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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Texas San Antonio

Conference:Slnd
Expected RPI:196.0
Current RPI:196
Expected SOS:287
Current Record:16-14
Expected Record:16-14
Current Conf Record:10-7
Expected Conf Record:10-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-0
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:12-7
Current OOC Record:6-7
Expected OOC Record:6-7
Expected OOC RPI:180
Expected OOC SOS:242


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
16-1453.33%196.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Texas San Antonio.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Texas El Paso (147.0)CUSAA64-73W100%0.0
11-15Oral Roberts (51.0)SumN77-78W100%0.0
11-16Oklahoma St. (124.0)B12A90-85L0%0.0
11-21Colorado St. (29.0)MWCA85-75L0%0.0
11-22Fresno St. (229.0)WACN83-79W100%0.0
11-26Pepperdine (271.0)WCCH64-70L0%0.0
11-30San Jose St. (279.0)WACA72-66L0%0.0
12-5Samford (269.0)SCA52-74W100%0.0
12-20Houston (221.0)CUSAA77-75L0%0.0
12-22Troy (260.0)SBA70-76W100%0.0
12-28UC Riverside (253.0)BWH65-70L0%0.0
1-1Bowling Green (158.0)MACH86-79W100%0.0
1-4Nicholls St. (298.0)SlndH91-50W100%0.0
1-8Sam Houston St. (273.0)SlndA60-62W100%0.0
1-11Texas A&M Corpus Chris (319.0)SlndH49-50L0%0.0
1-14Stephen F. Austin (202.0)SlndA52-59W100%0.0
1-18Northwestern St. (217.0)SlndH80-62W100%0.0
1-21Texas St. (287.0)SlndA75-80W100%0.0
1-28Sam Houston St. (273.0)SlndH78-66W100%0.0
2-1Texas Arlington (111.0)SlndA67-66L0%0.0
2-4Lamar (108.0)SlndA80-66L0%0.0
2-8Southeastern Louisiana (318.0)SlndH59-51W100%0.0
2-11Stephen F. Austin (202.0)SlndH51-59L0%0.0
2-15McNeese St. (174.0)SlndA58-54L0%0.0
2-18Georgia St. (141.0)CAAA82-71L0%0.0
2-22Texas A&M Corpus Chris (319.0)SlndA82-86W100%0.0
2-25Texas St. (287.0)SlndH52-66L0%0.0
2-29Central Arkansas (321.0)SlndA60-73W100%0.0
3-3Texas Arlington (111.0)SlndH97-88W100%0.0
3-7McNeese St. (174.0)SlndN78-74L0%0.0