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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Tennessee St.

Conference:OVC
Expected RPI:107.0
Current RPI:107
Expected SOS:152
Current Record:18-12
Expected Record:18-12
Current Conf Record:12-6
Expected Conf Record:12-6
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:12-2
Current OOC Record:6-6
Expected OOC Record:6-6
Expected OOC RPI:118
Expected OOC SOS:145


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
18-1260.00%107.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Tennessee St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11St. Louis (31.0)A10A71-37L0%0.0
11-14Western Kentucky (189.0)SBA52-49L0%0.0
11-20South Carolina (194.0)SECA63-64W100%0.0
11-22North Carolina (3.0)ACCA102-69L0%0.0
11-25Mississippi Valley St. (144.0)SWACN90-89L0%0.0
11-26Morgan St. (286.0)MEACN69-64W100%0.0
12-1Middle Tennessee (56.0)SBH62-77L0%0.0
12-6Belmont (58.0)ASunA75-62L0%0.0
12-10Central Michigan (280.0)MACH65-57W100%0.0
12-17Delaware St. (249.0)MEACA55-59W100%0.0
12-21Alabama A&M (342.0)SWACH78-68W100%0.0
12-29Tennessee Martin (326.0)OVCH83-67W100%0.0
12-31Eastern Kentucky (226.0)OVCA73-68L0%0.0
1-5Tennessee Tech (138.0)OVCA92-86L0%0.0
1-7Jacksonville St. (216.0)OVCA72-65L0%0.0
1-11Morehead St. (166.0)OVCH77-72W100%0.0
1-14SIU Edwardsville (300.0)OVCH52-49W100%0.0
1-16Austin Peay (193.0)OVCA69-63L0%0.0
1-19Eastern Illinois (285.0)OVCA46-55W100%0.0
1-26Tennessee Martin (326.0)OVCA59-72W100%0.0
1-28Eastern Kentucky (226.0)OVCH91-85W100%0.0
1-30Austin Peay (193.0)OVCH77-57W100%0.0
2-4Southeast Missouri St. (248.0)OVCA72-75W100%0.0
2-9Murray St. (22.0)OVCA68-72W100%0.0
2-11Tennessee Tech (138.0)OVCH68-53W100%0.0
2-14Jacksonville St. (216.0)OVCH69-64W100%0.0
2-19Miami OH (247.0)MACA61-68W100%0.0
2-23Murray St. (22.0)OVCH62-80L0%0.0
3-2Morehead St. (166.0)OVCN59-52W100%0.0
3-3Murray St. (22.0)OVCN52-54L0%0.0