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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

UC Davis

Expected RPI:281.0
Current RPI:281
Expected SOS:214
Current Record:9-19
Expected Record:9-19
Current Conf Record:6-11
Expected Conf Record:6-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-9
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-6
Current OOC Record:3-8
Expected OOC Record:3-8
Expected OOC RPI:295
Expected OOC SOS:270


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for UC Davis.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13North Dakota St. (120.0)SumH71-79L0%0.0
11-15Portland (249.0)WCCH79-66W100%0.0
11-24Sacramento St. (273.0)BSkyA84-79L0%0.0
11-28Utah Valley (272.0)WACA70-82W100%0.0
12-2Sacramento St. (273.0)BSkyH66-61W100%0.0
12-4Saint Mary's (38.0)WCCA81-67L0%0.0
12-15San Diego (302.0)WCCA61-55L0%0.0
12-19Air Force (226.0)MWCH60-67L0%0.0
12-22Idaho (191.0)BSkyH51-68L0%0.0
12-28Seattle (287.0)WACA80-75L0%0.0
12-30Boise St. (101.0)MWCA64-56L0%0.0
1-7UC Irvine (75.0)BWA76-55L0%0.0
1-9Long Beach St. (79.0)BWA59-47L0%0.0
1-14Cal St. Northridge (280.0)BWH63-62W100%0.0
1-21UC Riverside (267.0)BWH58-55W100%0.0
1-23Hawaii (80.0)BWA78-62L0%0.0
1-27Cal St. Fullerton (290.0)BWH69-64W100%0.0
1-30Cal Poly (236.0)BWH66-52W100%0.0
2-4Cal St. Fullerton (290.0)BWA61-57L0%0.0
2-6UC Riverside (267.0)BWA49-50W100%0.0
2-11UC Santa Barbara (97.0)BWH66-72L0%0.0
2-13Long Beach St. (79.0)BWH48-57L0%0.0
2-18Cal Poly (236.0)BWA58-53L0%0.0
2-20UC Santa Barbara (97.0)BWA62-55L0%0.0
2-27UC Irvine (75.0)BWH61-62L0%0.0
3-3Hawaii (80.0)BWH65-67L0%0.0
3-5Cal St. Northridge (280.0)BWA83-87W100%0.0
3-10UC Santa Barbara (97.0)BWN87-61L0%0.0