Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Western Illinois   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 9, 2010.

Western Illinois

Conference:Sum
Expected RPI:279.7
Current RPI:281
Expected SOS:298
Current Record:10-17
Expected Record:10-17
Current Conf Record:6-13
Expected Conf Record:6-13
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-8
Current OOC Record:4-4
Expected OOC Record:4-4
Expected OOC RPI:228
Expected OOC SOS:323


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
10-1737.04%279.7100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Western Illinois.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Arizona St. (53.7)P10A35-87L0%0.0
11-15Kansas St. (7.3)B12A50-82L0%0.0
11-21Central Arkansas (320.8)SlndA56-46W100%0.0
11-24Savannah St. (316.6)indA48-52L0%0.0
12-3North Dakota St. (268.7)SumH55-60L0%0.0
12-5South Dakota St. (233.1)SumH74-80L0%0.0
12-12Eastern Illinois (167.8)OVCH41-44L0%0.0
12-22Central Arkansas (320.8)SlndH55-44W100%0.0
12-31Oakland (51.2)SumA63-75L0%0.0
1-2IUPU Fort Wayne (224.4)SumA49-53L0%0.0
1-4Savannah St. (316.6)indH55-51W100%0.0
1-9IUPUI (87.7)SumA54-67L0%0.0
1-14Centenary (314.0)SumH70-51W100%0.0
1-16Oral Roberts (123.9)SumH62-74L0%0.0
1-21Missouri Kansas City (280.7)SumA57-61L0%0.0
1-23Southern Utah (326.4)SumA67-54W100%0.0
1-28IUPU Fort Wayne (224.4)SumH58-63L0%0.0
1-30Oakland (51.2)SumH64-68L0%0.0
2-2North Carolina Central (346.9)indA53-50W100%0.0
2-6IUPUI (87.7)SumH42-70L0%0.0
2-11Oral Roberts (123.9)SumA64-62W100%0.0
2-13Centenary (314.0)SumA64-55W100%0.0
2-18Southern Utah (326.4)SumH63-49W100%0.0
2-20Missouri Kansas City (280.7)SumH64-59W100%0.0
2-25South Dakota St. (233.1)SumA53-66L0%0.0
2-27North Dakota St. (268.7)SumA59-63L0%0.0
3-6IUPUI (87.7)SumN68-77L0%0.0