Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  UC Davis   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

UC Davis

Conference:BW
Expected RPI:244.0
Current RPI:245
Expected SOS:254
Current Record:12-18
Expected Record:12-18
Current Conf Record:9-9
Expected Conf Record:9-9
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-10
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-6
Current OOC Record:3-9
Expected OOC Record:3-9
Expected OOC RPI:303
Expected OOC SOS:316


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
12-1840.00%244.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for UC Davis.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Colorado St. (119.8)MWCN73-91L0%0.0
11-14Oregon (138.5)P10A64-95L0%0.0
11-15Winston Salem St. (292.3)indN99-79W100%0.0
11-24North Dakota St. (268.0)SumH62-63L0%0.0
11-28Ball St. (218.5)MACA60-58W100%0.0
12-2Sacramento St. (297.0)BSkyH57-59L0%0.0
12-5Seattle (191.8)indH78-88L0%0.0
12-13Stanford (165.1)P10A69-85L0%0.0
12-17Fresno St. (190.4)WACA57-68L0%0.0
12-22Air Force (244.3)MWCA57-69L0%0.0
1-2Cal St. Fullerton (205.2)BWH67-63W100%0.0
1-4Cal St. Northridge (251.7)BWH85-73W100%0.0
1-8UC Santa Barbara (101.7)BWA47-68L0%0.0
1-10Cal Poly (255.8)BWA69-72L0%0.0
1-14UC Irvine (275.6)BWH79-77W100%0.0
1-23Pacific (128.6)BWA61-77L0%0.0
1-28UC Riverside (255.6)BWA60-50W100%0.0
1-30Long Beach St. (105.3)BWA58-80L0%0.0
2-4Cal Poly (255.8)BWH83-63W100%0.0
2-6UC Santa Barbara (101.7)BWH77-81L0%0.0
2-10Pacific (128.6)BWH62-59W100%0.0
2-13UC Irvine (275.6)BWA67-69L0%0.0
2-16Seattle (191.8)indA56-81L0%0.0
2-20Boise St. (202.8)WACA82-74W100%0.0
2-25Long Beach St. (105.3)BWH65-68L0%0.0
2-28UC Riverside (255.6)BWH66-43W100%0.0
3-4Cal St. Northridge (251.7)BWA66-70L0%0.0
3-6Cal St. Fullerton (205.2)BWA92-86W100%0.0
3-11Cal St. Fullerton (205.2)BWN68-65W100%0.0
3-12UC Santa Barbara (101.7)BWN62-76L0%0.0