Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Tennessee St.   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Tennessee St.

Conference:OVC
Expected RPI:259.6
Current RPI:260
Expected SOS:188
Current Record:9-23
Expected Record:9-23
Current Conf Record:6-13
Expected Conf Record:6-13
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-11
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-5
Current OOC Record:3-10
Expected OOC Record:3-10
Expected OOC RPI:249
Expected OOC SOS:179


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
9-2328.12%259.6100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Tennessee St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Siena (32.4)MAACH69-85L0%0.0
11-20Northern Illinois (262.5)MACA57-85L0%0.0
11-22Northwestern (115.0)B10A62-69L0%0.0
11-24Iowa St. (122.8)B12A53-84L0%0.0
11-27Kennesaw St. (284.0)ASunN73-67W100%0.0
11-28Liberty (232.0)BSthN60-63L0%0.0
11-30Belmont (136.8)ASunA60-69L0%0.0
12-3Eastern Illinois (170.5)OVCH81-83L0%0.0
12-5Southeast Missouri St. (312.9)OVCH66-74L0%0.0
12-8Detroit (167.4)HorzA70-69W100%0.0
12-15Alabama A&M (331.0)SWACH80-77W100%0.0
12-19Vanderbilt (19.5)SECA71-84L0%0.0
12-30Alabama (100.5)SECA65-77L0%0.0
1-2Eastern Kentucky (154.3)OVCA71-79L0%0.0
1-4Morehead St. (84.2)OVCA66-72L0%0.0
1-7Murray St. (54.4)OVCH59-80L0%0.0
1-9Tennessee Martin (338.0)OVCH73-59W100%0.0
1-12Iowa (211.1)B10A62-67L0%0.0
1-16Austin Peay (162.2)OVCA77-79L0%0.0
1-21Jacksonville St. (298.1)OVCA67-85L0%0.0
1-23Tennessee Tech (196.0)OVCA56-61L0%0.0
1-28Morehead St. (84.2)OVCH50-65L0%0.0
1-31Eastern Kentucky (154.3)OVCH58-75L0%0.0
2-4Murray St. (54.4)OVCA54-76L0%0.0
2-6Tennessee Martin (338.0)OVCA74-68W100%0.0
2-13Austin Peay (162.2)OVCH76-67W100%0.0
2-15Tennessee Tech (196.0)OVCH109-102W100%0.0
2-17Jacksonville St. (298.1)OVCH76-57W100%0.0
2-20Central Michigan (195.1)MACA73-79L0%0.0
2-25Southeast Missouri St. (312.9)OVCA74-67W100%0.0
2-27Eastern Illinois (170.5)OVCA61-66L0%0.0
3-2Murray St. (54.4)OVCA51-84L0%0.0