Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Wichita St.   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 7, 2010.

Wichita St.

Conference:MVC
Expected RPI:43.9
Current RPI:45
Expected SOS:101
Current Record:24-9
Expected Record:24-9
Current Conf Record:14-7
Expected Conf Record:14-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:8-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:7-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-1
Current OOC Record:10-2
Expected OOC Record:10-2
Expected OOC RPI:86
Expected OOC SOS:270


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
24-972.73%43.9100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Wichita St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-15Fairleigh Dickinson (271.2)NECH80-64W100%0.0
11-23Pittsburgh (12.1)BEN55-68L0%0.0
11-24Iowa (207.1)B10N74-57W100%0.0
11-28Cleveland St. (167.8)HorzA69-54W100%0.0
11-30Alcorn St. (346.0)SWACH87-52W100%0.0
12-3Texas Southern (228.7)SWACH74-43W100%0.0
12-5South Carolina Upstate (306.6)ASunH72-45W100%0.0
12-9Missouri Kansas City (281.2)SumA73-52W100%0.0
12-12Texas Christian (188.1)MWCH80-68W100%0.0
12-19Texas Tech (76.6)B12H85-83W100%0.0
12-21North Dakota St. (267.8)SumH69-57W100%0.0
12-29Illinois St. (74.2)MVCA57-72L0%0.0
1-1Drake (179.9)MVCH61-38W100%0.0
1-3Bradley (102.9)MVCH81-69W100%0.0
1-6Missouri St. (91.1)MVCA65-62W100%0.0
1-9Creighton (113.0)MVCH70-58W100%0.0
1-13Indiana St. (87.5)MVCA84-73W100%0.0
1-16Creighton (113.0)MVCA56-57L0%0.0
1-19Northern Iowa (17.3)MVCH60-51W100%0.0
1-23Drake (179.9)MVCA64-78L0%0.0
1-27Illinois St. (74.2)MVCH74-66W100%0.0
1-31Southern Illinois (168.7)MVCA55-54W100%0.0
2-3Northern Iowa (17.3)MVCA56-59L0%0.0
2-6Indiana St. (87.5)MVCH76-70W100%0.0
2-9Evansville (248.8)MVCA62-65L0%0.0
2-14Missouri St. (91.1)MVCH66-64W100%0.0
2-17Evansville (248.8)MVCH76-70W100%0.0
2-20Utah St. (28.7)WACA58-68L0%0.0
2-24Bradley (102.9)MVCA73-75L0%0.0
2-27Southern Illinois (168.7)MVCH76-55W100%0.0
3-5Missouri St. (91.1)MVCN73-63W100%0.0
3-6Illinois St. (74.2)MVCN65-61W100%0.0
3-7Northern Iowa (17.3)MVCN52-67L0%0.0