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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

Wisconsin Green Bay

Conference:Horz
Expected RPI:187.9
Current RPI:181
Expected SOS:114
Current Record:7-13
Expected Record:11-17
Current Conf Record:5-7
Expected Conf Record:8-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:1-1
Probability of Auto Bid:0.72%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-2
Current OOC Record:2-6
Expected OOC Record:3-6
Expected OOC RPI:127
Expected OOC SOS:5


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
18-1358.06%77.50.02%
17-1454.84%80.20.08%
16-1453.33%113.30.20%
15-1451.72%139.70.15%
16-1551.61%96.60.37%
15-1550.00%124.41.34%
14-1450.00%141.60.12%
15-1648.39%109.21.08%
14-1548.28%149.92.07%
14-1646.67%140.42.56%
13-1546.43%158.52.00%
14-1745.16%119.71.15%
13-1644.83%162.25.48%
13-1743.33%146.13.18%
12-1642.86%174.39.22%
13-1841.94%130.00.73%
12-1741.38%172.56.29%
12-1840.00%157.92.95%
11-1739.29%192.719.67%
12-1938.71%144.30.25%
11-1837.93%188.04.62%
11-1936.67%178.21.74%
10-1835.71%212.319.08%
11-2035.48%162.40.05%
10-1934.48%209.22.35%
10-2033.33%199.60.38%
9-1932.14%231.89.48%
9-2031.03%228.40.63%
9-2130.00%219.50.04%
8-2028.57%251.92.46%
8-2127.59%247.60.05%
7-2125.00%269.20.20%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Wisconsin Green Bay.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Duquesne (86.2)A10A84-66L0%0.0
11-16North Dakota St. (121.0)SumA65-61L0%0.0
11-19Wyoming (58.0)MWCH52-44W100%0.0
11-21Indiana St. (137.7)MVCA57-56L0%0.0
11-25Virginia (40.7)ACCA68-42L0%0.0
12-1Illinois Chicago (292.2)HorzH71-68W100%0.0
12-3Loyola Chicago (312.6)HorzH57-47W100%0.0
12-7Wisconsin (23.0)B10A70-42L0%0.0
12-10Marquette (17.6)BEA79-61L0%0.0
12-22Idaho (164.8)WACH63-61W100%0.0
12-29Butler (146.3)HorzA53-49L0%0.0
12-31Valparaiso (105.3)HorzA90-87L0%0.0
1-7Wisconsin Milwaukee (127.0)HorzA64-63L0%0.0
1-12Detroit (180.8)HorzH73-80L0%0.0
1-14Wright St. (220.5)HorzH57-56W100%0.0
1-20Cleveland St. (55.0)HorzA78-68L0%0.0
1-22Youngstown St. (158.8)HorzA77-47L0%0.0
1-26Valparaiso (105.3)HorzH75-60W100%0.0
1-28Butler (146.3)HorzH80-68W100%0.0
2-4Wisconsin Milwaukee (127.0)HorzH75-81L0%0.0
2-10Wright St. (220.5)HorzA0-046%-1.0
2-12Detroit (180.8)HorzA0-029%-5.9
2-14Youngstown St. (158.8)HorzH0-057%1.9
2-18Eastern Michigan (253.1)MACH0-081%9.4
2-21Cleveland St. (55.0)HorzH0-026%-7.0
2-23Loyola Chicago (312.6)HorzA0-066%4.4
2-25Illinois Chicago (292.2)HorzA0-059%2.5