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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Utah Valley

Conference:GWC
Expected RPI:230.0
Current RPI:230
Expected SOS:339
Current Record:16-12
Expected Record:16-12
Current Conf Record:9-2
Expected Conf Record:9-2
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:15-5
Current OOC Record:7-10
Expected OOC Record:7-10
Expected OOC RPI:257
Expected OOC SOS:274


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
16-1257.14%230.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Utah Valley.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Houston (221.0)CUSAA84-71L0%0.0
11-16Grambling (341.0)SWACH64-34W100%0.0
11-19Missouri Kansas City (266.0)SumH58-54W100%0.0
11-22Arkansas (110.0)SECA67-59L0%0.0
11-25Oakland (139.0)SumA89-83L0%0.0
11-28Northern Illinois (334.0)MACH58-47W100%0.0
11-30Wyoming (83.0)MWCA74-41L0%0.0
12-6Utah St. (143.0)WACA63-54L0%0.0
12-10Portland St. (187.0)BSkyH93-87W100%0.0
12-17Georgia St. (141.0)CAAH68-71L0%0.0
12-19Maine (282.0)AEA77-60L0%0.0
12-22Montana (74.0)BSkyA65-52L0%0.0
12-29Hampton (306.0)MEACN40-42W100%0.0
12-30Chattanooga (310.0)SCA74-59L0%0.0
1-3Wyoming (83.0)MWCH70-76L0%0.0
1-7Seattle (277.0)indH77-72W100%0.0
1-13Seattle (277.0)indA74-84W100%0.0
1-21North Dakota (242.0)GWCH72-64W100%0.0
1-26Chicago St. (336.0)GWCH65-56W100%0.0
1-28NJ Inst of Technology (304.0)GWCH81-58W100%0.0
2-2Texas Pan American (314.0)GWCA69-77W100%0.0
2-4Houston Baptist (324.0)GWCA66-68W100%0.0
2-9NJ Inst of Technology (304.0)GWCA97-99W100%0.0
2-11Chicago St. (336.0)GWCA61-66W100%0.0
2-23Houston Baptist (324.0)GWCH75-56W100%0.0
2-25Texas Pan American (314.0)GWCH74-64W100%0.0
3-3North Dakota (242.0)GWCA57-56L0%0.0
3-9NJ Inst of Technology (304.0)GWCN78-88L0%0.0