Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.

How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

New! For Simulations INCLUDING CONFERENCE TOURNAMENTS, click here (updated at least weekly)

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Through games of Feb 7, 2010.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
11.8KansasB120.67270.58681022-128-35-24-16-011-03-014-164010.80.6
23.0SyracuseBE0.66450.5875923-128-34-14-110-06-04-013-013921.00.6
33.7DukeACC0.66020.5960619-426-52-36-18-16-13-013-292730.70.4
43.9West VirginiaBE0.66010.6030219-325-54-34-18-17-02-011-12254-0.1-0.1
56.1KentuckySEC0.64930.56713522-127-42-13-08-211-04-015-088860.10.0
66.2VillanovaBE0.64870.58181720-225-53-44-17-16-04-011-11714951.20.4
77.0Kansas St.B120.64470.6010518-423-64-23-23-110-03-012-13197-0.0-0.0
88.9GeorgetownBE0.63840.6088117-521-85-42-25-25-04-010-151580.90.2
912.3WisconsinB100.62920.56883218-524-63-22-26-15-17-010-2224493.30.6
1114.3New MexicoMWC0.62470.54976221-326-53-13-24-18-18-014-11054104.30.9
1014.8TennesseeSEC0.62550.58121918-423-72-32-16-27-15-012-2134117-2.2-0.3
1214.9PurdueB100.62450.55784919-325-54-22-24-28-07-012-0772113.90.6
1315.2TexasB120.62430.56753419-424-73-34-26-27-06-014-11916821-5.8-0.8
1415.9Brigham YoungMWC0.62210.528110721-327-41-23-26-09-09-014-12618320-4.1-0.7
1517.9ButlerHorz0.61890.54178020-425-51-12-23-113-06-08-4325152.90.5
1619.0Northern IowaMVC0.61780.527310921-226-30-02-15-112-16-010-154212136.00.8
1720.7Rhode IslandA100.61530.54227919-324-51-23-24-012-15-012-1430128.71.1
1821.8VanderbiltSEC0.61470.57632516-521-82-23-16-36-25-010-34480183.80.4
2023.2BaylorB120.61300.57682416-521-82-43-17-14-25-012-12115128-4.8-0.4
1923.3Texas A&MB120.61330.5957716-619-102-63-24-25-05-010-33348194.30.4
2123.6Michigan St.B100.61200.55545319-524-72-32-16-26-18-010-346118149.61.0
2224.1CaliforniaP100.61100.58581115-821-90-30-16-312-22-08-411126-1.9-0.2
2524.9TempleA100.61000.55236019-524-73-33-22-110-27-012-32837231.90.2
2425.2Georgia TechACC0.61040.58401316-620-92-23-35-34-15-011-227117250.20.0
2325.2Wake ForestACC0.61040.57352816-520-81-34-25-34-16-010-237123169.20.8
2626.0PittsburghBE0.60910.58491217-622-92-42-16-38-13-111-22555224.00.4
2726.6XavierA100.60820.56353616-721-91-43-33-18-06-08-6511427-0.4-0.0
2832.1DaytonA100.60220.56284116-622-81-53-21-012-24-011-3182133-0.9-0.1
2932.4Nevada Las VegasMWC0.60160.53689418-423-63-22-14-16-29-011-249153302.40.3
3033.6Utah St.WAC0.60000.53828617-623-71-01-26-37-28-010-4526751-17.4-1.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
3134.4UABCUSA0.59940.532710119-424-61-01-15-48-19-012-22398295.40.5
3234.4SienaMAAC0.59930.514513620-424-60-31-13-111-19-07-59186340.40.1
3435.4Old DominionCAA0.59830.54108118-723-81-12-44-25-112-08-5307350.40.0
3335.5MarylandACC0.59860.57892015-620-91-42-25-35-06-09-49814344-8.5-0.7
3535.5GonzagaWCC0.59820.520311718-424-51-22-16-04-012-112-340452411.51.3
3636.4LouisvilleBE0.59800.6022315-819-121-61-26-310-12-09-4432042-5.6-0.4
3737.6ClemsonACC0.59640.57592716-720-102-42-25-35-16-012-24114240-2.4-0.2
3938.1Ohio St.B100.59570.54357618-623-83-42-13-25-110-010-355148380.10.0
3838.1RichmondA100.59590.54756718-622-91-24-32-38-17-011-43658317.10.7
4039.0MissouriB120.59510.56274217-622-93-52-23-18-26-012-35719847-8.0-0.6
4141.5Florida St.ACC0.59260.55974417-621-92-22-35-36-16-012-24221143-1.5-0.1
4242.1St. Mary'sWCC0.59180.512914020-324-40-12-23-14-013-012-2346545-2.9-0.4
4342.6MississippiSEC0.59130.55156117-622-81-41-14-28-18-012-22485366.60.6
4443.2Virginia CommonwealthCAA0.59090.524311417-522-61-03-23-24-211-09-1146253-9.8-1.0
4544.0San Diego St.MWC0.58970.54637114-719-91-31-21-19-27-19-335104413.00.3
4646.3Wichita St.MVC0.58770.516512819-523-71-21-14-19-38-010-273274379.30.9
4747.1CharlotteA100.58680.53569618-522-81-53-31-08-19-010-469165461.10.1
4847.7Oklahoma St.B120.58660.57592616-719-112-51-22-39-15-012-229146398.70.7
4949.2NortheasternCAA0.58520.54876316-820-100-14-23-24-49-06-659354-4.8-0.5
5050.4WashingtonP100.58390.55315516-721-91-21-15-48-35-010-2203455-4.6-0.4
5150.5FloridaSEC0.58350.56154317-621-102-62-24-17-06-112-372154482.50.2
5252.1CornellIvy0.58220.481120218-325-40-20-03-28-014-012-345139493.10.4
5353.5Texas El PasoCUSA0.58090.527510817-522-70-12-25-36-29-09-412416359-5.5-0.5
5454.2ConnecticutBE0.58010.6010414-918-132-61-26-36-22-010-3161257-2.8-0.2
5554.4Texas TechB120.57980.58401515-718-121-72-33-26-16-012-215943222.41.5
5655.4MarquetteBE0.57930.55924615-820-102-52-15-25-26-09-39320261-5.6-0.4
5756.7William & MaryCAA0.57780.532810015-719-101-03-32-35-19-28-31222524.70.4
5857.5Kent St.MAC0.57670.529810416-721-90-11-22-211-47-19-5502865-7.5-0.7
6161.1CincinnatiBE0.57310.5880814-917-132-52-44-45-14-09-33143565.10.4
5961.2MinnesotaB100.57330.55595014-819-112-41-22-37-17-19-3486862-0.8-0.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
6061.3Louisiana TechWAC0.57310.498616519-423-80-11-13-38-211-012-36528672-10.7-1.0
6262.2Virginia TechACC0.57200.514013818-422-81-32-25-35-19-013-185344584.20.3
6363.1TulsaCUSA0.57150.525711017-521-90-11-23-47-110-010-492162630.10.0
6464.6NevadaWAC0.57040.55275612-918-110-20-34-37-36-07-6643374-9.4-0.6
6564.8Mississippi St.SEC0.56980.531810216-721-101-22-23-28-47-012-36821469-4.2-0.3
6664.9South FloridaBE0.56950.55964515-819-112-31-25-56-15-010-2581975014.91.2
6765.5MemphisCUSA0.56900.53998216-722-90-31-24-17-210-110-51087480-14.5-1.3
6868.0Murray St.OVC0.56670.455026920-325-40-10-11-17-116-06-37818190-22.0-2.6
6971.5Arizona St.P100.56350.53699316-821-100-41-23-39-28-010-37012476-4.5-0.4
7072.6Seton HallBE0.56280.57043112-917-121-62-23-45-17-09-260194648.60.6
7172.6OaklandSum0.56220.498816316-820-90-40-01-15-215-14-710410684.60.5
7274.3South CarolinaSEC0.56100.57692213-916-142-51-33-46-25-09-58790704.30.3
7375.1Notre DameBE0.56030.55265817-720-111-31-25-46-26-111-2842476015.11.1
7476.5IllinoisB100.55910.55894716-818-132-42-32-24-38-08-5125108733.50.3
7679.8OklahomaB120.55610.58151813-915-152-52-43-24-24-19-595141718.80.6
7579.9Sam Houston St.Slnd0.55630.483319512-518-70-10-00-17-311-24-514989754.90.3
7779.9IonaMAAC0.55590.507814618-722-90-10-42-210-210-19-48112987-7.1-0.6
7980.8Weber St.BSky0.55510.508114513-817-90-20-21-15-310-14-61171884-3.2-0.2
7881.0Southern CaliforniaP100.55540.54766614-918-122-23-13-25-55-18-47559792.00.1
8081.7ArizonaP100.55450.57153012-1116-141-31-34-48-33-16-69786714.71.1
8182.0MarshallCUSA0.55450.520211814-718-100-20-31-37-210-19-34710686-4.0-0.3
8282.7New Mexico St.WAC0.55370.54577213-816-130-21-32-35-48-16-711053775.70.4
8382.9Wright St.Horz0.55360.504315715-920-100-20-21-210-58-08-47715297-14.1-1.1
8483.6North CarolinaACC0.55320.58401413-1016-151-72-34-34-15-011-45687785.60.4
8584.3PortlandWCC0.55220.516412913-818-90-11-41-25-211-18-59473831.30.1
8685.5Missouri St.MVC0.55140.519612116-819-110-20-24-28-58-011-153251850.50.0
8788.9NorthwesternB100.54890.516313016-721-101-40-23-26-111-112-1632886622.91.5
8889.5HarvardIvy0.54800.466824714-520-70-10-11-23-215-110-36221692-2.5-0.2
8990.2College of CharlestonSC0.54780.494117616-820-100-10-11-15-613-25-713451882.20.1
9090.7Miami FLACC0.54740.525411215-718-111-22-34-42-210-013-061343828.70.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
9291.9Indiana St.MVC0.54630.54287813-1016-130-20-22-311-53-27-4661208110.90.7
9192.0VirginiaACC0.54660.55265714-717-121-32-33-35-35-19-416027794-2.0-0.1
9395.2Morehead St.OVC0.54370.494617415-719-90-10-11-45-213-13-612013107-11.8-0.8
9498.2ProvidenceBE0.54140.57692312-1114-161-61-32-74-15-08-4101167104-5.8-0.4
95100.2WoffordSC0.54030.476021816-820-100-10-12-43-315-17-586119102-1.8-0.1
96101.2St. John'sBE0.54000.57192912-1015-151-62-33-44-25-010-2391159110.20.5
98101.2Western CarolinaSC0.53970.473522415-619-90-11-12-15-312-37-33857938.20.5
97101.8GeorgiaSEC0.53970.58381610-1113-163-41-42-62-35-08-588758912.80.6
99102.5MontanaBSky0.53840.470223615-718-80-00-11-25-311-27-3831951002.50.2
100103.7Northern ColoradoBSky0.53760.447529119-523-60-00-02-26-214-211-2100316994.70.4
101105.7DrexelCAA0.53650.518112314-1117-140-32-31-24-410-25-815797969.70.6
103106.3Morgan St.MEAC0.53590.446329517-724-90-10-10-23-422-19-8139199131-24.7-1.9
102106.5AlabamaSEC0.53600.55255913-1016-141-51-32-34-29-010-4901131051.50.1
105106.7IUPUISum0.53560.480420515-819-100-10-01-45-313-25-613756108-1.3-0.1
104106.8Boston CollegeACC0.53590.56883312-1115-150-51-44-44-35-09-51532051033.80.2
106108.0Illinois St.MVC0.53540.503015816-819-110-21-12-38-59-010-2141332124-16.0-0.8
107108.8FairfieldMAAC0.53460.488918116-719-100-10-21-26-412-17-4107267115-6.2-0.3
108110.1Iowa St.B120.53350.56294013-1016-150-91-31-37-17-011-4106218114-3.9-0.2
110110.7North Carolina St.ACC0.53340.54297714-1017-141-22-43-74-17-012-31032761091.70.1
109111.0Washington St.P100.53350.516812614-817-120-20-33-35-49-09-26727510110.00.5
111111.9Southern MississippiCUSA0.53290.514113710-815-110-10-31-44-110-26-41152231065.90.3
113113.3AkronMAC0.53160.495217016-720-100-10-21-210-59-19-5151204133-19.7-1.0
112113.5Colorado St.MWC0.53200.53399813-915-140-40-31-26-58-08-51122019815.50.8
115115.5BradleyMVC0.53040.54726812-1115-140-20-24-45-65-06-51611021114.50.2
114115.6PacificBW0.53050.472722715-720-100-11-22-13-415-29-51311691123.60.2
116120.1PrincetonIvy0.52760.456526512-519-80-10-12-12-315-18-51582911200.10.0
118120.9Wisconsin Green BayHorz0.52700.507014914-917-121-20-12-25-78-07-4111136121-0.1-0.0
117121.6Western MichiganMAC0.52710.510614212-1016-130-11-12-34-68-37-671291174.60.2
119122.0Oral RobertsSum0.52630.492717813-1118-121-11-10-62-213-24-8143311184.00.2
120123.2DuquesneA100.52580.53828711-1114-150-40-50-27-47-08-5791059528.21.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
122123.3CreightonMVC0.52550.53988312-1215-150-31-22-46-56-06-6197159127-3.7-0.2
121124.0St. LouisA100.52580.529110513-816-131-22-31-37-46-18-517121711014.00.6
123126.3ArkansasSEC0.52390.56323812-1115-160-41-33-45-35-17-81896611313.30.7
124127.1NebraskaB120.52360.54856413-1016-150-71-33-23-48-012-3822801261.10.1
126129.1Coastal CarolinaBSth0.52210.417333517-422-50-10-02-02-219-27-2147329140-10.9-0.8
125129.7Austin PeayOVC0.52210.505315212-1116-130-20-11-45-510-25-61222411613.70.7
127131.4Eastern KentuckyOVC0.52110.472422815-819-100-10-11-34-314-27-4132192139-7.6-0.4
128132.8George MasonCAA0.52030.504615615-917-130-21-41-24-311-26-62081601302.80.1
129133.6Southern IllinoisMVC0.51990.516612712-1015-130-20-23-35-58-08-2116312134-0.4-0.0
130134.2BuffaloMAC0.51950.512314111-914-130-10-11-26-87-26-5961161322.20.1
131134.5Appalachian St.SC0.51920.481519911-917-110-10-12-16-48-55-5102461259.50.4
132135.6Miami OHMAC0.51870.529110610-1314-160-30-22-35-57-24-10226501296.60.3
133136.4ColoradoB120.51840.5782219-1211-171-61-41-44-35-17-5148187149-12.6-0.6
134136.9George WashingtonA100.51780.506615112-1016-130-20-41-26-48-110-31233091351.90.1
135138.0East Tennessee St.ASun0.51740.499916012-1216-140-10-11-25-510-43-71142147-9.0-0.5
136138.5La SalleA100.51720.53779011-1214-160-50-40-36-38-18-610910312315.50.8
137138.6QuinnipiacNEC0.51690.426032716-721-80-10-00-02-419-38-5181333169-30.4-1.8
138139.7Long Beach St.BW0.51660.51971209-1213-150-41-10-15-37-64-8764143-3.3-0.1
139139.8BelmontASun0.51630.468024315-1019-110-10-10-26-313-55-513596144-4.2-0.3
140141.9San Jose St.WAC0.51530.519612211-1114-150-00-32-43-48-47-612821011922.90.9
142143.2JacksonvilleASun0.51430.468024213-1017-120-10-20-24-413-44-5121841376.20.3
141143.6MichiganB100.51430.55375410-1213-160-51-22-54-36-16-5155130145-1.4-0.1
144144.5HoustonCUSA0.51370.522811510-1115-140-01-23-65-46-27-6170133158-13.5-0.6
143144.6UC Santa BarbaraBW0.51370.478421112-816-100-10-11-13-311-44-61821221386.60.3
145144.7Cleveland St.Horz0.51360.53828810-1214-150-50-21-35-66-03-82111612816.70.8
146145.1Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.51340.48801859-1014-130-10-20-42-212-43-8217121180-34.9-1.4
147145.2St. Peter'sMAAC0.51310.484419314-1017-120-00-21-28-38-46-52203071423.20.2
148145.4VermontAE0.51310.444429617-821-100-00-00-28-413-410-5150294163-17.6-1.1
149146.7UCLAP100.51260.55555211-1213-171-31-13-84-54-15-71884713610.70.6
150147.7OhioMAC0.51210.519911911-1115-150-10-11-47-77-28-69963161-13.3-0.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
151148.3Stony BrookAE0.51170.436631715-719-90-10-00-15-314-47-5187322153-4.7-0.2
152148.7DenverSB0.51160.480920414-917-120-10-01-25-512-47-480521480.70.0
153149.2IdahoWAC0.51100.51561349-1114-140-00-22-64-47-37-5113233173-23.8-1.0
154152.1OregonP100.50940.53749212-1015-150-11-34-65-45-18-41191381466.10.3
155152.4Boston UniversityAE0.50930.484819013-1117-120-21-10-23-613-16-717264162-9.6-0.6
156153.8Robert MorrisNEC0.50860.453627416-820-110-20-10-14-415-46-8213206156-2.2-0.1
157154.9MaineAE0.50830.455826614-817-110-10-01-14-513-47-513023014113.90.8
158157.5NiagaraMAAC0.50660.495117113-1216-150-00-11-37-97-27-6159231159-1.5-0.1
159158.4North TexasSB0.50590.450828213-817-100-10-10-04-413-46-3892211508.40.4
160158.8DavidsonSC0.50570.509914410-1114-140-20-21-43-410-23-722435166-7.2-0.3
161159.1Western KentuckySB0.50560.490917913-1117-141-00-12-25-810-37-613679172-12.9-0.6
162159.5RiderMAAC0.50550.502915913-1215-160-10-21-45-89-17-61291781518.50.5
163160.4Wisconsin MilwaukeeHorz0.50480.495316811-1115-140-30-11-25-88-17-41272261600.40.0
164160.8LehighPat0.50480.441830215-819-100-00-10-02-317-59-6178302168-7.2-0.3
165160.9Fresno St.WAC0.50420.517412511-1215-160-10-32-44-48-38-7193219177-16.1-0.8
166161.8RutgersBE0.50380.55585111-1213-170-60-33-65-35-09-310522912239.82.0
168162.8UtahMWC0.50340.53868510-1213-171-42-31-44-46-37-7204179178-15.2-0.8
167162.9DetroitHorz0.50350.476621413-1018-120-20-10-210-58-38-4180321174-11.1-0.6
169163.8AuburnSEC0.50290.54726910-1213-170-30-32-64-47-18-61561661549.80.5
171167.5Arkansas St.SB0.50080.474822212-915-120-00-10-36-410-33-624718915710.50.5
170167.6ValparaisoHorz0.50100.50761479-1312-160-30-10-36-66-32-82351801643.60.2
172170.0Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.49940.433732213-617-90-00-10-22-216-37-31422871655.00.2
173170.2TroySB0.49940.482719610-1113-130-00-10-26-57-42-6210781673.20.2
174173.0RadfordBSth0.49750.470023711-1015-120-20-10-14-211-63-622226175-2.0-0.1
175173.0StanfordP100.49750.53759110-1313-170-20-33-74-46-16-618615815518.00.8
176174.6Texas ChristianMWC0.49690.5449749-1311-180-40-40-42-58-06-7179155176-1.4-0.1
178177.3HofstraCAA0.49510.506715011-1314-160-10-41-53-511-17-5133128179-1.7-0.1
177177.5Saint Joseph'sA100.49530.5479659-1411-190-51-41-24-74-16-8138381716.50.3
179179.5DrakeMVC0.49400.525611111-1413-180-21-22-54-76-35-8248257182-2.5-0.1
180179.5Loyola MDMAAC0.49370.478820812-1215-140-10-21-35-610-28-3118318184-4.5-0.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
181180.2DePaulBE0.49340.5634378-1510-201-61-31-73-24-27-514017115228.21.5
182181.1WinthropBSth0.49300.457326211-1015-120-00-10-31-513-32-723395183-1.9-0.1
183183.0Texas San AntonioSlnd0.49200.451828010-815-110-00-10-23-412-47-3126301204-21.0-0.9
184184.1St. BonaventureA100.49130.51511358-1212-160-31-30-44-77-06-6145157186-1.9-0.1
185184.8Loyola ChicagoHorz0.49090.487618611-1013-140-30-01-15-87-17-274270188-3.2-0.2
186186.3Central MichiganMAC0.49010.472222910-1015-130-10-01-33-710-35-72252591815.30.2
187186.5Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.48980.48211979-1414-150-20-20-13-511-54-819477193-6.5-0.4
188188.1Middle TennesseeSB0.48910.467624412-1116-130-20-10-15-611-34-7254186194-5.9-0.3
189190.8CampbellASun0.48720.448628912-916-110-00-00-13-612-43-4238252198-7.2-0.4
190192.5Montana St.BSky0.48650.475422010-1113-130-00-01-54-48-44-6228215195-2.5-0.1
191192.9Central FloridaCUSA0.48610.507614810-1113-160-00-30-84-48-17-616718217022.91.2
192194.2MassachusettsA100.48550.5470707-159-200-40-41-34-84-15-8166601895.20.3
194197.1Bowling GreenMAC0.48340.488418210-1113-150-10-11-14-107-27-518328118512.10.6
193197.3Southern MethodistCUSA0.48370.51781249-1112-160-10-42-62-38-25-7264228199-1.7-0.1
195199.8IowaB100.48200.5631398-1610-210-60-40-73-46-06-7191921918.80.6
197201.1Florida AtlanticSB0.48110.473122510-1213-140-00-10-24-79-42-7276208203-1.9-0.1
196201.5LipscombASun0.48120.448329012-1116-120-10-10-25-311-52-63102892001.50.1
198202.4Tennessee TechOVC0.48080.485718910-1212-160-10-00-62-410-44-615410719012.40.7
199202.7CanisiusMAAC0.48040.484419211-1414-160-00-21-25-97-46-62233051975.70.4
200202.8Oregon St.P100.48040.516013310-1212-180-10-22-66-63-36-62322991966.80.4
201203.7Louisiana LafayetteSB0.48030.470523410-1113-140-00-11-15-67-62-7284262234-30.3-1.4
203203.7LafayettePat0.47980.434532014-917-120-10-00-01-516-69-6200324207-3.3-0.2
204204.0ArmyPat0.47950.432132312-916-110-00-01-12-413-69-4152325225-21.0-1.0
202204.1Northern ArizonaBSky0.47980.47522219-1111-140-10-10-51-510-24-516819618717.10.9
206204.5Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.47920.44392999-914-110-00-00-21-512-44-5215235223-18.5-0.8
205204.6South Dakota St.Sum0.47930.469123911-1114-130-10-00-42-411-42-7274147211-6.4-0.4
207205.0Loyola MarymountWCC0.47920.489418011-1213-160-00-42-41-39-68-7173239209-4.0-0.2
208205.9Texas SouthernSWAC0.47840.43753149-1115-130-00-10-32-413-52-822123228-22.1-1.2
209206.5WyomingMWC0.47830.5585487-149-190-61-31-13-64-45-7185712015.50.4
210206.6IndianaB100.47810.5437759-1310-201-61-31-52-56-16-6241240221-14.4-0.9
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
211207.7Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.47750.45462717-1414-150-20-20-30-513-40-112839237-29.3-1.5
212209.3The CitadelSC0.47680.481520010-1213-150-20-10-42-410-44-6184127219-9.7-0.5
214209.9Penn St.B100.47620.5451738-1510-200-60-31-63-35-38-4165290227-17.1-1.0
213210.1Ball St.MAC0.47620.470323511-1014-140-30-21-16-37-56-623625019218.10.9
215210.1Portland St.BSky0.47610.49341778-1311-170-00-12-52-68-53-920699217-6.9-0.3
216212.6Cal St. FullertonBW0.47440.46542499-1113-140-00-11-24-48-65-62072252084.60.2
217213.6Eastern MichiganMAC0.47400.466724810-1113-150-00-11-24-68-56-6192279216-2.4-0.1
218214.0Boise St.WAC0.47370.484819110-1214-160-00-21-65-48-310-4174338222-8.0-0.4
219214.2South Carolina St.MEAC0.47350.42413289-815-110-00-10-20-214-64-6212273226-11.8-0.6
220217.4NC WilmingtonCAA0.47160.52451137-169-200-10-51-52-76-34-81961122143.40.2
221217.6Eastern IllinoisOVC0.47140.462525810-1113-140-00-00-42-711-35-420528320215.60.8
222219.8ChattanoogaSC0.47000.478620911-1213-160-10-21-44-38-66-5144140220-0.2-0.0
223220.8Santa ClaraWCC0.46980.51631318-1610-190-00-60-43-47-56-919010921010.80.9
224220.8Louisiana St.SEC0.46970.5389849-1411-190-30-41-73-66-09-51632072128.80.5
225221.2South AlabamaSB0.46910.464625111-1213-150-01-11-13-99-36-41692642183.20.2
227222.4Seattleind0.46840.454827011-1315-160-00-11-43-511-614-162192722139.40.5
226222.5San FranciscoWCC0.46860.52111167-159-180-11-30-52-66-43-1026210020517.51.1
228223.8North FloridaASun0.46770.463925310-1313-160-00-00-33-810-44-514613120617.81.1
229225.4San DiegoWCC0.46680.51621328-1610-190-10-41-52-46-56-9199111230-4.6-0.4
230225.5Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.46630.47632169-1413-180-10-10-15-99-66-9214177229-3.5-0.2
231226.0DelawareCAA0.46620.5377896-178-210-20-60-43-54-54-81624221511.00.7
232229.3Bethune CookmanMEAC0.46400.427832611-915-130-00-20-20-315-66-6198241243-13.7-0.7
233230.3MercerASun0.46350.46902409-1212-160-10-20-24-68-52-623481240-9.7-0.5
234231.8Georgia St.CAA0.46230.49521699-1512-180-00-50-33-59-56-6216269239-7.2-0.4
235234.4HawaiiWAC0.46070.5338998-1410-190-30-41-52-67-27-6202126238-3.6-0.2
236235.8Air ForceMWC0.45960.5340977-138-190-40-30-32-76-16-5201236241-5.2-0.4
237236.2South DakotaGWC0.45940.40133409-915-100-10-10-31-214-35-82452132315.20.4
239236.6Delaware St.MEAC0.45860.44223018-912-120-00-10-21-511-42-62851352324.60.2
238237.3BinghamtonAE0.45890.47942079-1411-180-10-10-23-118-43-102571322352.30.2
240239.8LamarSlnd0.45690.464825010-1113-150-00-00-33-69-65-72632652363.80.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
241240.2ManhattanMAAC0.45670.49441758-1610-190-10-20-43-107-26-5175246246-5.8-0.4
242240.9Sacred HeartNEC0.45620.420033212-1116-130-10-00-02-514-79-4176345257-16.1-0.9
243241.9IUPU Fort WayneSum0.45560.45002859-1212-150-20-10-32-410-54-5230271242-0.1-0.0
244243.1East CarolinaCUSA0.45470.53141034-166-210-30-40-51-65-33-81773222419.11.3
246244.2James MadisonCAA0.45380.478021210-1312-180-01-51-41-69-48-5203346245-0.8-0.0
245244.3Jackson St.SWAC0.45400.428332410-1114-150-10-10-20-614-51-1029793252-7.7-0.4
247246.7NC AshevilleBSth0.45220.47862107-1410-160-20-10-22-68-60-8267623313.70.9
249250.0Northern IllinoisMAC0.44990.47712138-1411-180-10-10-42-89-44-92652492446.00.4
248250.1ColumbiaIvy0.44990.46902418-1211-170-10-10-31-610-66-82272482473.10.2
250250.9Prairie View A&MSWAC0.44890.40083418-913-120-10-10-21-113-61-6329184251-0.1-0.0
251252.2LibertyBSth0.44840.45572679-1211-160-00-20-21-710-52-72601142493.20.2
252255.7TulaneCUSA0.44600.50481557-159-200-10-30-62-66-55-82492202532.70.2
253255.8YaleIvy0.44580.46252558-1411-190-00-20-40-811-55-11279296272-16.2-1.1
254256.5Texas St.Slnd0.44520.46702467-1210-160-10-00-32-77-62-8331285261-4.5-0.2
255257.2SamfordSC0.44490.48691886-158-190-10-20-51-77-43-6195832543.20.2
256257.4Youngstown St.Horz0.44460.50511536-157-200-30-10-33-115-24-51641742507.40.5
257258.2Long IslandNEC0.44430.44922879-1412-170-00-00-33-59-94-9280258266-7.8-0.5
258263.1NC GreensboroSC0.44080.51001435-187-220-20-30-51-76-51-102431724815.11.1
260264.2UC RiversideBW0.43990.46252567-1410-170-10-10-23-67-85-62292432586.20.4
259264.4Texas ArlingtonSlnd0.44000.44692948-911-140-10-10-22-49-64-5289341265-0.6-0.0
261265.2Jacksonville St.OVC0.43940.46252578-1311-160-00-10-42-59-53-63233042632.20.1
262266.3BrownIvy0.43850.48731875-168-210-10-30-61-47-84-11246172268-1.7-0.1
264266.4Arkansas Little RockSB0.43800.50491545-168-190-00-10-54-83-62-7209112624.40.2
263266.7FurmanSC0.43810.44712939-1211-160-00-10-41-59-64-5252319270-3.3-0.2
265267.9North Carolina A&TMEAC0.43730.45572685-1510-180-10-10-51-38-92-10288125275-7.1-0.4
266268.6Charleston SouthernBSth0.43690.44163038-1210-150-00-10-22-58-72-5240190274-5.4-0.3
267269.0Holy CrossPat0.43680.48012066-179-200-10-10-21-108-73-12275156278-9.0-0.5
269269.1North Dakota St.Sum0.43640.46412527-149-170-00-10-31-88-51-7296188285-15.9-1.1
268269.1NavyPat0.43670.437531311-1213-160-00-00-23-610-86-9295327276-6.9-0.4
271269.4High PointBSth0.43610.42283309-1212-150-10-00-12-510-83-62823312672.40.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
270269.6Louisiana MonroeSB0.43630.46212598-1410-170-00-01-33-96-63-625525525514.60.9
272272.8Cal PolyBW0.43410.45332758-1410-190-10-10-12-68-103-1031331425913.80.8
274273.4New HampshireAE0.43330.45312767-1310-170-10-10-12-88-64-7258266297-23.6-1.2
273273.8Kennesaw St.ASun0.43340.444029810-1311-180-10-00-11-1010-53-6293311279-5.2-0.4
275275.5Idaho St.BSky0.43220.49501724-176-210-10-11-61-85-52-92591012696.50.4
276275.6St. Francis NYNEC0.43200.423732910-1313-160-10-00-12-611-95-8302342281-5.4-0.4
277276.1EvansvilleMVC0.43180.51291395-176-220-20-20-51-125-16-4239334292-15.9-1.2
278276.3BucknellPat0.43150.43973089-1512-180-00-10-22-510-95-11304326282-5.7-0.3
279276.7Tennessee St.OVC0.43140.48831835-207-240-10-10-52-96-83-102371372715.70.4
280277.0UC IrvineBW0.43100.44402978-1412-170-10-00-13-89-86-726632826413.00.7
281277.8MonmouthNEC0.43060.435531810-1413-170-00-00-13-810-86-8292335298-20.2-1.3
282278.3Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.43020.47052338-1610-210-10-10-21-89-94-1129120926018.31.2
283279.4Missouri Kansas CitySum0.42940.43903108-1310-170-00-10-30-510-64-5250330293-13.6-0.9
284282.7ElonSC0.42710.48181984-177-220-10-10-42-85-92-92711612739.70.6
285283.4PepperdineWCC0.42690.49611676-167-210-00-30-42-65-73-11307256294-10.6-0.7
286284.9HartfordAE0.42580.45662647-169-200-20-00-11-109-72-113382822831.90.1
287285.0McNeese St.Slnd0.42530.45282785-149-180-00-10-31-47-102-9298242287-2.0-0.1
288285.3UC DavisBW0.42530.45282777-139-190-00-00-11-98-92-103213202805.30.3
289286.4Florida InternationalSB0.42460.48142016-197-230-00-10-42-105-82-102872032779.40.8
290286.6HamptonMEAC0.42430.42033317-1513-170-00-10-40-312-104-10286298305-18.4-1.1
291286.8Longwoodind0.42400.45422725-168-190-10-30-31-27-105-1726817525630.81.7
292287.6Sacramento St.BSky0.42400.45992617-168-200-00-00-51-77-84-8253306303-15.4-1.2
293288.1RiceCUSA0.42360.48102037-159-200-10-20-51-78-56-72442632862.10.2
297292.0Nicholls St.Slnd0.42000.47292264-147-180-10-00-31-76-71-826970296-4.0-0.2
295292.1TowsonCAA0.42060.48821845-177-210-10-40-31-85-63-82902532911.10.1
294292.2CentenarySum0.42060.46742456-167-200-00-10-61-47-83-62181442848.20.6
299293.1AlbanyAE0.41960.47152316-208-230-10-10-22-116-85-10231176300-6.9-0.5
296293.2Eastern WashingtonBSky0.42000.49491734-185-230-10-10-61-64-92-10261110302-8.8-0.7
298293.2Illinois ChicagoHorz0.41980.49771665-176-220-30-00-32-134-33-7270244299-5.8-0.4
300296.2FordhamA100.41800.5361952-192-260-50-40-21-91-62-102941912951.20.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
301296.7Georgia SouthernSC0.41680.49921624-196-230-00-11-53-102-81-103151502897.70.5
302297.7PennsylvaniaIvy0.41610.48371943-156-220-30-10-30-65-91-13328222306-8.3-0.7
303298.6Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.41570.47062326-167-220-00-00-51-107-62-8272185301-2.4-0.2
304298.7South Carolina UpstateASun0.41540.47622174-186-230-00-10-21-116-80-931969304-5.3-0.4
305302.5Alabama St.SWAC0.41180.40083426-1210-160-00-10-01-59-90-8346245317-14.5-0.9
306306.0ColgatePat0.40900.45222796-169-190-10-00-11-88-104-10309293314-8.0-0.6
307306.9AmericanPat0.40820.43743157-169-200-10-10-12-58-123-12340336312-5.1-0.4
308307.7Western IllinoisSum0.40780.43533196-148-180-10-00-40-48-94-4242339309-1.3-0.1
309307.7Central ConnecticutNEC0.40720.40433399-1412-170-00-00-10-512-115-8339347319-11.3-0.8
310308.9Gardner WebbBSth0.40670.46362544-166-200-20-10-20-66-90-83034928820.91.6
311309.1Norfolk St.MEAC0.40620.45002845-168-210-10-10-31-47-122-11317170315-5.9-0.4
312311.3Florida Gulf CoastASun0.40470.44283007-178-210-10-00-12-86-113-6281315313-1.7-0.2
313312.5St. Francis PANEC0.40330.44912887-169-200-00-10-21-78-103-93142543102.50.2
315313.8Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.40190.43733166-169-210-00-00-40-59-122-123272603076.80.5
314313.9HowardMEAC0.40190.44063066-188-230-00-10-10-88-121-143352003085.90.5
316314.2Winston Salem St.ind0.40060.43883115-128-180-10-20-20-48-107-1830030029024.21.6
317316.7Virginia Military InstBSth0.39910.45722634-155-190-00-10-20-75-91-525136321-4.3-0.3
318316.8Southern UtahSum0.39900.47582194-176-210-00-10-40-65-92-725682318-1.2-0.1
319316.9Northwestern St.Slnd0.39840.44003074-137-180-10-10-20-56-102-7316308324-7.1-0.5
320318.5Central ArkansasSlnd0.39660.44153044-156-200-10-00-31-46-113-7273297328-9.5-0.7
321319.2Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.39600.42813255-178-220-00-10-20-78-120-12337134322-2.8-0.2
322321.8Savannah St.ind0.39360.41803346-147-150-10-10-00-57-75-13301292327-5.2-0.5
323322.0Cal St. Bakersfieldind0.39290.45382735-176-230-00-20-11-75-136-21311284333-11.0-1.1
324323.0ToledoMAC0.39240.49861642-213-270-10-10-50-133-72-122991453167.00.9
325323.2WagnerNEC0.39190.44942864-217-240-10-00-11-85-153-11326310329-5.8-0.7
326323.6DartmouthIvy0.39130.47642153-165-220-00-10-30-85-103-103062343203.60.4
327324.6New OrleansSB0.39020.45072835-176-210-00-00-11-126-83-6305337332-7.4-0.8
329325.5Florida A&MMEAC0.38820.44103054-177-220-10-20-10-67-132-11318224326-0.5-0.0
328326.0PresbyterianBSth0.38860.46912383-215-250-10-30-40-75-121-11278763233.00.3
330326.2Texas Pan AmericanGWC0.38790.45162813-226-250-10-10-40-66-121-1830891330-3.8-0.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
332327.5Alabama A&MSWAC0.38430.38813464-108-140-00-10-10-38-90-4343193336-8.5-0.7
331329.0SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.38520.47152302-212-240-10-00-41-52-132-19325268331-2.0-0.3
334329.2Utah ValleyGWC0.38230.38253477-1210-150-10-10-10-110-113-10334317339-9.8-0.9
333330.1MaristMAAC0.38380.49951611-231-280-00-20-30-151-80-11341278335-4.9-0.9
336331.1North DakotaGWC0.38050.41143363-168-190-10-10-10-47-122-1333323231120.12.4
335331.2StetsonASun0.38170.46162603-184-230-00-20-21-83-110-73301733256.21.0
337332.1Coppin St.MEAC0.37800.43423212-165-210-10-10-21-44-133-7277261338-5.9-0.7
338333.3NJ Inst of TechnologyGWC0.37530.40663384-147-190-00-00-20-67-102-12324237334-0.7-0.1
339335.4Tennessee MartinOVC0.37390.47472231-192-250-00-10-50-82-100-8332164337-1.6-0.3
340338.6GramblingSWAC0.36500.39623444-136-190-10-00-10-36-131-6312238341-2.4-0.4
341339.8MD Baltimore CountyAE0.36280.43833122-213-260-00-00-11-102-141-12344340340-0.2-0.1
342342.5Houston BaptistGWC0.35220.39503455-177-230-00-00-10-57-161-173473233420.50.2
343342.8SouthernSWAC0.35120.40853374-176-230-20-10-10-46-152-9322227344-1.2-0.4
344342.9Chicago St.GWC0.35070.39823434-166-210-00-00-20-56-142-13336295346-3.1-1.1
345344.6Bryantind0.34390.44732920-241-290-00-00-30-61-191-29342303345-0.4-0.2
346345.0Alcorn St.SWAC0.34120.43923090-232-290-10-20-20-52-190-13320613432.01.0
347345.5North Carolina Centralind0.33740.41913331-203-230-00-00-40-42-161-20345313347-1.5-0.8

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: questions@rpiforecast.com