Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  William & Mary   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 11, 2010.

William & Mary

Conference:CAA
Expected RPI:57.7
Current RPI:58
Expected SOS:104
Current Record:21-10
Expected Record:21-10
Current Conf Record:14-7
Expected Conf Record:14-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-0
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-3
Current OOC Record:7-3
Expected OOC Record:7-3
Expected OOC RPI:17
Expected OOC SOS:28


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
21-1067.74%57.7100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for William & Mary.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Connecticut (62.6)BEA66-75L0%0.0
11-15Harvard (98.7)IvyA85-87L0%0.0
11-19Richmond (26.3)A10H78-71W100%0.0
11-21Manhattan (225.4)MAACA75-70W100%0.0
11-25Hampton (278.9)MEACH62-61W100%0.0
11-28Wake Forest (40.3)ACCA78-68W100%0.0
12-2Longwood (284.6)indH84-65W100%0.0
12-5Virginia Commonwealth (64.7)CAAH75-74W100%0.0
12-22Radford (170.3)BSthA70-68W100%0.0
12-30Maryland (17.9)ACCA83-77W100%0.0
1-2Hofstra (146.0)CAAA48-47W100%0.0
1-4NC Wilmington (236.9)CAAH61-62L0%0.0
1-6Delaware (237.6)CAAA74-73W100%0.0
1-9Drexel (148.7)CAAA73-48W100%0.0
1-14James Madison (242.7)CAAH85-78W100%0.0
1-16Hofstra (146.0)CAAH73-66W100%0.0
1-20Virginia Commonwealth (64.7)CAAA59-81L0%0.0
1-23Old Dominion (26.6)CAAH55-58L0%0.0
1-27James Madison (242.7)CAAA63-65L0%0.0
1-31Drexel (148.7)CAAH54-51W100%0.0
2-3Old Dominion (26.6)CAAA42-61L0%0.0
2-6Georgia St. (248.6)CAAA59-56W100%0.0
2-10Delaware (237.6)CAAH67-54W100%0.0
2-13Northeastern (72.9)CAAH53-52W100%0.0
2-16George Mason (158.2)CAAA63-60W100%0.0
2-19Iona (87.6)MAACA53-69L0%0.0
2-24Towson (263.6)CAAH77-83L0%0.0
2-27NC Wilmington (236.9)CAAA62-51W100%0.0
3-6James Madison (242.7)CAAN70-65W100%0.0
3-7Northeastern (72.9)CAAN47-45W100%0.0
3-8Old Dominion (26.6)CAAN53-60L0%0.0