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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

Wright St.

Conference:Horz
Expected RPI:220.5
Current RPI:216
Expected SOS:154
Current Record:10-14
Expected Record:13-19
Current Conf Record:6-7
Expected Conf Record:8-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-1
Probability of Auto Bid:0.24%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-11
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-2
Current OOC Record:4-7
Expected OOC Record:4-8
Expected OOC RPI:223
Expected OOC SOS:135


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
19-1555.88%127.50.02%
18-1554.55%149.70.03%
17-1553.12%166.00.04%
18-1652.94%128.30.09%
16-1551.61%185.00.02%
17-1651.52%158.70.33%
17-1750.00%146.50.42%
16-1650.00%182.40.60%
16-1748.48%172.31.19%
15-1648.39%191.60.64%
16-1847.06%153.50.54%
15-1746.88%194.82.54%
15-1845.45%180.32.03%
14-1745.16%202.95.39%
15-1944.12%166.60.51%
14-1843.75%201.94.73%
14-1942.42%189.62.48%
13-1841.94%215.717.67%
14-2041.18%175.50.21%
13-1940.62%211.95.49%
13-2039.39%201.61.49%
12-1938.71%229.026.42%
13-2138.24%189.40.05%
12-2037.50%224.83.50%
12-2136.36%214.80.52%
11-2035.48%242.717.83%
11-2134.38%237.50.91%
10-2132.26%257.34.30%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Wright St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Ohio St. (4.1)B10A73-42L0%0.0
11-16Jackson St. (312.2)SWACH56-39W100%0.0
11-21Florida (17.2)SECN78-65L0%0.0
11-23North Florida (177.6)ASunA69-52L0%0.0
11-26Charlotte (143.4)A10H66-70L0%0.0
12-1Cleveland St. (55.0)HorzH43-45L0%0.0
12-3Youngstown St. (158.8)HorzH63-62W100%0.0
12-7Air Force (181.8)MWCA55-34L0%0.0
12-10Miami OH (208.4)MACA49-51W100%0.0
12-14Cincinnati (91.3)BEH58-78L0%0.0
12-17Ohio (61.7)MACH54-82L0%0.0
12-20Idaho (164.8)WACH80-78W100%0.0
12-22Central Michigan (271.5)MACH60-42W100%0.0
12-29Loyola Chicago (312.6)HorzA48-64W100%0.0
12-31Illinois Chicago (292.2)HorzA70-74W100%0.0
1-6Butler (146.3)HorzH62-63L0%0.0
1-8Valparaiso (105.3)HorzH73-55W100%0.0
1-12Wisconsin Milwaukee (127.0)HorzA58-38L0%0.0
1-14Wisconsin Green Bay (187.9)HorzA57-56L0%0.0
1-21Detroit (180.8)HorzA69-53L0%0.0
1-25Illinois Chicago (292.2)HorzH69-63W100%0.0
1-27Loyola Chicago (312.6)HorzH47-41W100%0.0
2-2Butler (146.3)HorzA64-53L0%0.0
2-4Valparaiso (105.3)HorzA63-54L0%0.0
2-10Wisconsin Green Bay (187.9)HorzH0-054%1.0
2-12Wisconsin Milwaukee (127.0)HorzH0-036%-4.0
2-15Detroit (180.8)HorzH0-044%-1.6
2-18Missouri Kansas City (244.9)SumA0-047%-0.8
2-23Youngstown St. (158.8)HorzA0-026%-7.0
2-25Cleveland St. (55.0)HorzA0-07%-15.8