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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

Tennessee Martin

Conference:OVC
Expected RPI:323.2
Current RPI:312
Expected SOS:208
Current Record:1-22
Expected Record:3-26
Current Conf Record:0-12
Expected Conf Record:1-15
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:2-13
Current OOC Record:1-10
Expected OOC Record:2-11
Expected OOC RPI:297
Expected OOC SOS:211


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
7-2224.14%293.00.01%
6-2320.69%295.10.82%
5-2417.24%304.65.93%
4-2513.79%313.618.66%
3-2610.34%322.433.25%
2-276.90%330.130.62%
1-283.45%335.510.70%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Tennessee Martin.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Louisville (24.8)BEA83-48L0%0.0
11-13Ohio (61.7)MACA74-65L0%0.0
11-17Arkansas St. (229.8)SBA63-45L0%0.0
11-22Lamar (91.1)SlndH69-80L0%0.0
11-25Mississippi St. (48.3)SECA76-50L0%0.0
11-27UAB (146.2)CUSAA54-59W100%0.0
11-30Central Arkansas (299.9)SlndH68-75L0%0.0
12-3Ball St. (218.9)MACH48-71L0%0.0
12-6Lipscomb (209.3)ASunA70-55L0%0.0
12-10Middle Tennessee (40.8)SBA78-62L0%0.0
12-18IUPU Fort Wayne (271.7)SumH76-82L0%0.0
12-21Murray St. (26.6)OVCA78-54L0%0.0
12-29Tennessee St. (153.6)OVCA83-67L0%0.0
12-31Tennessee Tech (131.7)OVCH62-85L0%0.0
1-5Southeast Missouri St. (236.6)OVCH71-73L0%0.0
1-7SIU Edwardsville (305.6)OVCH65-69L0%0.0
1-12Eastern Illinois (295.0)OVCA68-55L0%0.0
1-19Eastern Kentucky (206.1)OVCA86-78L0%0.0
1-21Morehead St. (185.5)OVCA62-56L0%0.0
1-26Tennessee St. (153.6)OVCH59-72L0%0.0
1-28Austin Peay (197.8)OVCA92-73L0%0.0
2-2Jacksonville St. (247.7)OVCH74-85L0%0.0
2-4Murray St. (26.6)OVCH58-65L0%0.0
2-9Southeast Missouri St. (236.6)OVCA0-015%-11.2
2-11Eastern Illinois (295.0)OVCH0-049%-0.1
2-14Kennesaw St. (320.2)ASunA0-036%-3.9
2-18Southeastern Louisiana (326.4)SlndA0-038%-3.4
2-23Austin Peay (197.8)OVCH0-028%-6.2
2-25Jacksonville St. (247.7)OVCA0-015%-11.2