Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Western Kentucky   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Western Kentucky

Conference:SB
Expected RPI:133.5
Current RPI:133
Expected SOS:187
Current Record:21-13
Expected Record:21-13
Current Conf Record:14-7
Expected Conf Record:14-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:15-2
Current OOC Record:7-6
Expected OOC Record:7-6
Expected OOC RPI:159
Expected OOC SOS:132


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
21-1361.76%133.5100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Western Kentucky.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-16Wisconsin Milwaukee (130.6)HorzN69-65W100%0.0
11-17Louisiana St. (224.0)SECA60-71L0%0.0
11-23Cal St. Northridge (251.7)BWH68-67W100%0.0
11-24Indiana St. (87.5)MVCH63-64L0%0.0
12-2South Carolina (93.2)SECA56-74L0%0.0
12-6Tulane (281.1)CUSAH62-48W100%0.0
12-8Evansville (249.4)MVCH63-57W100%0.0
12-11Vanderbilt (19.5)SECN76-69W100%0.0
12-19Louisville (38.3)BEA75-102L0%0.0
12-22Murray St. (54.4)OVCH83-72W100%0.0
12-31Louisiana Lafayette (245.4)SBH77-65W100%0.0
1-4Mississippi St. (60.9)SECH55-52W100%0.0
1-7South Alabama (209.4)SBA67-64W100%0.0
1-10Denver (164.4)SBA67-72L0%0.0
1-14Florida Atlantic (216.4)SBH79-72W100%0.0
1-16Florida International (296.0)SBH81-64W100%0.0
1-18Middle Tennessee (178.3)SBA46-47L0%0.0
1-21Troy (109.6)SBA69-77L0%0.0
1-23Middle Tennessee (178.3)SBH74-84L0%0.0
1-25Southern Illinois (170.6)MVCA63-68L0%0.0
1-28North Texas (103.0)SBH83-84L0%0.0
1-30New Orleans (323.2)SBH76-56W100%0.0
2-4Louisiana Monroe (273.3)SBA66-67L0%0.0
2-6Troy (109.6)SBH87-69W100%0.0
2-9Houston (126.1)CUSAH72-74L0%0.0
2-11Arkansas St. (200.9)SBH79-68W100%0.0
2-13Arkansas Little Rock (300.2)SBA67-46W100%0.0
2-18South Alabama (209.4)SBH99-69W100%0.0
2-20Arkansas St. (200.9)SBA78-76W100%0.0
2-25Florida Atlantic (216.4)SBA78-69W100%0.0
2-27Florida International (296.0)SBA88-61W100%0.0
3-6New Orleans (323.2)SBN83-58W100%0.0
3-7Arkansas St. (200.9)SBN65-64W100%0.0
3-8Troy (109.6)SBN48-54L0%0.0