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Through games of Mar 17, 2013.

UC Riverside

Conference:BW
Expected RPI:338.0
Current RPI:338
Expected SOS:287
Current Record:4-24
Expected Record:4-24
Current Conf Record:3-15
Expected Conf Record:3-15
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:3-12
Current OOC Record:1-9
Expected OOC Record:1-9
Expected OOC RPI:345
Expected OOC SOS:326


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
4-2414.29%338.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for UC Riverside.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-9DePaul (204.0)BEA91-59L0%0.0
11-11Illinois Chicago (169.0)HorzA59-52L0%0.0
11-14Fresno St. (135.0)MWCH30-39L0%0.0
11-21Northeastern (159.0)CAAN52-61L0%0.0
11-24Texas St. (272.0)WACN81-69L0%0.0
12-1Northern Colorado (257.0)BSkyH69-63W100%0.0
12-5Pepperdine (212.0)WCCA62-40L0%0.0
12-15Southern California (118.0)P12A70-26L0%0.0
12-22Air Force (80.0)MWCH53-61L0%0.0
12-29Cal Poly (164.0)BWH48-58L0%0.0
1-3Cal St. Northridge (254.0)BWA64-65W100%0.0
1-5Hawaii (210.0)BWA76-61L0%0.0
1-12Cal St. Fullerton (270.0)BWA71-69L0%0.0
1-17Long Beach St. (115.0)BWH82-91L0%0.0
1-19UC Irvine (125.0)BWH68-58W100%0.0
1-24Pacific (97.0)BWA63-58L0%0.0
1-26UC Davis (234.0)BWA79-72L0%0.0
1-31Hawaii (210.0)BWH68-72L0%0.0
2-2Cal St. Northridge (254.0)BWH53-69L0%0.0
2-9Cal St. Fullerton (270.0)BWH67-79L0%0.0
2-13UC Irvine (125.0)BWA52-48L0%0.0
2-16Long Beach St. (115.0)BWA75-35L0%0.0
2-20UC Santa Barbara (244.0)BWH54-45W100%0.0
2-23Portland St. (339.0)BSkyA66-58L0%0.0
2-28UC Davis (234.0)BWH52-59L0%0.0
3-2Pacific (97.0)BWH68-70L0%0.0
3-7Cal Poly (164.0)BWA68-62L0%0.0
3-9UC Santa Barbara (244.0)BWA56-46L0%0.0