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Through games of Feb 4, 2012.

Wake Forest

Conference:ACC
Expected RPI:180.8
Current RPI:137
Expected SOS:97
Current Record:11-12
Expected Record:13-18
Current Conf Record:2-7
Expected Conf Record:4-13
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-1
Probability of Auto Bid:0.01%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-1
Current OOC Record:9-5
Expected OOC Record:9-5
Expected OOC RPI:139
Expected OOC SOS:218


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
18-1358.06%109.00.01%
18-1456.25%110.00.02%
17-1454.84%128.70.07%
18-1554.55%113.50.02%
17-1553.12%123.70.30%
16-1551.61%145.20.74%
17-1651.52%118.20.08%
17-1750.00%110.50.06%
16-1650.00%134.71.62%
16-1748.48%130.40.36%
15-1648.39%158.35.36%
16-1847.06%126.10.07%
15-1746.88%150.05.27%
15-1845.45%143.00.31%
14-1745.16%173.419.70%
15-1944.12%123.00.01%
14-1843.75%164.66.84%
14-1942.42%156.80.33%
13-1841.94%187.430.53%
14-2041.18%139.00.01%
13-1940.62%179.13.86%
13-2039.39%172.90.07%
12-1938.71%200.719.77%
12-2037.50%193.70.73%
11-2035.48%212.53.85%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Wake Forest.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Loyola MD (80.3)MAACH75-63W100%0.0
11-16Georgia Southern (224.5)SCH81-72W100%0.0
11-20North Carolina Central (222.3)MEACH93-79W100%0.0
11-24Dayton (83.1)A10N76-80L0%0.0
11-25Arizona St. (245.5)P12N84-56L0%0.0
11-27Texas Tech (243.2)B12N61-70W100%0.0
11-30Nebraska (128.3)B10A53-55W100%0.0
12-3Richmond (138.9)A10H62-70L0%0.0
12-7High Point (279.0)BSthA83-87W100%0.0
12-10Seton Hall (59.3)BEA68-54L0%0.0
12-18Gardner Webb (267.4)BSthH67-59W100%0.0
12-21NC Wilmington (210.2)CAAH87-78W100%0.0
12-29Yale (125.1)IvyH72-71W100%0.0
1-2Wofford (163.4)SCH52-56L0%0.0
1-7Virginia Tech (95.2)ACCH58-55W100%0.0
1-11Maryland (122.6)ACCA70-64L0%0.0
1-14North Carolina St. (66.6)ACCH40-76L0%0.0
1-19Duke (6.1)ACCA91-73L0%0.0
1-21Boston College (253.7)ACCA56-71W100%0.0
1-25Florida St. (24.3)ACCH52-75L0%0.0
1-28Clemson (149.7)ACCA71-60L0%0.0
1-31North Carolina (5.7)ACCH53-68L0%0.0
2-4North Carolina St. (66.6)ACCA87-76L0%0.0
2-8Virginia (40.5)ACCA0-05%-18.1
2-11Clemson (149.7)ACCH0-036%-4.1
2-15Georgia Tech (174.6)ACCH0-048%-0.5
2-18Miami FL (68.7)ACCA0-011%-13.2
2-25Boston College (253.7)ACCH0-076%7.7
2-28Duke (6.1)ACCH0-09%-15.0
3-3Georgia Tech (174.6)ACCA0-025%-7.2