Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  The Citadel   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 9, 2010.

The Citadel

Conference:SC
Expected RPI:200.5
Current RPI:201
Expected SOS:198
Current Record:14-16
Expected Record:14-16
Current Conf Record:10-10
Expected Conf Record:10-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-5
Current OOC Record:4-6
Expected OOC Record:4-6
Expected OOC RPI:180
Expected OOC SOS:130


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
14-1646.67%200.5100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for The Citadel.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-17Charleston Southern (283.7)BSthH60-61L0%0.0
11-20Eastern Michigan (199.8)MACN63-56W100%0.0
11-21Missouri St. (91.2)MVCA55-72L0%0.0
11-22Maryland Eastern Shore (308.5)MEACN88-62W100%0.0
11-24West Virginia (4.1)BEN50-69L0%0.0
11-29Central Connecticut (308.9)NECH67-53W100%0.0
12-3Davidson (179.5)SCH63-74L0%0.0
12-5Georgia Southern (288.0)SCH68-43W100%0.0
12-7Michigan St. (26.0)B10H56-69L0%0.0
12-19Texas A&M (14.9)B12A50-71L0%0.0
12-21Houston (158.6)CUSAA58-81L0%0.0
1-2Savannah St. (316.6)indA54-47W100%0.0
1-6Appalachian St. (98.0)SCA62-58W100%0.0
1-9College of Charleston (91.8)SCH55-61L0%0.0
1-14Chattanooga (237.9)SCA54-56L0%0.0
1-16Samford (262.4)SCA51-50W100%0.0
1-21Wofford (66.9)SCH42-44L0%0.0
1-23Furman (278.3)SCH70-60W100%0.0
1-28Georgia Southern (288.0)SCA58-61L0%0.0
1-30Davidson (179.5)SCA63-67L0%0.0
2-4Samford (262.4)SCH61-57W100%0.0
2-6Chattanooga (237.9)SCH68-60W100%0.0
2-8College of Charleston (91.8)SCA72-65W100%0.0
2-13Elon (271.8)SCA77-72W100%0.0
2-18Western Carolina (117.4)SCH73-56W100%0.0
2-20NC Greensboro (248.5)SCH53-59L0%0.0
2-25Furman (278.3)SCA44-59L0%0.0
2-27Wofford (66.9)SCA66-75L0%0.0
3-5Samford (262.4)SCN55-43W100%0.0
3-6Appalachian St. (98.0)SCN61-71L0%0.0