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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

UT Rio Grande Valley

Expected RPI:338.0
Current RPI:338
Expected SOS:265
Current Record:5-22
Expected Record:5-22
Current Conf Record:4-11
Expected Conf Record:4-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:5-11
Current OOC Record:1-11
Expected OOC Record:1-11
Expected OOC RPI:344
Expected OOC SOS:251


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for UT Rio Grande Valley.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Miami FL (9.0)ACCA86-59L0%0.0
11-16North Florida (161.0)ASunA106-84L0%0.0
11-22Portland St. (282.0)BSkyH61-79L0%0.0
11-24Southeast Missouri St. (342.0)OVCH83-74W100%0.0
11-30Houston (87.0)AmerA78-65L0%0.0
12-2Lamar (337.0)SlndA83-60L0%0.0
12-11Tennessee Martin (213.0)OVCH64-72L0%0.0
12-13Texas St. (238.0)SBA68-59L0%0.0
12-21Utah St. (151.0)MWCA94-69L0%0.0
12-22North Dakota St. (120.0)SumN68-50L0%0.0
12-23Idaho St. (256.0)BSkyN64-76L0%0.0
12-29UTEP (215.0)CUSAA85-64L0%0.0
1-7Grand Canyon (91.0)WACA83-63L0%0.0
1-9Utah Valley (272.0)WACA98-65L0%0.0
1-14Chicago St. (348.0)WACH82-72W100%0.0
1-16UMKC (286.0)WACH71-66W100%0.0
1-21Cal St. Bakersfield (117.0)WACA77-58L0%0.0
1-23Seattle (287.0)WACA70-59L0%0.0
1-30New Mexico St. (111.0)WACA92-68L0%0.0
2-4Utah Valley (272.0)WACH77-88L0%0.0
2-6Grand Canyon (91.0)WACH58-64L0%0.0
2-13UMKC (286.0)WACA75-58L0%0.0
2-18Seattle (287.0)WACH67-57W100%0.0
2-20Cal St. Bakersfield (117.0)WACH57-70L0%0.0
2-28Chicago St. (348.0)WACA79-89W100%0.0
3-5New Mexico St. (111.0)WACH44-83L0%0.0
3-10Seattle (287.0)WACN75-52L0%0.0