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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Western Michigan

Conference:MAC
Expected RPI:205.0
Current RPI:205
Expected SOS:141
Current Record:13-20
Expected Record:13-20
Current Conf Record:8-11
Expected Conf Record:8-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:10-5
Current OOC Record:5-9
Expected OOC Record:5-9
Expected OOC RPI:111
Expected OOC SOS:7


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
13-2039.39%205.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Western Michigan.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-12South Dakota St. (42.0)SumA82-76L0%0.0
11-17Temple (19.0)A10N55-69L0%0.0
11-18Iona (40.0)MAACN94-88L0%0.0
11-20Colorado (62.0)P12N81-76L0%0.0
11-23Purdue (48.0)B10A80-37L0%0.0
11-26Gonzaga (25.0)WCCA78-58L0%0.0
12-8Detroit (126.0)HorzA92-81L0%0.0
12-11Southern Illinois (255.0)MVCH54-43W100%0.0
12-17Duquesne (109.0)A10H85-71W100%0.0
12-20Winthrop (272.0)BSthH60-55W100%0.0
12-23Oakland (139.0)SumA76-91W100%0.0
12-30Duke (5.0)ACCA110-70L0%0.0
1-3Wisconsin Milwaukee (125.0)HorzH72-61W100%0.0
1-7Ball St. (256.0)MACA78-69L0%0.0
1-11Northern Illinois (334.0)MACH77-68W100%0.0
1-14Toledo (246.0)MACH74-52W100%0.0
1-18Eastern Michigan (243.0)MACA62-59L0%0.0
1-21Central Michigan (280.0)MACH64-61W100%0.0
1-25Ohio (47.0)MACA56-51L0%0.0
1-28Miami OH (247.0)MACH73-64W100%0.0
2-1Bowling Green (158.0)MACH48-72L0%0.0
2-4Kent St. (106.0)MACA78-73L0%0.0
2-8Akron (55.0)MACH66-69L0%0.0
2-11Buffalo (78.0)MACA59-57L0%0.0
2-15Northern Illinois (334.0)MACA53-78W100%0.0
2-18North Dakota St. (184.0)SumA86-73L0%0.0
2-22Ball St. (256.0)MACH78-61W100%0.0
2-25Toledo (246.0)MACA83-74L0%0.0
2-29Eastern Michigan (243.0)MACH53-54L0%0.0
3-2Central Michigan (280.0)MACA76-70L0%0.0
3-5Ball St. (256.0)MACH69-63W100%0.0
3-7Northern Illinois (334.0)MACN71-54W100%0.0
3-8Kent St. (106.0)MACN76-72L0%0.0