Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  UC Irvine   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

UC Irvine

Conference:BW
Expected RPI:275.6
Current RPI:275
Expected SOS:300
Current Record:12-18
Expected Record:12-18
Current Conf Record:6-11
Expected Conf Record:6-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-8
Current OOC Record:6-7
Expected OOC Record:6-7
Expected OOC RPI:263
Expected OOC SOS:333


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
12-1840.00%275.6100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for UC Irvine.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-15Texas (29.3)B12A42-89L0%0.0
11-18Loyola Marymount (174.0)WCCA84-78W100%0.0
11-23Texas San Antonio (186.6)SlndN56-66L0%0.0
11-24Eastern Kentucky (154.3)OVCA57-67L0%0.0
11-25Fairleigh Dickinson (270.7)NECN75-54W100%0.0
12-2Hawaii (253.2)WACH80-70W100%0.0
12-15Seattle (191.8)indA81-82L0%0.0
12-18San Jose St. (177.2)WACH56-69L0%0.0
12-21Pepperdine (304.1)WCCH74-61W100%0.0
12-28San Jose St. (177.2)WACA68-78L0%0.0
1-2UC Santa Barbara (101.7)BWH57-55W100%0.0
1-4Cal Poly (255.8)BWH81-95L0%0.0
1-7Cal St. Northridge (251.7)BWA65-62W100%0.0
1-9Long Beach St. (105.3)BWA53-55L0%0.0
1-14UC Davis (244.0)BWA77-79L0%0.0
1-16Pacific (128.6)BWA51-64L0%0.0
1-21Long Beach St. (105.3)BWH71-60W100%0.0
1-23UC Riverside (255.6)BWH56-65L0%0.0
1-28Pacific (128.6)BWH50-61L0%0.0
1-30Cal St. Fullerton (205.2)BWA68-74L0%0.0
2-3Cal St. Bakersfield (317.0)indA55-68L0%0.0
2-6Cal St. Bakersfield (317.0)indH76-63W100%0.0
2-10Cal St. Fullerton (205.2)BWH61-72L0%0.0
2-13UC Davis (244.0)BWH69-67W100%0.0
2-17UC Riverside (255.6)BWA57-74L0%0.0
2-20Marist (334.0)MAACH66-65W100%0.0
2-27Cal St. Northridge (251.7)BWH79-74W100%0.0
3-3UC Santa Barbara (101.7)BWA74-77L0%0.0
3-6Cal Poly (255.8)BWA91-84W100%0.0
3-10Cal Poly (255.8)BWN69-73L0%0.0