Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Texas St.   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Texas St.

Conference:Slnd
Expected RPI:242.5
Current RPI:243
Expected SOS:260
Current Record:11-16
Expected Record:11-16
Current Conf Record:9-8
Expected Conf Record:9-8
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-6
Current OOC Record:2-8
Expected OOC Record:2-8
Expected OOC RPI:335
Expected OOC SOS:322


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
11-1640.74%242.5100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Texas St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-16Arizona St. (63.4)P10A62-84L0%0.0
11-17Cal St. Northridge (251.7)BWN82-85L0%0.0
11-21New Orleans (323.2)SBA55-67L0%0.0
11-23Wisconsin Milwaukee (130.6)HorzN77-96L0%0.0
11-24Texas Christian (188.1)MWCA99-108L0%0.0
12-5Texas Pan American (336.0)GWCH80-70W100%0.0
12-7Southern Methodist (208.1)CUSAA86-94L0%0.0
12-12Texas (29.3)B12A54-87L0%0.0
12-19DePaul (212.2)BEA69-86L0%0.0
1-2Southern Methodist (208.1)CUSAH91-86W100%0.0
1-9Texas Arlington (234.2)SlndA64-60W100%0.0
1-13Texas A&M Corpus Chris (168.4)SlndH59-68L0%0.0
1-16Central Arkansas (320.1)SlndH76-74W100%0.0
1-20Sam Houston St. (74.5)SlndA64-95L0%0.0
1-23Lamar (292.7)SlndA97-92W100%0.0
1-27Texas San Antonio (186.6)SlndH76-62W100%0.0
1-30Texas Arlington (234.2)SlndH78-82L0%0.0
2-3Southeastern Louisiana (193.0)SlndA66-75L0%0.0
2-6McNeese St. (314.8)SlndH95-88W100%0.0
2-10Texas A&M Corpus Chris (168.4)SlndA60-63L0%0.0
2-13Lamar (292.7)SlndH81-67W100%0.0
2-20Nicholls St. (277.4)SlndA63-66L0%0.0
2-24Stephen F. Austin (143.1)SlndH70-77L0%0.0
2-27Northwestern St. (312.3)SlndA89-75W100%0.0
3-3Texas San Antonio (186.6)SlndA83-76W100%0.0
3-6Sam Houston St. (74.5)SlndH101-97W100%0.0
3-10Southeastern Louisiana (193.0)SlndN78-79L0%0.0