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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

UC Riverside

Expected RPI:267.0
Current RPI:267
Expected SOS:280
Current Record:12-19
Expected Record:12-19
Current Conf Record:5-12
Expected Conf Record:5-12
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-8
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-9
Current OOC Record:7-7
Expected OOC Record:7-7
Expected OOC RPI:246
Expected OOC SOS:333


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for UC Riverside.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-19Santa Clara (251.0)WCCH77-63W100%0.0
11-21San Francisco (228.0)WCCA58-57L0%0.0
11-24Delaware St. (345.0)MEACH81-55W100%0.0
11-27Rice (279.0)CUSAA87-81L0%0.0
11-29Lamar (337.0)SlndA69-74W100%0.0
12-3Northern Colorado (304.0)BSkyH77-66W100%0.0
12-6Loyola Marymount (223.0)WCCA77-76L0%0.0
12-12UNLV (147.0)MWCH62-73L0%0.0
12-15Houston Baptist (224.0)SlndA72-59L0%0.0
12-18Abilene Christian (321.0)SlndA56-60W100%0.0
12-22Denver (188.0)SumH63-54W100%0.0
12-28Morgan St. (327.0)MEACA72-81W100%0.0
12-30Ohio (81.0)MACA81-59L0%0.0
1-2Cal St. Bakersfield (117.0)WACH48-67L0%0.0
1-7Cal St. Fullerton (290.0)BWH73-79L0%0.0
1-9UC Irvine (75.0)BWA84-68L0%0.0
1-14Hawaii (80.0)BWH71-80L0%0.0
1-16Cal St. Northridge (280.0)BWA72-75W100%0.0
1-21UC Davis (281.0)BWA58-55L0%0.0
1-23Long Beach St. (79.0)BWH74-72W100%0.0
1-28Cal Poly (236.0)BWA68-72W100%0.0
1-30Cal St. Fullerton (290.0)BWA71-81W100%0.0
2-3Cal St. Northridge (280.0)BWH71-73L0%0.0
2-6UC Davis (281.0)BWH49-50L0%0.0
2-13Cal Poly (236.0)BWH78-86L0%0.0
2-18UC Santa Barbara (97.0)BWH55-65L0%0.0
2-25Hawaii (80.0)BWA71-77W100%0.0
2-27Long Beach St. (79.0)BWA66-55L0%0.0
3-3UC Santa Barbara (97.0)BWA81-55L0%0.0
3-5UC Irvine (75.0)BWH66-76L0%0.0
3-10Long Beach St. (79.0)BWN82-74L0%0.0