Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Wright St.   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Wright St.

Conference:Horz
Expected RPI:80.6
Current RPI:80
Expected SOS:142
Current Record:20-12
Expected Record:20-12
Current Conf Record:13-7
Expected Conf Record:13-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:10-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-1
Current OOC Record:7-5
Expected OOC Record:7-5
Expected OOC RPI:110
Expected OOC SOS:170


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
20-1262.50%80.6100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Wright St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Washington (46.7)P10A69-74L0%0.0
11-14Portland St. (221.5)BSkyN75-70W100%0.0
11-15Belmont (136.8)ASunN82-73W100%0.0
11-24Central Michigan (195.1)MACH69-53W100%0.0
11-28Northeastern (74.0)CAAA67-70L0%0.0
12-3Cleveland St. (166.0)HorzH73-64W100%0.0
12-5Youngstown St. (270.5)HorzH67-54W100%0.0
12-8Toledo (324.5)MACA66-56W100%0.0
12-13Miami OH (145.1)MACA55-56L0%0.0
12-16Mississippi St. (60.9)SECA69-80L0%0.0
12-19Maryland Eastern Shore (307.8)MEACH87-46W100%0.0
12-22Arkansas Little Rock (300.2)SBH69-47W100%0.0
12-28Sam Houston St. (74.5)SlndH88-48W100%0.0
12-31Loyola Chicago (213.2)HorzA52-53L0%0.0
1-2Illinois Chicago (291.0)HorzA64-47W100%0.0
1-8Butler (11.9)HorzH65-77L0%0.0
1-10Valparaiso (185.4)HorzH59-57W100%0.0
1-14Wisconsin Green Bay (107.0)HorzA66-68L0%0.0
1-16Wisconsin Milwaukee (130.6)HorzA61-67L0%0.0
1-23Detroit (167.4)HorzA61-59W100%0.0
1-28Illinois Chicago (291.0)HorzH79-43W100%0.0
1-30Loyola Chicago (213.2)HorzH66-48W100%0.0
2-4Valparaiso (185.4)HorzA75-71W100%0.0
2-6Butler (11.9)HorzA62-74L0%0.0
2-11Wisconsin Milwaukee (130.6)HorzH68-63W100%0.0
2-13Wisconsin Green Bay (107.0)HorzH67-54W100%0.0
2-17Detroit (167.4)HorzH70-53W100%0.0
2-20Ohio (99.9)MACA59-64L0%0.0
2-25Youngstown St. (270.5)HorzA76-73W100%0.0
2-27Cleveland St. (166.0)HorzA63-68L0%0.0
3-6Detroit (167.4)HorzN69-50W100%0.0
3-9Butler (11.9)HorzA45-70L0%0.0