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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

Washington St.

Conference:P12
Expected RPI:168.5
Current RPI:161
Expected SOS:146
Current Record:11-11
Expected Record:14-16
Current Conf Record:4-7
Expected Conf Record:7-12
Expected Conf Tourney Record:1-1
Probability of Auto Bid:0.94%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-4
Current OOC Record:7-4
Expected OOC Record:7-4
Expected OOC RPI:155
Expected OOC SOS:280


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
19-1261.29%105.70.03%
20-1360.61%79.60.14%
18-1260.00%122.00.03%
19-1359.38%100.70.26%
18-1358.06%119.10.90%
19-1457.58%85.10.47%
17-1356.67%134.80.43%
18-1456.25%108.10.71%
17-1454.84%127.72.69%
18-1554.55%98.30.74%
16-1453.33%145.34.31%
17-1553.12%119.51.34%
16-1551.61%138.95.96%
17-1651.52%113.31.09%
16-1650.00%134.32.05%
15-1550.00%161.314.30%
16-1748.48%127.20.52%
15-1648.39%154.78.06%
15-1746.88%149.71.58%
14-1646.67%178.820.48%
15-1845.45%147.50.28%
14-1745.16%172.26.69%
14-1843.75%168.50.63%
13-1743.33%196.216.59%
14-1942.42%163.00.02%
13-1841.94%189.92.23%
13-1940.62%185.70.07%
12-1840.00%212.96.26%
12-1938.71%205.20.39%
11-1936.67%227.30.74%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Washington St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Gonzaga (29.8)WCCA89-81L0%0.0
11-17Sacramento St. (305.3)BSkyH79-68W100%0.0
11-20Portland (222.9)WCCA73-83W100%0.0
11-24Oklahoma (99.1)B12N59-74L0%0.0
11-25New Mexico (26.0)MWCN72-62L0%0.0
11-27UC Riverside (257.2)BWN64-63L0%0.0
11-30Grambling (341.9)SWACH69-37W100%0.0
12-3Eastern Washington (207.3)BSkyH75-49W100%0.0
12-7Idaho (164.8)WACA64-66W100%0.0
12-11Santa Clara (275.1)WCCH93-55W100%0.0
12-22Pepperdine (252.4)WCCN67-56W100%0.0
12-29Oregon (92.4)P12N75-92L0%0.0
12-31Oregon St. (108.9)P12N81-76W100%0.0
1-5Utah (275.1)P12A62-60L0%0.0
1-7Colorado (78.1)P12A71-60L0%0.0
1-15Washington (71.3)P12A75-65L0%0.0
1-19Stanford (85.8)P12H81-69W100%0.0
1-21California (40.2)P12H77-75W100%0.0
1-26Arizona (75.5)P12A85-61L0%0.0
1-28Arizona St. (245.1)P12A71-67L0%0.0
2-2Southern California (237.1)P12H60-53W100%0.0
2-4UCLA (106.8)P12H60-63L0%0.0
2-9Oregon St. (108.9)P12A0-023%-7.9
2-11Oregon (92.4)P12A0-033%-4.7
2-16Arizona (75.5)P12H0-037%-3.7
2-18Arizona St. (245.1)P12H0-081%9.6
2-25Washington (71.3)P12H0-045%-1.5
3-1UCLA (106.8)P12A0-022%-8.3
3-3Southern California (237.1)P12A0-055%1.4