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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Youngstown St.

Expected RPI:275.0
Current RPI:275
Expected SOS:209
Current Record:9-21
Expected Record:9-21
Current Conf Record:6-13
Expected Conf Record:6-13
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-7
Current OOC Record:3-8
Expected OOC Record:3-8
Expected OOC RPI:253
Expected OOC SOS:188


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Youngstown St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Kent St. (124.0)MACA79-70L0%0.0
11-18Toledo (182.0)MACH78-100L0%0.0
11-21Florida Gulf Coast (209.0)ASunA104-101L0%0.0
11-22Bowling Green (200.0)MACN72-79L0%0.0
11-23North Dakota (218.0)BSkyN69-79W100%0.0
11-28Niagara (315.0)MAACA70-88W100%0.0
12-2Robert Morris (291.0)NECH65-58W100%0.0
12-4American (231.0)PatH56-60L0%0.0
12-12Purdue (15.0)B10A95-64L0%0.0
12-19Michigan (56.0)B10A105-46L0%0.0
12-21Notre Dame (31.0)ACCA87-78L0%0.0
1-2Detroit (204.0)HorzA96-87L0%0.0
1-4Oakland (116.0)HorzA98-100W100%0.0
1-7Milwaukee (173.0)HorzH65-81L0%0.0
1-9Green Bay (112.0)HorzH103-93W100%0.0
1-14Northern Kentucky (296.0)HorzA84-64L0%0.0
1-16Wright St. (146.0)HorzA81-45L0%0.0
1-18Valparaiso (49.0)HorzH65-96L0%0.0
1-24Cleveland St. (278.0)HorzA55-70W100%0.0
1-28Illinois Chicago (346.0)HorzA78-82W100%0.0
1-30Valparaiso (49.0)HorzA97-68L0%0.0
2-4Oakland (116.0)HorzH85-107L0%0.0
2-6Detroit (204.0)HorzH92-94L0%0.0
2-13Cleveland St. (278.0)HorzH59-64L0%0.0
2-16Illinois Chicago (346.0)HorzH92-91W100%0.0
2-20Green Bay (112.0)HorzA107-90L0%0.0
2-22Milwaukee (173.0)HorzA87-51L0%0.0
2-25Wright St. (146.0)HorzH81-87L0%0.0
2-27Northern Kentucky (296.0)HorzH94-75W100%0.0
3-5Detroit (204.0)HorzA92-79L0%0.0