Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Western Michigan   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Western Michigan

Conference:MAC
Expected RPI:149.7
Current RPI:151
Expected SOS:148
Current Record:17-15
Expected Record:17-15
Current Conf Record:10-9
Expected Conf Record:10-9
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:4-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-4
Current OOC Record:7-6
Expected OOC Record:7-6
Expected OOC RPI:93
Expected OOC SOS:46


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
17-1553.12%149.7100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Western Michigan.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-15Detroit (167.4)HorzA80-86L0%0.0
11-18Virginia Commonwealth (65.0)CAAH83-67W100%0.0
11-23Loyola Chicago (213.2)HorzA58-60L0%0.0
11-28Holy Cross (272.4)PatH64-54W100%0.0
12-1Temple (15.6)A10H70-76L0%0.0
12-9Eastern Illinois (170.5)OVCA69-58W100%0.0
12-13Illinois (71.9)B10A53-88L0%0.0
12-19Kennesaw St. (284.0)ASunH72-64W100%0.0
12-22Southern California (110.9)P10N51-55L0%0.0
12-23Northeastern (74.0)CAAN75-60W100%0.0
12-25College of Charleston (91.1)SCN66-63W100%0.0
1-3Sam Houston St. (74.5)SlndH74-73W100%0.0
1-9Eastern Michigan (201.8)MACH61-47W100%0.0
1-13Northern Illinois (262.5)MACA77-87L0%0.0
1-16Central Michigan (195.1)MACH70-61W100%0.0
1-20Ball St. (218.5)MACA68-75L0%0.0
1-23Toledo (324.5)MACH73-41W100%0.0
1-27Akron (84.2)MACH70-79L0%0.0
1-30Kent St. (46.7)MACA73-74L0%0.0
2-1Buffalo (108.3)MACA85-70W100%0.0
2-4Miami OH (145.1)MACH54-56L0%0.0
2-6Bowling Green (188.3)MACH65-64W100%0.0
2-9Ohio (99.9)MACA74-90L0%0.0
2-14Eastern Michigan (201.8)MACA52-66L0%0.0
2-17Northern Illinois (262.5)MACH90-81W100%0.0
2-20Southern Illinois (170.6)MVCA72-89L0%0.0
2-24Toledo (324.5)MACA61-41W100%0.0
2-27Central Michigan (195.1)MACA66-74L0%0.0
3-4Ball St. (218.5)MACH67-52W100%0.0
3-7Bowling Green (188.3)MACH75-73W100%0.0
3-11Central Michigan (195.1)MACN69-60W100%0.0
3-12Akron (84.2)MACN64-66L0%0.0