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Through games of Mar 16, 2014.


Western Illinois

Conference:Sum
Expected RPI:290.0
Current RPI:290
Expected SOS:209
Current Record:7-20
Expected Record:7-20
Current Conf Record:4-11
Expected Conf Record:4-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-12
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-5
Current OOC Record:3-9
Expected OOC Record:3-9
Expected OOC RPI:280
Expected OOC SOS:229



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
7-2025.93%290.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Western Illinois.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-9Idaho (238.0)WACA67-63L0%0.0
11-12Nebraska (48.0)B10A62-47L0%0.0
11-17Pacific (133.0)WCCA66-52L0%0.0
11-26Southeastern Louisiana (318.0)SlndA62-52L0%0.0
12-4Eastern Illinois (291.0)OVCH60-32W100%0.0
12-16Alabama St. (254.0)SWACA59-52L0%0.0
12-19Utah St. (116.0)MWCA68-52L0%0.0
12-20Troy (285.0)SBN61-58W100%0.0
12-21UC Santa Barbara (107.0)BWN61-55L0%0.0
12-28UTEP (103.0)CUSAA67-64L0%0.0
12-29Alcorn St. (314.0)SWACN64-62W100%0.0
1-4William & Mary (119.0)CAAH67-78L0%0.0
1-11Nebraska Omaha (219.0)SumH79-72W100%0.0
1-16South Dakota St. (138.0)SumA64-55L0%0.0
1-18North Dakota St. (35.0)SumA65-52L0%0.0
1-23South Dakota (255.0)SumH79-61W100%0.0
1-25Denver (139.0)SumH55-67L0%0.0
1-30IUPUI (322.0)SumA54-69W100%0.0
2-1IPFW (115.0)SumA77-64L0%0.0
2-8Nebraska Omaha (219.0)SumA71-60L0%0.0
2-13North Dakota St. (35.0)SumH52-56L0%0.0
2-15South Dakota St. (138.0)SumH50-62L0%0.0
2-20Denver (139.0)SumA75-67L0%0.0
2-22South Dakota (255.0)SumA64-54L0%0.0
2-27IPFW (115.0)SumH56-65L0%0.0
3-1IUPUI (322.0)SumH75-70W100%0.0
3-9South Dakota St. (138.0)SumN71-50L0%0.0