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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

Tennessee Tech

Conference:OVC
Expected RPI:131.7
Current RPI:158
Expected SOS:196
Current Record:14-9
Expected Record:18-12
Current Conf Record:8-4
Expected Conf Record:11-6
Expected Conf Tourney Record:1-1
Probability of Auto Bid:12.89%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-4
Current OOC Record:6-5
Expected OOC Record:6-6
Expected OOC RPI:139
Expected OOC SOS:201


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
21-970.00%78.10.48%
21-1067.74%75.40.18%
20-1066.67%92.54.36%
21-1165.62%81.80.04%
19-1065.52%120.00.87%
20-1164.52%92.01.46%
19-1163.33%107.113.35%
20-1262.50%93.50.21%
18-1162.07%133.96.49%
19-1261.29%107.64.39%
18-1260.00%123.018.54%
19-1359.38%108.70.56%
17-1258.62%148.113.78%
18-1358.06%122.65.22%
17-1356.67%139.411.43%
18-1456.25%124.00.45%
16-1355.17%165.310.18%
17-1454.84%141.31.78%
16-1453.33%160.72.73%
17-1553.12%139.60.12%
15-1451.72%183.32.90%
16-1551.61%159.90.16%
15-1550.00%185.70.15%
14-1548.28%202.20.16%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Tennessee Tech.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Miami FL (57.7)ACCA69-58L0%0.0
11-19Appalachian St. (254.2)SCH63-68L0%0.0
11-22High Point (279.0)BSthA57-62W100%0.0
11-25Lamar (91.1)SlndH65-85L0%0.0
12-3Duquesne (86.2)A10A77-67L0%0.0
12-7East Tennessee St. (192.3)ASunH83-74W100%0.0
12-10Lipscomb (209.3)ASunH89-87W100%0.0
12-17Evansville (149.4)MVCA70-72W100%0.0
12-19West Virginia (33.4)BEA72-53L0%0.0
12-22Kennesaw St. (320.2)ASunN68-81W100%0.0
12-23Bethune Cookman (257.8)MEACN59-67W100%0.0
12-29SIU Edwardsville (305.6)OVCA83-68L0%0.0
12-31Tennessee Martin (323.2)OVCA62-85W100%0.0
1-5Tennessee St. (153.6)OVCH92-86W100%0.0
1-7Morehead St. (185.5)OVCH66-55W100%0.0
1-14Murray St. (26.6)OVCA82-74L0%0.0
1-19Jacksonville St. (247.7)OVCH62-63L0%0.0
1-21Southeast Missouri St. (236.6)OVCH77-62W100%0.0
1-26Eastern Kentucky (206.1)OVCA65-82W100%0.0
1-28Morehead St. (185.5)OVCA56-50L0%0.0
1-30SIU Edwardsville (305.6)OVCH98-80W100%0.0
2-2Austin Peay (197.8)OVCA88-94W100%0.0
2-4Jacksonville St. (247.7)OVCA68-76W100%0.0
2-9Eastern Illinois (295.0)OVCH0-087%12.4
2-11Tennessee St. (153.6)OVCA0-047%-0.8
2-15Eastern Kentucky (206.1)OVCH0-078%8.5
2-18Coastal Carolina (122.7)BSthA0-033%-4.8
2-25Murray St. (26.6)OVCH0-030%-5.7