Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Tennessee Martin   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 9, 2010.

Tennessee Martin

Conference:OVC
Expected RPI:338.9
Current RPI:339
Expected SOS:238
Current Record:2-25
Expected Record:2-25
Current Conf Record:2-17
Expected Conf Record:2-17
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:2-9
Current OOC Record:0-8
Expected OOC Record:0-8
Expected OOC RPI:335
Expected OOC SOS:201


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
2-257.41%338.9100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Tennessee Martin.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Southern Illinois (169.9)MVCA63-91L0%0.0
11-17Missouri (37.3)B12A68-83L0%0.0
11-25Arkansas St. (202.1)SBA66-80L0%0.0
12-3Morehead St. (84.7)OVCH66-74L0%0.0
12-5Eastern Kentucky (151.1)OVCH74-85L0%0.0
12-9Missouri St. (91.2)MVCA51-79L0%0.0
12-12Central Arkansas (320.8)SlndH71-81L0%0.0
12-19Evansville (249.4)MVCA63-84L0%0.0
12-22Florida St. (36.5)ACCA68-95L0%0.0
1-4Murray St. (56.3)OVCA59-83L0%0.0
1-7Austin Peay (163.3)OVCA72-90L0%0.0
1-9Tennessee St. (258.1)OVCA59-73L0%0.0
1-14Tennessee Tech (197.3)OVCH63-76L0%0.0
1-16Jacksonville St. (297.8)OVCH63-73L0%0.0
1-21Southeast Missouri St. (311.7)OVCA63-77L0%0.0
1-23Eastern Illinois (167.8)OVCA46-60L0%0.0
1-25SIU Edwardsville (320.9)OVCH68-52W100%0.0
1-30Murray St. (56.3)OVCH45-77L0%0.0
2-4Austin Peay (163.3)OVCH69-74L0%0.0
2-6Tennessee St. (258.1)OVCH68-74L0%0.0
2-9Southeast Missouri St. (311.7)OVCH73-70W100%0.0
2-11Jacksonville St. (297.8)OVCA68-80L0%0.0
2-13Tennessee Tech (197.3)OVCA61-70L0%0.0
2-16Eastern Illinois (167.8)OVCH68-83L0%0.0
2-20Ball St. (219.8)MACA52-68L0%0.0
2-25Eastern Kentucky (151.1)OVCA60-84L0%0.0
2-27Morehead St. (84.7)OVCA63-73L0%0.0