Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Virginia Military Inst   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Virginia Military Inst

Conference:BSth
Expected RPI:309.9
Current RPI:310
Expected SOS:248
Current Record:6-19
Expected Record:6-19
Current Conf Record:5-14
Expected Conf Record:5-14
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-8
Current OOC Record:1-5
Expected OOC Record:1-5
Expected OOC RPI:256
Expected OOC SOS:80


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
6-1924.00%309.9100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Virginia Military Inst.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Army (247.3)PatH93-86W100%0.0
11-16Richmond (28.0)A10A59-103L0%0.0
11-24NC Wilmington (237.0)CAAA95-115L0%0.0
12-3Coastal Carolina (136.8)BSthH97-111L0%0.0
12-5Charleston Southern (285.0)BSthH103-91W100%0.0
12-9Virginia Tech (56.6)ACCA73-98L0%0.0
12-12Seton Hall (59.6)BEA107-134L0%0.0
12-22George Mason (158.1)CAAA86-89L0%0.0
1-2Liberty (232.0)BSthH102-110L0%0.0
1-7Winthrop (159.8)BSthA63-96L0%0.0
1-9Presbyterian (329.4)BSthA75-89L0%0.0
1-14NC Asheville (216.9)BSthH84-97L0%0.0
1-16Gardner Webb (318.0)BSthH84-92L0%0.0
1-21Radford (169.2)BSthA91-109L0%0.0
1-23High Point (253.8)BSthA94-91W100%0.0
1-28Liberty (232.0)BSthA73-91L0%0.0
2-2Radford (169.2)BSthH84-111L0%0.0
2-4Presbyterian (329.4)BSthH97-78W100%0.0
2-6Winthrop (159.8)BSthH83-87L0%0.0
2-11Gardner Webb (318.0)BSthA92-85W100%0.0
2-13NC Asheville (216.9)BSthA97-114L0%0.0
2-16High Point (253.8)BSthH91-84W100%0.0
2-25Charleston Southern (285.0)BSthA85-95L0%0.0
2-27Coastal Carolina (136.8)BSthA71-101L0%0.0
3-2Coastal Carolina (136.8)BSthA73-82L0%0.0