- Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Western Michigan

Expected RPI:202.0
Current RPI:202
Expected SOS:105
Current Record:11-19
Expected Record:11-19
Current Conf Record:7-12
Expected Conf Record:7-12
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:7-13
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:3-0
Current OOC Record:4-7
Expected OOC Record:4-7
Expected OOC RPI:205
Expected OOC SOS:104


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Western Michigan.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14DePaul (198.0)BEA69-63L0%0.0
11-17San Diego (302.0)WCCH74-62W100%0.0
11-21UNC Wilmington (45.0)CAAA80-76L0%0.0
11-26Stephen F. Austin (61.0)SlndN79-71L0%0.0
11-27Liberty (264.0)BSthN68-58W100%0.0
11-29Mercer (194.0)SCN68-65L0%0.0
12-3James Madison (103.0)CAAA63-57L0%0.0
12-7Northeastern (109.0)CAAH87-86W100%0.0
12-22IPFW (71.0)SumH86-89L0%0.0
12-30Vanderbilt (63.0)SECA86-61L0%0.0
1-2Jacksonville (289.0)ASunH76-72W100%0.0
1-5Kent St. (124.0)MACH84-87L0%0.0
1-8Akron (34.0)MACA62-53L0%0.0
1-12Ball St. (179.0)MACH64-74L0%0.0
1-16Northern Illinois (136.0)MACH83-69W100%0.0
1-19Ohio (81.0)MACA82-64L0%0.0
1-23Buffalo (90.0)MACH91-71W100%0.0
1-26Bowling Green (200.0)MACH78-79L0%0.0
1-30Eastern Michigan (113.0)MACH94-86W100%0.0
2-2Toledo (182.0)MACA89-62L0%0.0
2-6Ball St. (179.0)MACA75-71L0%0.0
2-9Miami OH (195.0)MACH44-45L0%0.0
2-13Bowling Green (200.0)MACA68-74W100%0.0
2-16Kent St. (124.0)MACA85-78L0%0.0
2-20Central Michigan (156.0)MACH92-85W100%0.0
2-23Eastern Michigan (113.0)MACA73-62L0%0.0
2-27Northern Illinois (136.0)MACA76-67L0%0.0
3-1Toledo (182.0)MACH70-64W100%0.0
3-4Central Michigan (156.0)MACA82-91W100%0.0
3-7Northern Illinois (136.0)MACA56-50L0%0.0