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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

William & Mary

Conference:CAA
Expected RPI:305.0
Current RPI:308
Expected SOS:161
Current Record:3-21
Expected Record:4-27
Current Conf Record:2-11
Expected Conf Record:3-16
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-1
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-11
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:4-8
Current OOC Record:1-10
Expected OOC Record:1-11
Expected OOC RPI:325
Expected OOC SOS:256


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
9-2526.47%240.00.01%
8-2325.81%277.30.06%
8-2425.00%270.40.10%
8-2524.24%263.50.04%
8-2623.53%254.00.02%
7-2422.58%285.80.45%
7-2521.88%281.20.74%
7-2621.21%275.90.20%
7-2720.59%273.00.01%
6-2519.35%293.94.40%
6-2618.75%289.63.10%
6-2718.18%284.90.31%
6-2817.65%289.00.01%
5-2616.13%300.517.49%
5-2715.62%296.95.78%
5-2815.15%293.00.26%
4-2712.90%306.736.23%
4-2812.50%303.13.89%
3-289.68%313.126.89%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for William & Mary.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-7St. John's (162.6)BEA74-59L0%0.0
11-12Hampton (305.5)MEACA73-58L0%0.0
11-14Liberty (306.4)BSthH72-75L0%0.0
11-18Lehigh (108.9)PatN57-82L0%0.0
11-19Eastern Kentucky (206.1)OVCN44-63L0%0.0
11-20Liberty (306.4)BSthA64-65W100%0.0
11-26Howard (300.1)MEACA67-58L0%0.0
11-30Richmond (139.3)A10H61-92L0%0.0
12-3Georgia St. (110.1)CAAA66-34L0%0.0
12-18Missouri (12.8)B12A94-56L0%0.0
12-21Iona (38.2)MAACH65-83L0%0.0
12-29Miami OH (208.4)MACA73-69L0%0.0
1-2George Mason (90.6)CAAA70-56L0%0.0
1-4James Madison (249.9)CAAH68-61W100%0.0
1-7Delaware (178.3)CAAH64-75L0%0.0
1-11Towson (305.6)CAAA49-66W100%0.0
1-14Northeastern (165.1)CAAA64-50L0%0.0
1-19Virginia Commonwealth (69.1)CAAA69-68L0%0.0
1-21NC Wilmington (208.3)CAAH66-68L0%0.0
1-23Drexel (70.1)CAAH48-64L0%0.0
1-26James Madison (249.9)CAAA59-47L0%0.0
1-28Old Dominion (124.0)CAAA68-44L0%0.0
2-1Virginia Commonwealth (69.1)CAAH78-87L0%0.0
2-4NC Wilmington (208.3)CAAA81-68L0%0.0
2-8Old Dominion (124.0)CAAH0-014%-11.7
2-11Northeastern (165.1)CAAH0-026%-6.9
2-14Drexel (70.1)CAAA0-02%-22.3
2-18Virginia Military Inst (263.4)BSthA0-024%-7.5
2-22Hofstra (234.9)CAAH0-028%-6.3
2-25Georgia St. (110.1)CAAH0-08%-15.4