Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.

How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

New! For Simulations INCLUDING CONFERENCE TOURNAMENTS, click here (updated at least weekly)

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Through games of Mar 12, 2010.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
11.0KansasB120.68570.5977531-232-28-15-14-014-02-014-142910.0NaN
32.6KentuckySEC0.66040.56613530-231-24-11-010-112-04-015-071113-0.4-0.5
22.9DukeACC0.66100.5871927-528-51-36-110-18-03-013-283320.91.1
44.0West VirginiaBE0.65730.6054326-627-65-44-19-16-03-011-122240.00.0
55.0SyracuseBE0.65200.58701028-428-45-24-29-06-05-013-01365-0.0-0.0
65.5Kansas St.B120.64860.6095225-625-74-34-24-110-13-012-15246-0.5-0.6
77.2GeorgetownBE0.63850.6190123-923-106-53-36-13-15-010-13870.20.5
88.3BaylorB120.63400.58461324-724-72-45-15-18-14-012-11613480.30.7
1110.0New MexicoMWC0.62840.54497129-429-44-12-25-09-19-014-1115391.01.4
910.2TennesseeSEC0.63010.58001625-725-82-50-010-16-27-012-2185511-0.8-0.4
1211.3ButlerHorz0.62710.54227428-428-41-12-23-114-08-08-424512-0.7-0.7
1012.2PurdueB100.62870.55445127-428-43-13-25-08-18-012-010119102.20.6
1313.8Texas A&MB120.62550.5962722-922-91-64-34-08-05-010-32945130.80.6
1514.2TempleA100.62420.55055827-528-52-24-14-213-05-012-3304116-1.8-0.6
1414.3VillanovaBE0.62530.57482324-724-73-54-16-16-05-011-122176140.30.4
1716.0XavierA100.62240.56243924-725-70-44-27-19-05-09-5472018-2.0-0.8
1616.0PittsburghBE0.62420.58611124-824-83-24-37-26-04-111-22149151.01.2
1818.0Northern IowaMVC0.62110.527211128-428-40-04-16-012-16-210-151239171.01.2
1918.6CaliforniaP100.61960.58301423-924-90-32-24-117-31-08-49119-0.4-0.2
2120.6WisconsinB100.61460.57152723-823-83-13-33-37-17-010-2143221-0.4-0.5
2021.2VanderbiltSEC0.61650.57262523-724-72-22-07-36-26-010-34976201.20.4
2221.9Brigham YoungMWC0.61360.526811228-528-51-33-24-010-010-014-12618822-0.1-0.1
2323.2MarylandACC0.61240.57562122-822-81-34-36-24-07-09-4105157230.20.2
2524.3San Diego St.MWC0.61030.55535022-822-92-31-31-111-17-19-336126240.30.1
2424.8Utah St.WAC0.61080.534010026-627-61-01-19-36-210-010-4589326-1.2-0.6
2726.1RichmondA100.60710.54357325-725-81-23-15-59-07-011-43773251.10.5
2827.0Old DominionCAA0.60520.53848826-826-81-10-27-45-113-08-5431728-1.0-1.5
2627.5Ohio St.B100.60720.54586925-726-73-42-04-26-111-010-353128270.50.1
2928.8Michigan St.B100.60340.55574924-824-82-22-25-49-07-010-34410329-0.2-0.2
3029.8TexasB120.60280.56054324-924-92-63-13-110-16-014-12520330-0.2-0.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
3131.6Oklahoma St.B120.60220.57172622-1022-104-30-41-214-13-012-231153310.60.5
3231.9SienaMAAC0.60200.517312427-627-60-30-16-18-113-07-5957032-0.1-0.1
3333.2Texas El PasoCUSA0.60030.526711326-527-50-12-06-38-111-09-4133180330.20.1
3434.7ClemsonACC0.59940.57442421-1021-102-43-25-35-16-012-238141340.70.9
3635.8St. Mary'sWCC0.59660.520912025-525-51-12-24-15-113-012-2357236-0.2-0.3
3536.1Georgia TechACC0.59790.57971720-1121-112-23-46-35-25-011-233145351.10.3
3836.9GonzagaWCC0.59560.524111825-625-61-12-35-06-111-112-3405737-0.1-0.2
3937.9LouisvilleBE0.59500.5964620-1220-122-51-25-49-13-09-4482339-1.1-1.4
3738.0Rhode IslandA100.59590.54447223-823-90-41-16-212-24-012-163538-0.0-0.0
4039.2Wake ForestACC0.59410.57082919-1019-102-24-23-64-06-010-2287440-0.8-0.7
4141.3Nevada Las VegasMWC0.59130.53769124-725-74-42-13-06-310-011-26119942-0.7-0.2
4242.0Florida St.ACC0.59080.55415222-922-90-34-36-36-06-012-242218411.01.4
4343.1Wichita St.MVC0.58840.531310324-924-91-40-08-17-38-110-287279430.10.2
4444.2MissouriB120.58620.55774722-1022-101-63-12-010-36-012-356192440.20.3
4645.0UABCUSA0.58560.533610123-823-81-00-33-310-29-012-22094450.00.1
4546.6WashingtonP100.58590.54965923-923-102-30-05-313-43-010-22339460.60.1
4746.7Kent St.MAC0.58450.53699222-922-90-21-05-39-47-09-5462547-0.3-0.4
4847.3CornellIvy0.58400.481220525-425-40-20-03-19-013-112-34512949-1.7-1.5
4948.0Notre DameBE0.58390.56533623-1123-114-31-17-44-37-011-273223480.00.0
5049.1MarquetteBE0.58310.56273822-1122-113-71-26-15-07-19-38819450-0.9-1.2
5151.2OaklandSum0.57910.502715624-824-80-30-12-25-117-14-71021052-0.8-1.6
5252.0DaytonA100.57840.56813120-1220-121-62-21-212-24-011-31521511.01.9
5353.3Virginia TechACC0.57650.514113323-823-80-33-15-36-19-013-176336530.30.5
5454.0FloridaSEC0.57600.56623321-1221-121-72-15-27-16-111-472112540.00.0
5555.3Murray St.OVC0.57520.460726128-428-40-10-02-211-115-06-370170550.30.4
5656.8MemphisCUSA0.57370.53888723-923-90-33-25-07-39-110-510359560.80.9
5757.5William & MaryCAA0.57330.528210921-1021-101-02-33-46-09-37-31928570.50.5
5858.9New Mexico St.WAC0.57270.54517020-1120-121-41-23-26-39-17-68951580.90.3
5959.9MississippiSEC0.57200.54596821-1021-101-61-02-38-19-012-234137590.90.9
6059.9Seton HallBE0.57200.56753219-1219-121-73-22-36-07-09-25919760-0.1-0.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
6261.5Mississippi St.SEC0.57010.53489922-1022-110-41-16-27-48-012-36821064-2.5-0.5
6162.0CincinnatiBE0.57050.5878818-1518-152-72-53-35-06-09-33248611.01.1
6362.7ConnecticutBE0.56990.5985417-1517-152-52-45-45-23-010-31211620.70.8
6463.7Arizona St.P100.56910.53998322-1022-100-52-11-113-36-010-35562630.70.8
6664.4MinnesotaB100.56750.55934420-1220-133-42-31-28-37-19-3547768-3.6-0.7
6565.0Virginia CommonwealthCAA0.56750.512713522-922-90-03-23-34-312-19-1179265-0.0-0.0
6766.9TulsaCUSA0.56560.53529722-1122-110-11-43-58-110-010-480135660.91.1
6867.4MarshallCUSA0.56540.525211620-920-90-11-32-47-110-09-34175670.40.5
6969.0WoffordSC0.56370.482820225-825-80-10-22-28-315-07-586116690.00.1
7070.6South FloridaBE0.56290.54876120-1220-122-41-43-36-18-010-271234700.60.9
7171.7Texas TechB120.56230.58561217-1517-150-83-50-09-25-012-21382710.70.7
7272.0IllinoisB100.56220.56613419-1319-143-42-51-15-48-08-512510672-0.0-0.0
7372.8NevadaWAC0.56130.54187519-1219-120-30-15-58-26-17-6974773-0.2-0.2
7574.3Sam Houston St.Slnd0.55930.482820120-721-70-10-00-110-311-24-515710977-2.7-0.6
7474.3NortheasternCAA0.56030.53779020-1220-121-02-33-34-610-05-7999740.30.4
7675.7Illinois St.MVC0.55850.512413622-1022-100-21-24-39-38-010-2116324750.71.5
7776.7CharlotteA100.55580.53659419-1219-121-42-41-17-38-010-457132760.71.4
7877.7Louisiana TechWAC0.55480.494817023-1023-101-30-03-48-211-113-26329578-0.3-0.6
7979.7PortlandWCC0.55340.516512619-1019-100-11-51-16-211-18-59884790.70.6
8080.2Wright St.Horz0.55320.510114220-1220-120-30-11-310-49-17-5111169800.20.2
8180.6FairfieldMAAC0.55310.494617122-1022-100-10-41-15-416-07-413127381-0.4-0.4
8282.5St. John'sBE0.55120.57502217-1517-151-73-43-24-26-010-22767820.50.9
8484.1Morehead St.OVC0.54900.500816021-1021-100-20-11-48-212-13-61196840.10.1
8384.3AkronMAC0.54960.502015823-923-100-10-31-314-29-19-5161209831.30.3
8584.7Weber St.BSky0.54860.507414818-1018-100-30-12-25-311-14-61081486-1.3-1.4
8686.2St. LouisA100.54760.529610619-1119-110-22-32-210-45-08-5179226851.21.5
8786.4IUPUISum0.54750.491917922-1022-100-11-31-56-215-15-61233887-0.6-0.6
8887.9Indiana St.MVC0.54660.54666716-1416-140-20-23-39-54-27-47511488-0.1-0.2
8989.0IonaMAAC0.54620.503815521-1021-100-10-32-28-211-29-36014089-0.0-0.1
9090.6Missouri St.MVC0.54500.517012520-1220-120-20-35-26-59-011-150254900.60.9
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
9291.6North Carolina St.ACC0.54430.54756519-1419-151-25-42-64-37-012-3107274910.60.1
9191.6College of CharlestonSC0.54470.493417521-1121-110-10-12-15-714-16-61176392-0.4-0.5
9392.0North CarolinaACC0.54420.57911816-1616-160-53-76-22-25-011-4629993-1.0-0.9
9493.3South CarolinaSEC0.54320.57692015-1615-162-51-12-65-45-09-5786594-0.7-1.4
9595.6ArizonaP100.54190.56194116-1516-151-41-33-19-72-06-610918950.60.8
9696.4Miami FLACC0.54140.529410719-1219-130-33-44-31-311-013-082346960.40.1
9797.5MontanaBSky0.54080.481120620-920-90-00-12-19-49-37-379183970.50.6
9899.8HarvardIvy0.53860.459726520-720-70-10-21-14-215-110-374236990.80.7
10099.9OhioMAC0.53800.526311419-1420-140-11-24-48-57-29-58169104-4.1-0.7
99100.2AlabamaSEC0.53850.55824617-1517-151-60-23-45-38-010-48587982.21.6
101101.6Appalachian St.SC0.53790.490118420-1120-110-00-12-39-49-35-5100501010.60.6
104102.1UC Santa BarbaraBW0.53640.484819418-918-100-10-11-15-212-45-5144951002.10.3
102102.2Morgan St.MEAC0.53680.448929126-927-90-10-10-22-325-29-8135172105-2.8-0.9
103103.6North TexasSB0.53650.458227022-822-80-10-10-07-215-46-3641611030.60.8
105104.2GeorgiaSEC0.53570.58091514-1714-172-51-25-71-25-18-590711022.22.6
106105.2BradleyMVC0.53490.54786316-1516-151-31-24-45-55-16-5162149106-0.8-1.1
107106.4Long Beach St.BW0.53370.528011015-1516-151-30-30-15-49-55-7522107-0.6-0.1
108107.0Wisconsin Green BayHorz0.53160.502515719-1219-121-21-22-25-610-17-491107108-1.0-2.1
109108.4BuffaloMAC0.53080.506815117-1217-120-11-12-27-68-27-46683109-0.6-0.9
110109.7TroySB0.53000.494017217-1217-120-00-10-37-410-42-620461112-2.3-3.2
111111.0DuquesneA100.52960.53948515-1515-150-40-32-46-47-08-569681101.01.1
112111.1Southern CaliforniaP100.52950.53948616-1416-142-14-22-24-94-08-492961110.10.1
113113.3Southern MississippiCUSA0.52820.511613816-1316-130-11-40-53-112-26-41262461130.30.6
115114.6NorthwesternB100.52760.515213120-1320-131-41-33-24-211-212-1652831140.60.8
114114.7CreightonMVC0.52760.53828916-1516-150-41-12-66-47-06-6189165115-0.3-0.4
116116.4Northern ColoradoBSky0.52600.437031623-723-70-00-02-37-214-211-2132344118-1.6-2.5
117117.3OklahomaB120.52570.57901913-1813-180-63-51-35-34-19-5941461161.32.0
118119.0ColoradoB120.52530.56893013-1613-161-50-51-36-35-07-51632121172.02.7
119119.8Colorado St.MWC0.52520.53639615-1515-150-50-41-16-58-08-51061861190.80.4
120121.2East Tennessee St.ASun0.52480.496416919-1419-140-10-21-26-412-53-71183122-0.8-0.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
121122.1Western CarolinaSC0.52460.476421419-1119-110-01-32-14-412-37-33952123-0.9-0.9
122122.7Boston CollegeACC0.52440.55574815-1615-160-41-65-34-35-09-51752551202.71.9
123123.6Iowa St.B120.52420.56234015-1715-171-80-51-16-37-011-41122171212.62.9
124125.2Oral RobertsSum0.52340.488318619-1319-131-01-41-72-114-35-7137421241.22.7
125126.3HoustonCUSA0.52280.529010817-1517-160-01-33-57-56-37-6158138132-5.7-0.7
126126.3VirginiaACC0.52230.55365615-1615-160-42-44-44-45-09-41592781251.32.6
127126.6VermontAE0.52210.441730624-925-90-00-11-09-415-410-5148301129-2.4-0.2
128128.5Robert MorrisNEC0.52130.460925923-1123-110-20-11-05-617-26-82091981280.50.5
130128.8NiagaraMAAC0.52120.505115318-1518-150-01-13-55-79-28-51211871271.81.5
129128.9PacificBW0.52130.477421020-1120-110-11-21-23-315-38-61551791262.92.0
131130.7Wisconsin MilwaukeeHorz0.52080.498916518-1418-140-40-11-27-610-16-51512061300.70.8
132132.8Boston UniversityAE0.52000.485619219-1219-130-10-11-43-715-06-7177101139-6.2-0.8
133132.9MichiganB100.51980.55405314-1714-170-51-43-24-56-16-5146911311.91.7
135133.5PrincetonIvy0.51950.449629019-819-80-10-21-03-315-28-5168305134-0.5-0.6
134133.5Western KentuckySB0.51950.487718721-1321-131-00-12-23-815-27-6160891330.50.6
136136.3BelmontASun0.51800.475522119-1219-120-10-10-27-212-65-5101371360.30.3
137136.6Coastal CarolinaBSth0.51790.423833124-624-60-10-02-02-320-27-2139323137-0.4-0.3
138136.9UCLAP100.51770.56064214-1814-181-41-23-56-63-15-7173301351.91.3
139138.2OregonP100.51730.54107916-1616-160-32-31-610-44-08-41151251380.20.1
140140.3ProvidenceBE0.51660.57092812-1912-190-60-53-73-16-08-41041751400.30.3
141140.7RiderMAAC0.51650.508614617-1617-160-10-32-46-59-37-6136168141-0.3-0.2
142142.2Stony BrookAE0.51590.436631721-921-90-00-10-16-315-47-51963311420.20.1
143143.1JacksonvilleASun0.51560.464525019-1219-120-10-10-24-415-44-51291001430.10.1
144143.4Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.51560.445529920-820-90-00-00-45-315-27-3142277147-3.6-0.3
145145.1Miami OHMAC0.51470.54117814-1814-180-41-12-66-56-24-10206341441.10.8
146145.3HofstraCAA0.51440.501215918-1418-140-10-12-82-414-07-5127127146-0.7-0.8
148147.0George WashingtonA100.51390.504715416-1416-140-30-32-46-58-010-31223111452.01.4
149147.1DrexelCAA0.51390.511213916-1616-160-20-33-33-510-35-817097148-0.9-0.7
147147.3QuinnipiacNEC0.51390.429032523-923-90-00-10-03-520-38-5186339150-2.7-2.3
150149.4NebraskaB120.51340.55375515-1815-180-81-42-16-56-012-3772631490.40.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
151150.0Western MichiganMAC0.51300.507014917-1517-150-10-14-46-67-47-69340151-1.0-0.8
152151.8LehighPat0.51220.445629822-1022-100-00-10-11-321-59-6185297152-0.2-0.5
153153.0MaineAE0.51110.459226618-1118-110-10-00-14-514-47-51242131530.0NaN
154154.2Eastern KentuckyOVC0.51000.473122718-1218-120-20-00-57-311-27-4110167156-1.8-3.9
155155.3St. BonaventureA100.50940.525711514-1614-160-41-10-76-47-06-61341301541.31.9
156155.7AuburnSEC0.50920.54776414-1714-170-30-13-104-37-08-61501441550.70.9
157156.8UtahMWC0.50860.54028214-1714-171-52-31-24-56-27-7208177157-0.2-0.4
158158.0George MasonCAA0.50770.499316417-1417-140-11-21-63-312-25-7241196159-1.0-3.8
159159.3ArkansasSEC0.50710.55874514-1814-180-40-35-44-55-27-8184541581.31.8
160160.0WinthropBSth0.50670.468724017-1317-130-00-10-43-514-32-72451181600.00.0
161160.8RutgersBE0.50640.54936014-1714-171-51-21-85-26-09-3114237161-0.2-0.2
162162.0Austin PeayOVC0.50600.505515215-1515-150-20-13-54-68-14-7120131620.00.0
163162.7Washington St.P100.50570.512813415-1515-150-30-32-25-78-09-267276163-0.3-0.5
164164.6DenverSB0.50500.471523219-1319-130-10-01-14-614-57-49681165-0.4-0.5
165164.8StanfordP100.50480.54088014-1814-180-30-41-58-55-16-61911631640.81.1
166165.6Cleveland St.Horz0.50430.53509814-1714-170-50-22-13-99-03-820315166-0.4-0.5
167167.4DetroitHorz0.50300.478620819-1419-140-30-00-310-59-38-41743211670.40.8
168167.9Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.50280.491518014-1514-150-00-30-44-410-43-8221139168-0.1-0.1
169169.6RadfordBSth0.50240.469823817-1217-120-20-10-14-313-53-6197261690.60.5
170169.9Eastern IllinoisOVC0.50230.471823017-1217-120-00-01-65-511-15-4187262170-0.1-0.1
171170.4Southern IllinoisMVC0.50220.514913214-1514-150-20-33-43-68-08-284290171-0.6-0.6
172171.8Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.50170.482920016-1516-150-20-20-02-714-44-819466172-0.2-0.5
173173.2IdahoWAC0.50060.511913713-1613-160-20-01-86-36-37-51382331730.20.4
174174.4Loyola MarymountWCC0.50000.486618917-1517-150-02-41-43-111-68-7172229175-0.6-1.0
175174.6La SalleA100.49980.53679312-1812-180-50-40-45-47-18-61131171740.60.7
176175.8MassachusettsA100.49910.54806211-2011-200-41-52-44-84-05-816560176-0.2-0.4
177177.5San Jose St.WAC0.49770.515712913-1713-170-20-22-54-47-47-61412111770.50.9
178178.5Middle TennesseeSB0.49750.472522817-1317-130-20-10-24-513-44-7252181179-0.5-0.3
179178.8Saint Joseph'sA100.49730.55205711-2011-200-50-51-36-64-16-8140431780.81.2
180180.2DavidsonSC0.49700.506915014-1514-150-10-31-45-58-23-7216311800.20.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
181181.0DrakeMVC0.49680.530710514-1914-190-31-22-65-56-36-72322521810.00.0
182182.0St. Peter'sMAAC0.49650.482620316-1416-140-00-21-44-411-45-62383061820.00.0
183183.4CampbellASun0.49610.452528017-1117-110-00-00-13-614-43-42252301830.40.8
184184.8Oregon St.P100.49490.516012714-1714-171-10-32-38-83-26-62313031840.81.2
185185.3ValparaisoHorz0.49470.510314112-1712-170-30-10-44-78-22-82441481850.30.5
186185.6Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.49260.456527116-1517-150-10-40-20-617-20-112724186-0.4-0.1
187186.7Texas San AntonioSlnd0.49170.449628816-1116-110-00-11-14-411-57-3128299187-0.3-0.5
188187.7Bowling GreenMAC0.49100.499816313-1613-160-21-12-33-88-27-5145231188-0.3-0.3
189188.4Texas ChristianMWC0.49070.54078111-1911-190-60-40-31-610-06-7207195189-0.6-1.0
190189.6Central FloridaCUSA0.49020.509814314-1714-170-00-40-85-39-27-6169190190-0.4-0.6
191190.4Fresno St.WAC0.48960.518512114-1814-180-30-13-53-78-27-8212200191-0.6-0.9
192191.8Seattleind0.48660.455827417-1417-140-00-31-44-412-416-14190267192-0.2-0.4
193193.3Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.48550.451128515-1215-120-00-00-32-513-44-52172431930.30.7
194193.6Penn St.B100.48520.54177611-2011-200-60-30-66-15-48-4166288194-0.4-0.7
195195.0Central MichiganMAC0.48330.473622614-1514-150-10-11-43-510-45-72112441950.00.1
196196.0Tennessee TechOVC0.48240.488718513-1713-170-10-10-83-510-34-6152801960.00.1
197197.2Jackson St.SWAC0.48120.428732618-1218-120-10-00-32-516-31-10287581970.20.4
198198.3Northern ArizonaBSky0.48080.471623112-1412-140-10-10-61-511-14-51782151980.30.4
199198.4The CitadelSC0.48060.483419714-1614-160-20-11-42-411-54-6180115199-0.6-0.9
200200.6Montana St.BSky0.47920.470923413-1413-140-00-02-43-58-53-72331892000.60.8
201200.9Arkansas St.SB0.47900.465724515-1415-140-00-10-44-511-43-6256222201-0.1-0.1
202201.6Eastern MichiganMAC0.47870.469023915-1515-150-01-23-21-811-36-6195269202-0.4-0.4
203202.9Boise St.WAC0.47800.492817714-1714-170-30-11-76-37-49-5192325203-0.1-0.4
204204.8CanisiusMAAC0.47700.473822515-1715-170-00-21-44-710-46-6214312205-0.2-0.3
205205.2LipscombASun0.47680.446629516-1316-130-10-10-25-411-52-6300256206-0.8-0.7
206205.7Cal St. FullertonBW0.47670.470123714-1514-150-10-11-33-410-65-61821712041.71.5
207207.2San FranciscoWCC0.47620.518312210-1810-180-11-40-43-56-33-102611132070.20.2
208208.3Southern MethodistCUSA0.47570.515812812-1712-170-10-41-72-49-15-72602162080.30.2
209209.5LafayettePat0.47540.429332419-1319-130-10-00-01-518-79-6218337210-0.5-0.4
210209.7South AlabamaSB0.47530.464724615-1515-150-00-11-13-911-46-4183282211-1.3-1.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
211210.4IowaB100.47520.55385410-2210-220-50-50-54-76-06-72011222091.41.6
212212.2DePaulBE0.47370.5645378-238-231-71-30-82-34-27-51301472120.20.5
213213.2Loyola ChicagoHorz0.47190.483319912-1612-160-30-01-13-118-17-2832682130.20.5
214216.1Florida AtlanticSB0.47010.476321712-1612-160-10-00-22-910-42-72711782142.11.8
220216.8South DakotaGWC0.46910.394434317-918-90-10-20-21-217-25-8248208222-5.2-1.0
215217.0Loyola MDMAAC0.47000.475821913-1713-170-10-20-44-59-57-41543132161.00.5
216217.4NC AshevilleBSth0.47000.484519612-1612-160-20-00-22-810-40-827072152.42.5
217218.4Ball St.MAC0.46960.476321614-1514-150-30-12-36-46-56-62192212171.40.6
218219.4Delaware St.MEAC0.46930.447129314-1214-120-00-10-20-514-42-6280123220-0.6-0.3
219219.9MercerASun0.46920.474822314-1714-170-10-20-26-68-62-62401242190.90.8
222220.8South Carolina St.MEAC0.46830.431432115-1315-140-00-10-31-114-93-7258275224-3.2-0.5
221220.9IndianaB100.46880.54117710-2110-211-70-21-43-55-36-62392422182.92.2
225222.0Texas SouthernSWAC0.46520.439831015-1515-160-00-20-24-711-52-820016225-3.0-0.5
223222.2Portland St.BSky0.46820.490418311-1911-190-00-22-52-97-33-92231102211.21.4
224224.0Louisiana St.SEC0.46620.53639511-2011-200-50-01-94-66-09-51672252231.01.4
226225.3IUPU Fort WayneSum0.46470.451728314-1514-150-10-41-41-312-54-5235300226-0.7-1.2
227226.3ManhattanMAAC0.46420.500116211-2011-200-10-31-41-89-46-5153214227-0.7-1.2
228227.6WyomingMWC0.46150.5470668-218-210-61-30-13-64-55-718164228-0.4-0.6
229228.8BinghamtonAE0.46080.486219111-1811-180-10-10-13-128-33-1024698229-0.2-0.4
230230.2East CarolinaCUSA0.45930.52341197-217-210-20-40-61-76-23-8199442300.20.3
231230.8San DiegoWCC0.45880.508514710-2110-210-10-50-53-67-46-9210136231-0.2-0.5
232232.0LibertyBSth0.45770.461025812-1612-160-00-30-01-1011-32-7251862320.0NaN
233233.3South Dakota St.Sum0.45670.467624212-1612-160-10-20-62-310-62-72751502330.30.5
235234.3Texas ArlingtonSlnd0.45640.458526912-1412-140-10-10-23-59-54-52673162340.30.4
234234.5Santa ClaraWCC0.45640.51061409-219-210-00-60-53-56-56-9188102235-0.5-0.7
236236.2North FloridaASun0.45590.466324412-1812-180-00-20-22-910-54-5143120237-0.8-1.9
237236.8NC WilmingtonCAA0.45560.50941459-229-220-00-31-73-85-44-82131052360.81.4
238238.1ChattanoogaSC0.45520.475122213-1813-180-00-30-56-37-76-51491512380.10.3
239238.9DelawareCAA0.45460.5395847-247-240-20-30-82-65-54-815627239-0.1-0.3
240240.0Long IslandNEC0.45310.446929414-1714-170-00-00-33-511-94-92822812400.00.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
241241.5James MadisonCAA0.45250.477420913-2013-200-00-32-52-69-68-51933412410.50.6
242242.8New HampshireAE0.45210.462825512-1712-170-20-00-13-89-65-62222712420.81.0
244243.5UC DavisBW0.45180.463125412-1812-180-00-00-21-1011-63-9302317245-1.5-0.8
243243.5Texas St.Slnd0.45200.460626211-1611-160-00-11-22-78-62-83343142430.50.4
245244.0Air ForceMWC0.45180.53111048-218-210-60-40-11-97-16-5205241244-0.0-0.0
246245.8Louisiana LafayetteSB0.45130.456327312-1612-160-00-11-03-68-92-7303294246-0.2-0.5
247247.7ArmyPat0.44880.440430913-1513-150-00-01-11-411-109-4147319249-1.3-1.7
248247.7Georgia St.CAA0.44880.490818211-2011-200-00-30-72-59-56-62022572470.71.2
249248.9NC GreensboroSC0.44850.51531308-238-230-20-30-71-67-51-10229122480.90.9
250249.7EvansvilleMVC0.44820.51741238-218-211-21-10-72-104-15-5254326250-0.3-0.7
251251.3ColumbiaIvy0.44660.463825211-1711-170-10-20-11-610-76-8226260252-0.7-1.3
252251.8Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.44650.485119311-2111-210-10-10-14-117-75-102361542510.81.5
253253.4HawaiiWAC0.44510.52471179-209-200-40-22-51-66-36-72301522530.40.9
254253.5High PointBSth0.44470.423033213-1513-150-00-10-13-410-93-6285335254-0.5-0.6
255255.8UC RiversideBW0.44350.464624710-1710-170-10-10-23-57-85-62152612550.80.9
256256.0Cal PolyBW0.44340.454127812-1912-190-10-11-12-69-104-9291322256-0.0-0.0
257256.3BrownIvy0.44320.47692129-209-200-00-40-42-47-84-11268219257-0.7-0.8
258258.4Bethune CookmanMEAC0.44180.425032914-1614-160-00-10-30-314-96-61762272580.40.5
259258.9BucknellPat0.44150.432932014-1714-170-00-30-01-413-105-11310333259-0.1-0.1
260259.5Tennessee St.OVC0.44100.48761889-239-230-10-10-63-106-53-10249166260-0.5-0.7
261262.0Sacred HeartNEC0.43840.419233414-1514-150-10-00-11-613-79-41713452620.00.0
262262.6Northern IllinoisMAC0.43830.476721310-2010-200-20-10-42-98-54-92732352611.61.0
263262.7SamfordSC0.43820.48471958-208-200-10-20-50-98-33-619890263-0.3-0.3
266263.8Norfolk St.MEAC0.43770.451728211-1911-190-10-20-31-310-102-11298142266-2.2-1.1
264264.8NavyPat0.43780.442030413-1713-170-00-00-23-410-116-92772962640.80.9
265265.1TowsonCAA0.43770.482420410-2110-210-00-31-31-108-53-83042512650.10.2
267267.0YaleIvy0.43620.455427611-1911-190-00-20-20-1011-55-11292308267-0.0-0.2
268268.0North Dakota St.Sum0.43550.46462489-189-180-00-30-40-89-51-73052052680.0NaN
269269.1ElonSC0.43400.48341988-238-230-00-10-62-86-82-92551732690.10.3
270270.3Youngstown St.Horz0.43300.50961446-226-220-40-10-21-125-34-51641312700.30.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
271270.9Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.43250.463325311-2111-210-10-20-11-810-93-12314240271-0.1-0.2
272272.2Holy CrossPat0.43210.47642159-229-220-00-20-30-79-103-122811742720.20.2
273273.2Prairie View A&MSWAC0.43170.408933812-1412-140-10-10-20-412-61-63201552730.20.2
274273.3Louisiana MonroeSB0.43160.459926410-1910-190-00-01-22-107-83-6274287274-0.7-1.1
275275.4Alabama St.SWAC0.43100.399934113-1513-150-00-00-11-812-60-8347285276-0.6-1.1
276275.6UC IrvineBW0.43100.444430112-1812-180-00-11-12-89-86-72643292750.61.2
277277.2Nicholls St.Slnd0.42980.47042358-188-180-10-00-31-107-41-82881432770.20.5
278278.4Eastern WashingtonBSky0.42950.49211787-217-210-10-11-52-84-62-1025388279-0.6-1.0
279278.8FurmanSC0.42930.441730711-1711-170-00-10-52-59-64-52623322780.80.9
280279.7Western IllinoisSum0.42880.444530010-1710-170-10-20-61-29-84-4228327280-0.3-0.3
282281.5Missouri Kansas CitySum0.42810.446429610-1810-180-00-40-60-310-74-5250328282-0.5-0.7
281281.6TulaneCUSA0.42810.49321768-228-220-10-30-63-65-65-82692592810.60.9
283283.6HamptonMEAC0.42720.418133514-1814-180-00-00-50-314-105-92843202830.60.6
284284.0Kennesaw St.ASun0.42700.450128711-2011-200-00-20-10-1111-63-62862892840.00.1
285284.8Longwoodind0.42660.45872688-198-190-10-20-31-37-105-17259164285-0.2-0.1
286285.4Charleston SouthernBSth0.42650.44962899-179-170-10-00-23-66-82-5224160286-0.6-1.2
287287.0St. Francis PANEC0.42520.451228411-1911-190-00-20-12-79-93-9290228287-0.0-0.0
288288.0Georgia SouthernSC0.42440.49651687-237-230-00-00-74-93-71-10317158288-0.0-0.1
289289.0MonmouthNEC0.42420.439131112-1912-190-00-00-12-1010-86-8295342289-0.0-0.1
290290.2ColgatePat0.42320.454027910-1910-190-10-00-10-710-104-103122862900.20.5
291290.8Illinois ChicagoHorz0.42270.49361747-227-220-30-00-43-114-44-6234245291-0.2-0.5
292292.0LamarSlnd0.42100.456427210-1810-180-00-00-52-68-75-7276291293-1.0-Inf
293293.4AmericanPat0.41960.443730211-2011-200-10-00-20-511-123-12337334294-0.6-1.2
294294.5St. Francis NYNEC0.41940.426332811-1811-180-10-00-12-59-115-8293343295-0.5-1.0
295295.7Florida InternationalSB0.41740.48661906-256-250-00-10-42-104-102-10289207296-0.3-0.7
297296.9Sacramento St.BSky0.41540.46182567-217-210-00-00-42-105-74-8243266297-0.1-0.2
298298.2Jacksonville St.OVC0.41500.46422519-199-190-00-10-63-76-52-73332982980.20.2
296298.3Winston Salem St.ind0.41650.43763158-179-170-10-20-20-39-98-172792922926.30.9
299298.4North Carolina A&TMEAC0.41460.45542758-228-220-10-10-51-37-121-11309108299-0.6-0.6
300299.6Arkansas Little RockSB0.41340.49771666-226-220-00-00-62-84-82-722019300-0.4-0.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
302301.1PennsylvaniaIvy0.41310.47732116-226-220-31-10-10-85-91-13329238302-0.9-1.0
301301.1AlbanyAE0.41320.47562207-257-250-10-10-21-126-95-102271843010.10.1
303303.5FordhamA100.41200.53341022-262-260-40-30-51-91-52-102962023030.50.4
306304.3PepperdineWCC0.41170.49381736-236-230-00-40-42-74-83-113132533040.30.2
305304.6Idaho St.BSky0.41180.49091815-225-220-20-11-31-93-71-10278104306-1.4-1.3
304304.7HartfordAE0.41180.46082608-228-220-20-00-10-118-82-11331280305-0.3-0.2
307306.6South Carolina UpstateASun0.41120.47412246-236-230-00-20-20-116-80-932278307-0.4-0.4
308307.4Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.41090.429832311-2111-210-00-10-30-511-122-12332264308-0.6-1.0
309309.2Central ConnecticutNEC0.40940.409233712-1812-180-00-00-10-712-105-83353473090.20.4
310309.7Virginia Military InstBSth0.40910.46452496-196-190-00-10-20-86-81-525746310-0.3-0.6
311311.0RiceCUSA0.40610.48022077-237-230-00-30-60-77-76-72472723110.0NaN
312312.4Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.40310.47042366-236-230-00-00-70-116-52-8265156313-0.6-1.2
313312.8Northwestern St.Slnd0.40300.43833127-187-180-10-00-30-67-82-73193183120.81.0
314314.0CentenarySum0.40250.46032636-216-210-00-30-70-36-103-62372013140.00.1
315315.0McNeese St.Slnd0.40190.44183057-207-200-00-00-42-55-112-9321302315-0.0-0.1
316315.8Savannah St.ind0.40050.42423307-157-150-10-10-00-77-65-13283270316-0.2-0.4
317317.0Cal St. Bakersfieldind0.39880.45042867-227-220-10-10-11-96-107-202992843170.00.0
318318.0Gardner WebbBSth0.39810.46152575-215-210-10-10-20-85-90-8323793180.00.1
319319.7Florida A&MMEAC0.39660.43793148-228-220-00-20-10-68-133-102942243190.70.6
320320.4Central ArkansasSlnd0.39570.44562976-206-200-10-10-31-65-103-72662653200.40.5
321320.8Florida Gulf CoastASun0.39550.43573188-218-210-00-10-12-66-133-6306338321-0.2-0.1
322321.4SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.39520.47592183-233-230-10-00-51-22-153-18311247322-0.6-0.6
323323.2New OrleansSB0.39200.45492776-226-220-00-00-10-126-93-63013303230.20.4
324324.5ToledoMAC0.39110.50021613-283-280-00-30-50-143-62-122971333240.50.7
325325.3Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.39070.42653278-238-230-00-10-20-108-100-123381593250.30.3
326325.9Southern UtahSum0.39050.47232295-225-220-10-30-50-55-102-7263121326-0.1-0.2
328326.8Houston BaptistGWC0.38860.394534212-2012-210-00-00-10-512-151-17346315328-1.2-0.4
327327.0StetsonASun0.39010.45882675-225-220-00-20-21-74-110-73402043270.00.1
329329.4PresbyterianBSth0.38580.46672434-264-260-00-30-40-84-112-10242853290.40.9
330329.6HowardMEAC0.38570.43823137-257-250-00-10-20-67-161-14326182330-0.4-0.9
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
331331.0Alabama A&MSWAC0.38250.39113458-158-150-00-10-10-58-80-43431853310.0NaN
332332.0WagnerNEC0.38090.45192815-265-260-10-00-12-83-162-123273043320.0NaN
333333.0MD Baltimore CountyAE0.38030.44872924-264-260-00-00-11-123-131-123443403330.0NaN
334334.0MaristMAAC0.37850.49751671-291-290-00-20-40-111-120-113412493340.0NaN
335335.0DartmouthIvy0.37800.47102334-234-230-00-20-10-84-123-103162503350.0NaN
336336.0Texas Pan AmericanGWC0.37600.43513196-276-270-00-20-30-96-131-183251623360.0NaN
337337.0Coppin St.MEAC0.36590.43093225-225-220-10-10-10-45-152-83072583370.0NaN
338338.0Tennessee MartinOVC0.36350.46762412-252-250-00-20-50-92-90-83361933380.0NaN
339339.4North DakotaGWC0.36170.40873396-226-220-20-00-10-56-141-143302203390.40.9
340339.6GramblingSWAC0.36150.40483406-216-210-10-10-11-55-131-6308232340-0.4-0.9
341341.0NJ Inst of TechnologyGWC0.35600.39433447-217-210-00-00-10-77-132-123242483410.00.2
342342.3Utah ValleyGWC0.35060.38073478-188-180-20-00-10-38-123-103282933420.30.7
343343.3SouthernSWAC0.34910.41483365-245-240-20-10-10-75-132-93151913430.30.6
345344.8Chicago St.GWC0.34340.38873466-226-220-00-00-10-76-142-13339310346-1.2-1.5
344345.4North Carolina Centralind0.34410.42143333-223-230-00-00-50-13-171-20345309347-1.6-0.7
347345.4Alcorn St.SWAC0.34310.44233032-292-290-10-30-10-82-160-13318563450.40.4
346345.7Bryantind0.34330.44143081-291-290-00-10-20-61-201-293423073441.72.4

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: questions@rpiforecast.com