780165-0.2-0.5
166166.0Cleveland St.Horz0.50460.53549614-1714-170-60-12-13-99-03-8199131660.0NaN
167167.0Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.50330.492217714-1514-150-00-30-44-410-43-82211341670.0NaN
168168.2DetroitHorz0.50260.478120819-1419-140-30-00-310-59-38-41753211680.20.6
169168.9RadfordBSth0.50250.470123817-1217-120-20-10-14-313-53-619625169-0.1-0.2
170169.9Eastern IllinoisOVC0.50230.471823117-1217-120-00-01-65-511-15-4188263170-0.1-0.4
171171.0Southern IllinoisMVC0.50180.514413214-1514-150-20-33-43-68-08-2842911710.0NaN
172172.0Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.50150.482620116-1516-150-20-20-02-714-44-8194681720.0NaN
173173.0IdahoWAC0.50010.511213813-1613-160-00-31-86-36-37-51392371730.0NaN
174174.0Loyola MarymountWCC0.50010.486718917-1517-150-02-41-53-011-68-71722281740.0NaN
175175.0La SalleA100.49970.53669412-1812-180-60-30-45-47-18-61121141750.0NaN
176176.0MassachusettsA100.49890.54766411-2011-200-51-32-44-84-05-8165611760.0NaN
177177.0San Jose St.WAC0.49850.516812713-1713-170-00-52-54-47-47-61402111770.0NaN
178178.3Middle TennesseeSB0.49710.471922917-1317-130-10-20-24-413-44-7252185179-0.7-1.7
179179.3DrakeMVC0.49690.530910314-1914-190-41-12-65-56-36-7233251180-0.7-1.7
180179.9Saint Joseph'sA100.49690.55145811-2011-200-60-41-36-64-16-8141441781.91.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
181180.8DavidsonSC0.49680.506714914-1514-150-10-31-45-58-23-721632181-0.2-0.5
182181.8St. Peter'sMAAC0.49650.482620316-1416-140-00-21-44-411-45-6238305182-0.2-0.5
183183.1CampbellASun0.49610.452428017-1117-110-00-00-13-614-43-4225229184-0.9-2.5
184183.8Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.49590.455527517-1517-150-10-40-20-617-20-1127441830.81.9
185185.0Oregon St.P100.49540.516612814-1714-171-10-32-38-83-26-62303021850.0NaN
186186.0ValparaisoHorz0.49400.509414512-1712-170-30-10-44-78-22-82461531860.0NaN
187187.0Texas San AntonioSlnd0.49220.450328616-1116-110-00-11-14-411-57-31262971870.0NaN
188188.0Texas ChristianMWC0.49100.54127911-1911-190-70-30-31-610-06-72031901880.0NaN
189189.4Bowling GreenMAC0.49060.499316313-1613-160-21-12-32-88-27-51462331890.40.8
190189.6Fresno St.WAC0.49030.519412114-1814-180-20-23-63-68-27-8210194190-0.4-0.8
191191.0Central FloridaCUSA0.49020.509714314-1714-170-00-40-85-39-27-61681891910.0NaN
192192.0Seattleind0.48680.456127317-1417-140-00-21-44-412-416-141892651920.0NaN
193193.2Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.48550.451028315-1215-120-00-00-32-513-44-52172421930.20.5
194193.8Penn St.B100.48520.54187611-2011-200-60-40-66-15-48-4166288194-0.2-0.5
195195.4Central MichiganMAC0.48290.473022714-1514-150-10-11-43-510-45-72122431950.40.9
196195.6Tennessee TechOVC0.48270.489218513-1713-170-10-00-83-510-34-615275196-0.4-0.9
197197.0Northern ArizonaBSky0.48130.472322812-1412-140-20-00-61-511-14-51742091970.0NaN
198198.0The CitadelSC0.48120.484219714-1614-160-20-11-42-411-54-61791041980.0NaN
199199.0Jackson St.SWAC0.48080.428132618-1218-120-10-00-22-616-31-10288621990.0NaN
200200.0Montana St.BSky0.47950.471323213-1413-140-00-03-42-58-53-72321822000.0NaN
202201.5Eastern MichiganMAC0.47840.468723915-1515-150-10-13-21-811-36-6195268202-0.5-1.1
201201.5Arkansas St.SB0.47850.465124615-1415-140-00-10-44-511-43-62572232010.51.1
203203.0Boise St.WAC0.47730.491818014-1714-170-00-41-76-37-49-51923252030.0NaN
204204.3Cal St. FullertonBW0.47700.470423614-1514-150-10-11-43-310-65-61811702040.30.6
205204.9San FranciscoWCC0.47690.519312210-1810-180-11-40-53-56-33-10258106206-1.1-2.0
206205.8CanisiusMAAC0.47690.473822415-1715-170-00-21-44-710-46-62143122050.81.8
207207.0LipscombASun0.47640.446129716-1316-130-10-10-25-411-52-63022582070.0NaN
208208.3Southern MethodistCUSA0.47520.515012912-1712-170-10-41-72-49-15-7262220209-0.7-1.4
209208.7South AlabamaSB0.47520.464624815-1515-150-00-11-13-911-46-41822822080.71.4
210210.0LafayettePat0.47510.428932519-1319-130-10-00-01-518-79-62183372100.0NaN
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
211211.0IowaB100.47460.55305610-2210-220-50-50-54-76-06-72041212110.0NaN
212212.0DePaulBE0.47330.5639378-238-231-61-40-82-34-27-51321502120.0NaN
213213.0Loyola ChicagoHorz0.47160.483020012-1612-160-30-01-13-118-17-2832692130.0NaN
214214.0Loyola MDMAAC0.47050.476421413-1713-170-10-20-44-59-57-41533062140.0NaN
215215.0South DakotaGWC0.47040.394234418-918-90-10-20-21-217-25-82482102150.0NaN
216216.0Florida AtlanticSB0.47000.476121612-1612-160-10-00-22-910-42-72711802160.0NaN
217217.1NC AshevilleBSth0.46980.484319612-1612-160-20-00-22-810-40-827082170.10.4
218218.1Ball St.MAC0.46950.476121714-1514-150-30-12-36-36-56-62192212180.10.2
219219.3Delaware St.MEAC0.46900.446729414-1214-120-10-00-20-514-42-62801222190.30.3
220219.5MercerASun0.46880.474222314-1714-170-00-30-16-78-62-6241127220-0.5-0.9
221221.0Portland St.BSky0.46850.490818111-1911-190-00-22-52-107-23-9222102222-1.0-Inf
222222.0IndianaB100.46810.54038310-2110-211-70-21-43-55-36-62392412211.0Inf
223223.0South Carolina St.MEAC0.46600.430532115-1415-140-00-10-31-114-93-72612782230.0NaN
224224.0Louisiana St.SEC0.46550.53539811-2011-200-40-11-84-76-09-51672252240.0NaN
225225.0IUPU Fort WayneSum0.46470.451628214-1514-150-10-21-41-312-54-52343002250.0NaN
226226.0ManhattanMAAC0.46400.499716211-2011-200-00-41-41-89-46-51562182260.0NaN
227227.0Texas SouthernSWAC0.46140.439831115-1615-160-00-20-24-711-52-8202152270.0NaN
228228.0WyomingMWC0.46110.5465678-218-211-70-20-13-64-55-7184662280.0NaN
229229.0BinghamtonAE0.46070.486019111-1811-180-10-10-13-128-33-10244962290.0NaN
230230.0San DiegoWCC0.45980.509914210-2110-210-20-40-53-67-46-92071292300.0NaN
231231.0East CarolinaCUSA0.45940.52351197-217-210-20-40-61-76-23-8200462310.0NaN
232232.0LibertyBSth0.45760.460926012-1612-160-00-30-01-1011-32-7249852320.0NaN
233233.4Santa ClaraWCC0.45680.51111409-219-210-10-51-52-56-56-9187982330.40.9
234233.6South Dakota St.Sum0.45660.467424212-1612-160-10-00-62-310-62-7275149234-0.4-0.9
235235.0Texas ArlingtonSlnd0.45630.458426812-1412-140-10-10-23-59-54-52673172350.0NaN
236236.4North FloridaASun0.45580.466224412-1812-180-00-20-12-1010-54-5143119237-0.6-1.0
237236.8NC WilmingtonCAA0.45570.50961449-229-220-10-21-73-85-44-82131002360.81.3
238237.8ChattanoogaSC0.45540.475422113-1813-180-10-20-56-37-76-5149147238-0.2-0.4
239239.0DelawareCAA0.45490.5399847-247-240-20-30-82-65-54-8155272390.0NaN
240240.0Long IslandNEC0.45310.447029314-1714-170-00-00-33-511-94-92812802400.0NaN
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
242241.8New HampshireAE0.45230.463025512-1712-170-20-00-13-89-65-6223271242-0.2-0.4
241242.3James MadisonCAA0.45240.477321113-2013-200-10-22-52-69-68-51933412411.30.9
243242.4Texas St.Slnd0.45230.461025911-1611-160-00-11-22-78-62-8334313243-0.6-1.0
244243.6UC DavisBW0.45220.463625312-1812-180-00-00-31-911-63-9303316244-0.4-0.9
245245.0Louisiana LafayetteSB0.45150.456527212-1612-160-00-11-03-68-92-72992932450.0NaN
246246.0Air ForceMWC0.45130.53051048-218-210-70-30-11-97-16-52092442460.0NaN
247247.0ArmyPat0.44880.440431013-1513-150-00-01-11-411-109-41473192470.0NaN
248248.3Georgia St.CAA0.44850.490418211-2011-200-00-30-72-59-56-62052572480.30.7
249248.8NC GreensboroSC0.44840.51501308-238-230-30-20-71-67-51-1022812249-0.2-0.4
250249.9EvansvilleMVC0.44820.51741258-218-211-21-10-72-104-15-5254326250-0.1-0.3
252251.4Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.44660.485219311-2111-210-10-11-13-117-75-10235154252-0.6-1.3
251251.6ColumbiaIvy0.44660.463825211-1711-170-10-20-11-610-76-82262592510.61.3
253253.0HawaiiWAC0.44470.52421179-209-200-20-52-51-66-36-72311552530.0NaN
254254.0High PointBSth0.44420.422333313-1513-150-00-10-13-410-93-62873362540.0NaN
255255.0UC RiversideBW0.44400.465324510-1710-170-20-00-33-47-85-62152562550.0NaN
257256.4Cal PolyBW0.44320.453827912-1912-190-10-11-12-69-104-9292322257-0.6-1.2
256256.6BrownIvy0.44330.47702129-209-200-00-40-42-47-84-112662172560.61.2
258258.2BucknellPat0.44150.432932014-1714-170-10-20-01-413-105-113093322580.20.5
259258.8Bethune CookmanMEAC0.44140.424432914-1614-160-00-10-30-314-96-6178227259-0.2-0.5
260260.0Tennessee St.OVC0.44070.48711889-239-230-00-20-53-116-53-102511682600.0NaN
261261.4Northern IllinoisMAC0.43850.476921310-2010-200-20-10-42-88-54-92722322610.40.5
262261.8SamfordSC0.43820.48471958-208-200-10-20-40-108-33-619889262-0.2-0.5
263262.8Sacred HeartNEC0.43790.418633414-1514-150-10-00-11-613-79-4173345263-0.2-0.5
264264.2TowsonCAA0.43770.482520410-2110-210-00-31-31-108-53-83042522640.20.5
265264.8NavyPat0.43770.441930513-1713-170-00-00-23-410-116-9277296265-0.2-0.5
266266.0Norfolk St.MEAC0.43670.450428511-1911-190-10-20-31-310-102-113001442660.0NaN
267267.0YaleIvy0.43640.455627411-1911-190-00-20-20-1011-55-112913072670.0NaN
268268.0North Dakota St.Sum0.43540.46452499-189-180-00-10-40-89-51-73052032680.0NaN
269269.0ElonSC0.43400.48341988-238-230-00-10-62-86-82-92551722690.0NaN
270270.0Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.43240.463225411-2111-210-10-20-11-810-93-123142402700.0NaN
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
271271.0Youngstown St.Horz0.43240.50891476-226-220-40-10-21-125-34-51641392710.0NaN
272272.0Prairie View A&MSWAC0.43190.409133812-1412-140-10-10-20-412-61-63201482720.0NaN
273273.0Louisiana MonroeSB0.43150.459926410-1910-190-00-01-12-107-83-62732872730.0NaN
274274.0Holy CrossPat0.43130.47532229-229-220-00-20-30-79-103-122831792740.0NaN
275275.0Alabama St.SWAC0.43120.400234113-1513-150-00-00-11-812-60-83472842750.0NaN
276276.0UC IrvineBW0.43110.444630112-1812-180-00-11-12-89-86-72643302760.0NaN
277277.0Nicholls St.Slnd0.43030.47112348-188-180-10-00-31-107-41-82851362770.0NaN
278278.2FurmanSC0.42950.441930611-1711-170-00-10-62-49-64-52603292780.20.5
279278.8Eastern WashingtonBSky0.42950.49211787-217-210-10-11-53-83-62-1025386279-0.2-0.5
280280.0Western IllinoisSum0.42850.444130210-1710-170-10-00-61-29-84-42293272800.0NaN
281281.0Missouri Kansas CitySum0.42790.446229510-1810-180-00-20-60-310-74-52503282810.0NaN
282282.0TulaneCUSA0.42780.49281768-228-220-10-30-63-65-65-82682612820.0NaN
283283.1HamptonMEAC0.42700.417833514-1814-180-00-00-50-314-105-9284320284-0.9-2.5
284283.9Kennesaw St.ASun0.42690.450028711-2011-200-00-20-10-1111-63-62862892830.92.5
285285.4Charleston SouthernBSth0.42640.44952899-179-170-10-00-23-66-82-5224161286-0.6-1.3
286285.6Longwoodind0.42630.45842698-198-190-20-10-31-37-105-172591632850.61.3
287287.0St. Francis PANEC0.42500.450928411-1911-190-10-10-12-79-93-92902302870.0NaN
288288.0Georgia SouthernSC0.42430.49621687-237-230-00-00-74-93-71-103171592880.0NaN
289289.0MonmouthNEC0.42420.439131212-1912-190-00-00-12-1010-86-82953422890.0NaN
290290.0ColgatePat0.42300.453827810-1910-190-10-00-10-710-104-103122862900.0NaN
291291.0Illinois ChicagoHorz0.42240.49321747-227-220-30-00-43-114-44-62372452910.0NaN
293292.1LamarSlnd0.42160.457127110-1810-180-00-00-52-68-75-7276290293-0.9-2.5
292292.9Winston Salem St.ind0.42160.44622968-178-170-10-20-20-38-98-172782952920.92.5
294294.3AmericanPat0.41930.443330311-2011-200-10-00-20-511-123-123383342940.30.6
295294.7St. Francis NYNEC0.41930.426232811-1811-180-10-00-12-59-115-8293343295-0.3-0.6
296296.0Florida InternationalSB0.41740.48661906-256-250-00-10-42-104-102-102892072960.0NaN
297297.0Sacramento St.BSky0.41530.46172567-217-210-00-00-42-115-64-82432672970.0NaN
298298.0Jacksonville St.OVC0.41490.46412509-199-190-00-10-63-76-52-73322982980.0NaN
299299.0North Carolina A&TMEAC0.41420.45482768-228-220-10-10-51-37-121-113131122990.0NaN
300300.5Arkansas Little RockSB0.41340.49761666-226-220-00-00-62-74-92-7220193000.51.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
301300.9PennsylvaniaIvy0.41330.47752106-226-220-31-10-10-85-91-13329236301-0.1-0.1
302301.5AlbanyAE0.41320.47562197-257-250-10-10-21-126-95-10227181302-0.5-0.9
303303.0PepperdineWCC0.41190.49411736-236-230-00-40-42-74-83-113102533030.0NaN
304304.0HartfordAE0.41160.46062618-228-220-20-00-10-118-82-113312793040.0NaN
305305.0Idaho St.BSky0.41120.49011845-225-220-10-21-31-103-61-10279111306-1.0-Inf
306306.0FordhamA100.41100.53211022-262-260-50-20-51-91-52-102962023051.0Inf
307307.0South Carolina UpstateASun0.41070.47352266-236-230-00-20-20-116-80-9322823070.0NaN
308308.0Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.41040.429232311-2111-210-00-10-30-511-122-123332663080.0NaN
310309.4Central ConnecticutNEC0.40930.409233712-1812-180-00-00-10-712-105-8335347310-0.6-1.3
309309.6Virginia Military InstBSth0.40940.46482476-196-190-10-00-20-86-81-5256453090.61.3
311311.0RiceCUSA0.40640.48062077-237-230-00-30-60-77-76-72472723110.0NaN
312312.0Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.40310.47032376-236-230-00-00-70-116-52-82651573120.0NaN
313313.2Northwestern St.Slnd0.40270.43793137-187-180-10-00-30-67-82-73193183130.20.5
314313.8CentenarySum0.40260.46052626-216-210-00-10-70-36-103-6236200314-0.2-0.5
315315.0McNeese St.Slnd0.40170.44153087-207-200-00-00-42-55-112-93213033150.0NaN
316316.0Savannah St.ind0.39990.42333327-157-150-10-10-00-77-65-132822703160.0NaN
317317.0Cal St. Bakersfieldind0.39830.44982887-227-220-00-20-11-96-107-202982853170.0NaN
318318.0Gardner WebbBSth0.39810.46162575-215-210-10-10-20-85-90-8323793180.0NaN
319319.0Florida A&MMEAC0.39600.43713158-228-220-00-20-10-68-133-102942243190.0NaN
320320.0Central ArkansasSlnd0.39570.44563006-206-200-10-00-31-65-103-72632623200.0NaN
321321.0Florida Gulf CoastASun0.39530.43543198-218-210-00-10-12-66-133-63063393210.0NaN
322322.0SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.39480.47542203-233-230-10-00-51-22-153-183112463220.0NaN
323323.0New OrleansSB0.39170.45452776-226-220-00-00-10-116-103-63013333230.0NaN
324324.2ToledoMAC0.39120.50041613-283-280-00-30-50-143-62-122971323240.20.5
325324.8Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.39110.42703278-238-230-00-10-20-108-100-12337156325-0.2-0.5
326326.0StetsonASun0.38990.45862675-225-220-00-20-21-74-110-73412043260.0NaN
327327.0Southern UtahSum0.38950.47092355-225-220-00-20-50-55-102-72691313270.0NaN
328328.0Houston BaptistGWC0.38730.394434312-2112-210-00-00-10-512-151-173463153280.0NaN
329329.0PresbyterianBSth0.38560.46652434-264-260-10-20-40-84-112-10242903290.0NaN
330330.0HowardMEAC0.38490.43733147-257-250-00-10-20-67-161-143261873300.0NaN
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
331331.0Alabama A&MSWAC0.38240.39103458-158-150-00-10-10-58-80-43431833310.0NaN
332332.0WagnerNEC0.38080.45192815-265-260-10-00-12-83-162-123273043320.0NaN
333333.0MD Baltimore CountyAE0.38050.44902914-264-260-00-00-11-123-131-123443403330.0NaN
334334.0MaristMAAC0.37840.49741671-291-290-00-20-40-111-120-113402503340.0NaN
335335.0DartmouthIvy0.37820.47132334-234-230-00-20-10-84-123-103162493350.0NaN
336336.0Texas Pan AmericanGWC0.37630.43553186-276-270-00-20-30-96-131-183251603360.0NaN
337337.0Coppin St.MEAC0.36550.43033225-225-220-10-10-10-45-152-83072603370.0NaN
338338.0Tennessee MartinOVC0.36350.46762412-252-250-00-20-50-92-90-83361933380.0NaN
339339.0North DakotaGWC0.36170.40873396-226-220-20-00-10-56-141-143302193390.0NaN
340340.0GramblingSWAC0.36110.40433406-216-210-10-10-11-55-131-63082313400.0NaN
341341.0NJ Inst of TechnologyGWC0.35610.39453427-217-210-00-00-10-77-132-123242473410.0NaN
342342.0Utah ValleyGWC0.35000.38003478-188-180-10-10-10-38-123-103282993420.0NaN
343343.0SouthernSWAC0.34880.41443365-245-240-20-10-10-75-132-93151913430.0NaN
344344.6Chicago St.GWC0.34330.38863466-226-220-00-00-10-76-142-13339310345-0.4-0.7
346344.8Alcorn St.SWAC0.34330.44253042-292-290-20-30-10-82-160-13318543440.80.9
345345.6Bryantind0.34330.44133091-291-290-00-10-20-61-201-29342309346-0.4-0.9
347347.0North Carolina Centralind0.34130.42353313-223-220-00-00-50-13-161-203453113470.0NaN

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: questions@rpiforecast.com