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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

UC Davis

Conference:BW
Expected RPI:338.0
Current RPI:338
Expected SOS:294
Current Record:4-26
Expected Record:4-26
Current Conf Record:3-14
Expected Conf Record:3-14
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:3-16
Current OOC Record:1-12
Expected OOC Record:1-12
Expected OOC RPI:342
Expected OOC SOS:326


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
4-2613.33%338.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for UC Davis.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Southern Utah (232.0)SumN75-76L0%0.0
11-12Bryant (340.0)NECN63-70L0%0.0
11-13San Diego St. (26.0)MWCA89-74L0%0.0
11-18Stanford (97.0)P12H49-70L0%0.0
11-22Sacramento St. (315.0)BSkyH61-69L0%0.0
11-27Eastern Washington (209.0)BSkyA79-59L0%0.0
12-3Idaho (146.0)WACH74-94L0%0.0
12-11Hawaii (204.0)WACA74-61L0%0.0
12-17UCLA (117.0)P12N82-39L0%0.0
12-20San Jose St. (279.0)WACA79-59L0%0.0
12-22Southern Utah (232.0)SumA62-51L0%0.0
12-29Cal St. Fullerton (157.0)BWA65-64L0%0.0
1-5UC Riverside (253.0)BWH58-60L0%0.0
1-7UC Irvine (254.0)BWH55-70L0%0.0
1-12Long Beach St. (34.0)BWA86-58L0%0.0
1-14Cal St. Northridge (323.0)BWA84-80L0%0.0
1-21Pacific (288.0)BWA64-48L0%0.0
1-26UC Santa Barbara (119.0)BWH59-86L0%0.0
1-28Cal Poly (219.0)BWH65-67L0%0.0
2-2UC Irvine (254.0)BWA68-61L0%0.0
2-4UC Riverside (253.0)BWA59-54L0%0.0
2-9Cal St. Northridge (323.0)BWH79-71W100%0.0
2-11Long Beach St. (34.0)BWH69-89L0%0.0
2-14Pacific (288.0)BWH73-64W100%0.0
2-18Northern Arizona (337.0)BSkyA65-70W100%0.0
2-20Seattle (277.0)indA73-59L0%0.0
2-25Cal St. Fullerton (157.0)BWH78-75W100%0.0
3-1Cal Poly (219.0)BWA69-56L0%0.0
3-3UC Santa Barbara (119.0)BWA90-43L0%0.0
3-8Long Beach St. (34.0)BWN80-46L0%0.0