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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

UT Arlington

Expected RPI:105.0
Current RPI:105
Expected SOS:232
Current Record:22-10
Expected Record:22-10
Current Conf Record:14-8
Expected Conf Record:14-8
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:16-2
Current OOC Record:8-2
Expected OOC Record:8-2
Expected OOC RPI:55
Expected OOC SOS:259


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for UT Arlington.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Fordham (176.0)A10H77-72W100%0.0
11-17Louisiana Tech (122.0)CUSAA80-68L0%0.0
11-20Ohio St. (74.0)B10A68-73W100%0.0
11-23Memphis (139.0)AmerA64-68W100%0.0
11-25Grambling St. (350.0)SWACH73-40W100%0.0
11-29Rice (279.0)CUSAA74-92W100%0.0
12-1Texas (27.0)B12A80-73L0%0.0
12-3North Texas (295.0)CUSAH90-67W100%0.0
12-5UTEP (215.0)CUSAA62-76W100%0.0
12-8Bradley (306.0)MVCH97-61W100%0.0
12-30Georgia St. (180.0)SBH85-70W100%0.0
1-2Georgia Southern (243.0)SBH92-72W100%0.0
1-7Appalachian St. (259.0)SBA67-71W100%0.0
1-14Troy (293.0)SBA63-90W100%0.0
1-16South Alabama (240.0)SBA88-85L0%0.0
1-21Arkansas St. (285.0)SBH91-64W100%0.0
1-23Arkansas Little Rock (42.0)SBH62-68L0%0.0
1-28Louisiana Monroe (95.0)SBA99-88L0%0.0
1-30Louisiana Lafayette (157.0)SBA90-75L0%0.0
2-4Georgia Southern (243.0)SBA82-73L0%0.0
2-6Georgia St. (180.0)SBA69-90W100%0.0
2-9Texas St. (238.0)SBA53-65W100%0.0
2-13Appalachian St. (259.0)SBH91-60W100%0.0
2-18Louisiana Lafayette (157.0)SBH84-83W100%0.0
2-20Louisiana Monroe (95.0)SBH61-64L0%0.0
2-25Arkansas Little Rock (42.0)SBA72-60L0%0.0
2-27Arkansas St. (285.0)SBA75-79W100%0.0
3-1Texas St. (238.0)SBH75-69W100%0.0
3-3South Alabama (240.0)SBH92-79W100%0.0
3-5Troy (293.0)SBH90-55W100%0.0
3-11Texas St. (238.0)SBN72-63W100%0.0
3-12Louisiana Monroe (95.0)SBN82-71L0%0.0