Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Weber St.   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Weber St.

Conference:BSky
Expected RPI:84.7
Current RPI:86
Expected SOS:150
Current Record:18-10
Expected Record:18-10
Current Conf Record:14-4
Expected Conf Record:14-4
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-1
Current OOC Record:4-6
Expected OOC Record:4-6
Expected OOC RPI:108
Expected OOC SOS:16


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
18-1064.29%84.7100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Weber St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Utah St. (24.4)WACH60-66L0%0.0
11-17UC Santa Barbara (101.7)BWA57-66L0%0.0
11-22Seattle (191.8)indA87-91L0%0.0
11-27Brigham Young (21.9)MWCA70-87L0%0.0
12-2Utah (156.1)MWCH83-76W100%0.0
12-5Sacramento St. (297.0)BSkyA80-65W100%0.0
12-12Southern Utah (325.5)SumH84-66W100%0.0
12-17Nevada Las Vegas (40.1)MWCA63-72L0%0.0
12-21Cal St. Fullerton (205.2)BWN82-71W100%0.0
12-22Morehead St. (84.2)OVCN66-64W100%0.0
12-23Utah St. (24.4)WACA73-85L0%0.0
12-31Montana St. (200.5)BSkyH75-62W100%0.0
1-2Montana (97.3)BSkyH64-56W100%0.0
1-7Northern Colorado (116.7)BSkyA75-84L0%0.0
1-9Northern Arizona (198.2)BSkyA87-62W100%0.0
1-16Idaho St. (303.8)BSkyA95-93W100%0.0
1-22Portland St. (221.5)BSkyH86-83W100%0.0
1-23Eastern Washington (277.8)BSkyH89-67W100%0.0
1-29Sacramento St. (297.0)BSkyH81-59W100%0.0
2-5Montana (97.3)BSkyA61-75L0%0.0
2-6Montana St. (200.5)BSkyA75-71W100%0.0
2-12Northern Arizona (198.2)BSkyH76-66W100%0.0
2-13Northern Colorado (116.7)BSkyH81-76W100%0.0
2-20Idaho St. (303.8)BSkyH89-64W100%0.0
2-26Eastern Washington (277.8)BSkyA85-57W100%0.0
2-28Portland St. (221.5)BSkyA79-84L0%0.0
3-9Portland St. (221.5)BSkyH69-60W100%0.0
3-10Montana (97.3)BSkyH65-66L0%0.0