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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Utah Valley

Expected RPI:272.0
Current RPI:272
Expected SOS:248
Current Record:9-18
Expected Record:9-18
Current Conf Record:6-9
Expected Conf Record:6-9
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-6
Current OOC Record:3-9
Expected OOC Record:3-9
Expected OOC RPI:252
Expected OOC SOS:169


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Utah Valley.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13BYU (76.0)WCCA85-54L0%0.0
11-18Denver (188.0)SumA75-62L0%0.0
11-24Utah St. (151.0)MWCA81-55L0%0.0
11-28UC Davis (281.0)BWH70-82L0%0.0
12-1Montana St. (260.0)BSkyH72-76L0%0.0
12-5Southern Utah (336.0)BSkyH54-68L0%0.0
12-9Weber St. (108.0)BSkyH84-81W100%0.0
12-12Idaho St. (256.0)BSkyA76-100W100%0.0
12-19UTSA (347.0)CUSAA78-83W100%0.0
12-22UNC Wilmington (45.0)CAAN102-77L0%0.0
12-23Louisville (17.0)ACCA98-68L0%0.0
12-28Saint Mary's (38.0)WCCA65-50L0%0.0
1-7New Mexico St. (111.0)WACH66-78L0%0.0
1-9UT Rio Grande Valley (338.0)WACH98-65W100%0.0
1-16Grand Canyon (91.0)WACA99-88L0%0.0
1-21UMKC (286.0)WACA79-90W100%0.0
1-23Chicago St. (348.0)WACA76-82W100%0.0
1-28Seattle (287.0)WACH62-73L0%0.0
1-30Cal St. Bakersfield (117.0)WACH74-78L0%0.0
2-4UT Rio Grande Valley (338.0)WACA77-88W100%0.0
2-6New Mexico St. (111.0)WACA98-74L0%0.0
2-13Cal St. Bakersfield (117.0)WACA91-69L0%0.0
2-18Chicago St. (348.0)WACH74-72W100%0.0
2-20UMKC (286.0)WACH79-70W100%0.0
2-27Seattle (287.0)WACA72-69L0%0.0
3-5Grand Canyon (91.0)WACH79-86L0%0.0
3-10UMKC (286.0)WACN78-80L0%0.0