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Through games of Feb 4, 2012.

West Virginia

Conference:BE
Expected RPI:35.9
Current RPI:30
Expected SOS:8
Current Record:15-8
Expected Record:21-12
Current Conf Record:5-5
Expected Conf Record:11-9
Expected Conf Tourney Record:1-1
Probability of Auto Bid:5.46%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:3-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:7-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:7-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:3-0
Current OOC Record:10-3
Expected OOC Record:10-3
Expected OOC RPI:20
Expected OOC SOS:16


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
26-876.47%5.50.25%
26-974.29%5.80.12%
25-973.53%9.71.41%
24-972.73%16.80.82%
23-971.88%24.11.10%
25-1071.43%9.11.12%
24-1070.59%14.22.62%
23-1069.70%21.74.25%
25-1169.44%7.10.07%
22-1068.75%31.35.27%
24-1168.57%13.23.10%
23-1167.65%20.85.07%
24-1266.67%11.40.24%
22-1166.67%29.69.34%
23-1265.71%18.13.23%
21-1165.62%40.18.79%
22-1264.71%27.95.02%
23-1363.89%17.40.50%
21-1263.64%37.811.38%
22-1362.86%26.11.21%
20-1262.50%49.58.71%
21-1361.76%36.54.14%
22-1461.11%25.00.46%
20-1360.61%46.57.89%
21-1460.00%36.40.70%
19-1359.38%59.94.72%
20-1458.82%46.22.13%
21-1558.33%31.90.11%
19-1457.58%59.42.49%
20-1557.14%42.60.25%
18-1456.25%71.81.78%
19-1555.88%57.50.35%
18-1554.55%70.10.66%
19-1654.29%43.00.01%
17-1553.12%86.10.50%
18-1652.94%66.90.07%
17-1651.52%78.80.05%
16-1650.00%99.30.06%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for West Virginia.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Oral Roberts (39.7)SumH78-71W100%0.0
11-15Kent St. (82.5)MACH60-70L0%0.0
11-17Alcorn St. (332.3)SWACH97-62W100%0.0
11-22Morehead St. (186.1)OVCN83-48W100%0.0
11-28Akron (45.6)MACH77-56W100%0.0
12-3Mississippi St. (48.3)SECA75-62L0%0.0
12-8Kansas St. (50.3)B12N80-85W100%0.0
12-10Miami FL (68.7)ACCH77-66W100%0.0
12-17Texas A&M Corpus Chris (314.6)SlndH84-64W100%0.0
12-19Tennessee Tech (131.5)OVCH72-53W100%0.0
12-22Missouri St. (82.5)MVCN70-68W100%0.0
12-23Baylor (10.1)B12N81-83L0%0.0
12-28Villanova (103.0)BEH83-69W100%0.0
12-30Seton Hall (59.3)BEA67-48L0%0.0
1-4Rutgers (148.0)BEA64-85W100%0.0
1-7Georgetown (15.9)BEH74-62W100%0.0
1-9Connecticut (31.9)BEA64-57L0%0.0
1-14Rutgers (148.0)BEH84-60W100%0.0
1-18Marshall (62.5)CUSAN62-78W100%0.0
1-21Cincinnati (90.9)BEH77-74W100%0.0
1-25St. John's (160.1)BEA78-62L0%0.0
1-28Syracuse (3.4)BEA63-61L0%0.0
1-30Pittsburgh (79.7)BEH66-72L0%0.0
2-5Providence (154.8)BEA0-069%5.5
2-8Notre Dame (71.6)BEH0-073%6.7
2-11Louisville (28.9)BEH0-061%3.0
2-16Pittsburgh (79.7)BEA0-053%0.9
2-22Notre Dame (71.6)BEA0-050%-0.0
2-24Marquette (19.0)BEH0-055%1.4
2-28DePaul (193.8)BEH0-092%15.3
3-3South Florida (104.4)BEA0-067%4.8