Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  UC Riverside   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

UC Riverside

Conference:BW
Expected RPI:255.6
Current RPI:255
Expected SOS:246
Current Record:10-17
Expected Record:10-17
Current Conf Record:5-11
Expected Conf Record:5-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-8
Current OOC Record:5-6
Expected OOC Record:5-6
Expected OOC RPI:215
Expected OOC SOS:271


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
10-1737.04%255.6100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for UC Riverside.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14New Mexico (10.5)MWCA51-67L0%0.0
11-17Southern California (110.9)P10A67-77L0%0.0
11-22San Jose St. (177.2)WACH70-66W100%0.0
11-28Sacramento St. (297.0)BSkyA59-58W100%0.0
12-2Cal St. Bakersfield (317.0)indH87-47W100%0.0
12-4San Diego (230.7)WCCH58-55W100%0.0
12-13Northern Arizona (198.2)BSkyA56-68L0%0.0
12-19Montana (97.3)BSkyA52-67L0%0.0
12-21Southern Utah (325.5)SumA65-76L0%0.0
12-29San Diego St. (24.6)MWCA53-58L0%0.0
1-2Long Beach St. (105.3)BWH69-67W100%0.0
1-4UC Santa Barbara (101.7)BWH53-57L0%0.0
1-9Cal St. Fullerton (205.2)BWH56-69L0%0.0
1-14Cal St. Northridge (251.7)BWA50-64L0%0.0
1-16UC Santa Barbara (101.7)BWA56-63L0%0.0
1-21Cal Poly (255.8)BWA65-67L0%0.0
1-23UC Irvine (275.6)BWA65-56W100%0.0
1-28UC Davis (244.0)BWH50-60L0%0.0
1-30Pacific (128.6)BWH57-72L0%0.0
2-4Cal St. Northridge (251.7)BWH47-63L0%0.0
2-6Cal St. Fullerton (205.2)BWA76-59W100%0.0
2-13Cal Poly (255.8)BWH84-87L0%0.0
2-17UC Irvine (275.6)BWH74-57W100%0.0
2-20Youngstown St. (270.5)HorzH62-60W100%0.0
2-25Pacific (128.6)BWA62-53W100%0.0
2-28UC Davis (244.0)BWA43-66L0%0.0
3-5Long Beach St. (105.3)BWA74-76L0%0.0