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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Texas St.

Expected RPI:238.0
Current RPI:238
Expected SOS:276
Current Record:13-16
Expected Record:13-16
Current Conf Record:9-13
Expected Conf Record:9-13
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-5
Current OOC Record:4-3
Expected OOC Record:4-3
Expected OOC RPI:234
Expected OOC SOS:351


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Texas St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-21UTEP (215.0)CUSAA77-62L0%0.0
11-28McNeese St. (341.0)SlndA67-70W100%0.0
12-2UTSA (347.0)CUSAH76-53W100%0.0
12-5Texas A&M Corpus Chris (84.0)SlndA47-39L0%0.0
12-13UT Rio Grande Valley (338.0)WACH68-59W100%0.0
12-16Prairie View A&M (334.0)SWACA44-62W100%0.0
12-18Washington St. (212.0)P12A78-73L0%0.0
12-30Georgia Southern (243.0)SBH80-66W100%0.0
1-2Georgia St. (180.0)SBH46-58L0%0.0
1-9Appalachian St. (259.0)SBA76-56L0%0.0
1-14South Alabama (240.0)SBA67-78W100%0.0
1-16Troy (293.0)SBA66-57L0%0.0
1-21Arkansas Little Rock (42.0)SBH74-77L0%0.0
1-23Arkansas St. (285.0)SBH78-68W100%0.0
1-28Louisiana Lafayette (157.0)SBA80-54L0%0.0
1-30Louisiana Monroe (95.0)SBA72-59L0%0.0
2-4Georgia St. (180.0)SBA59-56L0%0.0
2-6Georgia Southern (243.0)SBA66-62L0%0.0
2-9UT Arlington (105.0)SBH53-65L0%0.0
2-11Appalachian St. (259.0)SBH69-68W100%0.0
2-18Louisiana Monroe (95.0)SBH57-76L0%0.0
2-20Louisiana Lafayette (157.0)SBH61-57W100%0.0
2-25Arkansas St. (285.0)SBA60-71W100%0.0
2-27Arkansas Little Rock (42.0)SBA73-68L0%0.0
3-1UT Arlington (105.0)SBA75-69L0%0.0
3-3Troy (293.0)SBH78-57W100%0.0
3-5South Alabama (240.0)SBH68-57W100%0.0
3-10Georgia St. (180.0)SBN61-63W100%0.0
3-11UT Arlington (105.0)SBN72-63L0%0.0