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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

UC Irvine

Expected RPI:75.0
Current RPI:75
Expected SOS:154
Current Record:23-9
Expected Record:23-9
Current Conf Record:14-4
Expected Conf Record:14-4
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:17-0
Current OOC Record:9-5
Expected OOC Record:9-5
Expected OOC RPI:49
Expected OOC SOS:63


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for UC Irvine.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-15Loyola Marymount (223.0)WCCH77-53W100%0.0
11-18UCF (219.0)AmerA60-61W100%0.0
11-23Santa Clara (251.0)WCCH79-61W100%0.0
11-26Boise St. (101.0)MWCN71-64L0%0.0
11-27Boston College (250.0)ACCN67-80W100%0.0
11-29Evansville (93.0)MVCN75-56L0%0.0
12-4Pacific (268.0)WCCA67-70W100%0.0
12-6Saint Mary's (38.0)WCCA70-60L0%0.0
12-12Utah St. (151.0)MWCA63-73W100%0.0
12-15Oregon (2.0)P12A78-63L0%0.0
12-21Sam Houston St. (178.0)SlndN63-53W100%0.0
12-22Norfolk St. (225.0)MEACN62-80W100%0.0
12-29Kansas (1.0)B12A78-53L0%0.0
1-2New Mexico St. (111.0)WACH54-52W100%0.0
1-7UC Davis (281.0)BWH76-55W100%0.0
1-9UC Riverside (267.0)BWH84-68W100%0.0
1-14Long Beach St. (79.0)BWA54-58W100%0.0
1-16UC Santa Barbara (97.0)BWA52-61W100%0.0
1-20Cal St. Fullerton (290.0)BWH72-59W100%0.0
1-27Cal St. Northridge (280.0)BWA63-73W100%0.0
1-30UC Santa Barbara (97.0)BWH60-76L0%0.0
2-3Cal Poly (236.0)BWA72-78W100%0.0
2-11Hawaii (80.0)BWA74-52L0%0.0
2-13Cal St. Northridge (280.0)BWH93-84W100%0.0
2-17Cal St. Fullerton (290.0)BWA77-96W100%0.0
2-20Hawaii (80.0)BWH71-75L0%0.0
2-24Long Beach St. (79.0)BWH90-67W100%0.0
2-27UC Davis (281.0)BWA61-62W100%0.0
3-3Cal Poly (236.0)BWH72-62W100%0.0
3-5UC Riverside (267.0)BWA66-76W100%0.0
3-10Cal Poly (236.0)BWN84-64W100%0.0
3-11Long Beach St. (79.0)BWN72-77L0%0.0