Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Youngstown St.   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Youngstown St.

Conference:Horz
Expected RPI:270.5
Current RPI:270
Expected SOS:145
Current Record:6-22
Expected Record:6-22
Current Conf Record:2-17
Expected Conf Record:2-17
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-12
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:5-3
Current OOC Record:4-5
Expected OOC Record:4-5
Expected OOC RPI:164
Expected OOC SOS:118


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
6-2221.43%270.5100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Youngstown St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Xavier (16.9)A10A57-83L0%0.0
11-18Kent St. (46.7)MACH61-70L0%0.0
11-21St. Peter's (181.2)MAACA68-56W100%0.0
11-28Pittsburgh (15.8)BEA56-72L0%0.0
12-3Detroit (167.4)HorzA71-82L0%0.0
12-5Wright St. (80.6)HorzA54-67L0%0.0
12-16St. Francis PA (286.7)NECA74-65W100%0.0
12-19Wisconsin Green Bay (107.0)HorzA67-75L0%0.0
12-22High Point (253.8)BSthH82-69W100%0.0
12-30Robert Morris (128.6)NECH67-72L0%0.0
1-2Cleveland St. (166.0)HorzH48-70L0%0.0
1-7Illinois Chicago (291.0)HorzH76-67W100%0.0
1-9Loyola Chicago (213.2)HorzH71-67W100%0.0
1-14Valparaiso (185.4)HorzA66-70L0%0.0
1-16Butler (11.9)HorzA61-91L0%0.0
1-22Wisconsin Milwaukee (130.6)HorzH59-69L0%0.0
1-24Wisconsin Green Bay (107.0)HorzH55-69L0%0.0
1-27North Carolina Central (347.0)indH70-57W100%0.0
1-30Cleveland St. (166.0)HorzA69-77L0%0.0
2-4Loyola Chicago (213.2)HorzA85-92L0%0.0
2-6Illinois Chicago (291.0)HorzA68-74L0%0.0
2-11Butler (11.9)HorzH57-68L0%0.0
2-13Valparaiso (185.4)HorzH75-77L0%0.0
2-15Wisconsin Milwaukee (130.6)HorzA62-64L0%0.0
2-20UC Riverside (255.6)BWA60-62L0%0.0
2-25Wright St. (80.6)HorzH73-76L0%0.0
2-27Detroit (167.4)HorzH54-62L0%0.0
3-2Wisconsin Green Bay (107.0)HorzA67-81L0%0.0