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Through games of Mar 17, 2013.

Texas St.

Conference:WAC
Expected RPI:272.0
Current RPI:272
Expected SOS:224
Current Record:11-22
Expected Record:11-22
Current Conf Record:7-14
Expected Conf Record:7-14
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-8
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-5
Current OOC Record:4-8
Expected OOC Record:4-8
Expected OOC RPI:328
Expected OOC SOS:343


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
11-2233.33%272.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Texas St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-9Fordham (228.0)A10H86-76W100%0.0
11-17Southern Methodist (219.0)CUSAH75-78L0%0.0
11-22Charlotte (68.0)A10N64-73L0%0.0
11-23Loyola Marymount (211.0)WCCN63-78L0%0.0
11-24UC Riverside (338.0)BWN81-69W100%0.0
11-30Utah (161.0)P12H69-74L0%0.0
12-5Oral Roberts (151.0)SlndH77-86L0%0.0
12-8Texas Pan American (306.0)GWCH73-58W100%0.0
12-15Texas (116.0)B12A75-63L0%0.0
12-17Northwestern (168.0)B10A74-68L0%0.0
12-20Central Michigan (268.0)MACA92-80L0%0.0
12-29San Jose St. (261.0)WACH55-72L0%0.0
12-31Utah St. (108.0)WACH57-81L0%0.0
1-3Denver (64.0)WACA64-53L0%0.0
1-5New Mexico St. (55.0)WACA78-67L0%0.0
1-10Louisiana Tech (53.0)WACH67-84L0%0.0
1-12Texas Arlington (119.0)WACH74-91L0%0.0
1-19Texas San Antonio (260.0)WACA78-81W100%0.0
1-24Idaho (195.0)WACA73-78W100%0.0
1-26Seattle (303.0)WACA83-86W100%0.0
1-31New Mexico St. (55.0)WACH72-86L0%0.0
2-2Denver (64.0)WACH64-79L0%0.0
2-7Texas Arlington (119.0)WACA75-50L0%0.0
2-9Louisiana Tech (53.0)WACA84-69L0%0.0
2-16Texas San Antonio (260.0)WACH62-73L0%0.0
2-23Lamar (335.0)SlndA61-74W100%0.0
2-28Seattle (303.0)WACH67-65W100%0.0
3-2Idaho (195.0)WACH81-90L0%0.0
3-7Utah St. (108.0)WACA77-61L0%0.0
3-9San Jose St. (261.0)WACA67-90W100%0.0
3-12Seattle (303.0)WACN68-56W100%0.0
3-14Denver (64.0)WACN68-72W100%0.0
3-15New Mexico St. (55.0)WACN74-65L0%0.0