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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Texas St.

Conference:Slnd
Expected RPI:287.0
Current RPI:287
Expected SOS:298
Current Record:9-17
Expected Record:9-17
Current Conf Record:5-11
Expected Conf Record:5-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-10
Current OOC Record:4-6
Expected OOC Record:4-6
Expected OOC RPI:235
Expected OOC SOS:268


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
9-1734.62%287.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Texas St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-18Toledo (246.0)MACN91-94W100%0.0
11-19Texas Pan American (314.0)GWCA79-77L0%0.0
11-20South Carolina Upstate (140.0)ASunN74-82L0%0.0
12-3Houston Baptist (324.0)GWCH103-76W100%0.0
12-6Houston (221.0)CUSAH81-78W100%0.0
12-10Texas (50.0)B12A86-52L0%0.0
12-20Long Island (80.0)NECA100-84L0%0.0
12-22Fordham (240.0)A10A81-70L0%0.0
12-30Houston (221.0)CUSAA94-71L0%0.0
1-4Stephen F. Austin (202.0)SlndH65-66L0%0.0
1-7Northwestern St. (217.0)SlndA83-68L0%0.0
1-14McNeese St. (174.0)SlndH82-73W100%0.0
1-18Sam Houston St. (273.0)SlndA71-68L0%0.0
1-21Texas San Antonio (196.0)SlndH75-80L0%0.0
1-25Texas A&M Corpus Chris (319.0)SlndA74-68L0%0.0
1-28Texas Arlington (111.0)SlndH79-82L0%0.0
2-1Stephen F. Austin (202.0)SlndA71-63L0%0.0
2-4Nicholls St. (298.0)SlndA96-75L0%0.0
2-8Central Arkansas (321.0)SlndH94-63W100%0.0
2-11Texas Arlington (111.0)SlndA73-53L0%0.0
2-15Texas A&M Corpus Chris (319.0)SlndH79-61W100%0.0
2-18South Dakota (291.0)SumA92-93W100%0.0
2-22Southeastern Louisiana (318.0)SlndA61-62W100%0.0
2-25Texas San Antonio (196.0)SlndA52-66W100%0.0
2-29Lamar (108.0)SlndH65-81L0%0.0
3-3Sam Houston St. (273.0)SlndH61-63L0%0.0