Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Texas San Antonio   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Texas San Antonio

Conference:Slnd
Expected RPI:186.6
Current RPI:187
Expected SOS:287
Current Record:16-11
Expected Record:16-11
Current Conf Record:9-8
Expected Conf Record:9-8
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-5
Current OOC Record:7-3
Expected OOC Record:7-3
Expected OOC RPI:129
Expected OOC SOS:305


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
16-1159.26%186.6100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Texas San Antonio.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-15Iowa (211.1)B10A62-50W100%0.0
11-23UC Irvine (275.6)BWN66-56W100%0.0
11-24Fairleigh Dickinson (270.7)NECN75-61W100%0.0
11-25Eastern Kentucky (154.3)OVCA72-74L0%0.0
11-28Texas Southern (222.1)SWACH79-57W100%0.0
12-5Oklahoma St. (31.2)B12A55-61L0%0.0
12-7Texas Pan American (336.0)GWCH84-58W100%0.0
12-18Texas Pan American (336.0)GWCA72-48W100%0.0
12-29Utah (156.1)MWCA47-69L0%0.0
1-1Houston (126.1)CUSAH83-82W100%0.0
1-9McNeese St. (314.8)SlndA78-69W100%0.0
1-13Nicholls St. (277.4)SlndH64-59W100%0.0
1-16Texas Arlington (234.2)SlndA66-72L0%0.0
1-23Texas A&M Corpus Chris (168.4)SlndH62-66L0%0.0
1-27Texas St. (242.5)SlndA62-76L0%0.0
1-30Lamar (292.7)SlndH57-64L0%0.0
2-3Sam Houston St. (74.5)SlndA67-73L0%0.0
2-6Southeastern Louisiana (193.0)SlndH64-57W100%0.0
2-10Central Arkansas (320.1)SlndA64-72L0%0.0
2-13Texas Arlington (234.2)SlndH63-61W100%0.0
2-17Texas A&M Corpus Chris (168.4)SlndA57-56W100%0.0
2-20Sam Houston St. (74.5)SlndH91-90W100%0.0
2-24Northwestern St. (312.3)SlndH88-74W100%0.0
2-27Lamar (292.7)SlndA76-74W100%0.0
3-3Texas St. (242.5)SlndH76-83L0%0.0
3-6Stephen F. Austin (143.1)SlndA65-63W100%0.0
3-10Texas A&M Corpus Chris (168.4)SlndN66-78L0%0.0