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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Stony Brook

Conference:AE
Expected RPI:152.0
Current RPI:152
Expected SOS:324
Current Record:21-9
Expected Record:21-9
Current Conf Record:16-3
Expected Conf Record:16-3
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:15-3
Current OOC Record:5-6
Expected OOC Record:5-6
Expected OOC RPI:239
Expected OOC SOS:281


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
21-970.00%152.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Stony Brook.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Indiana (17.0)B10A96-66L0%0.0
11-15Sacred Heart (237.0)NECA74-63L0%0.0
11-22Columbia (186.0)IvyH67-53W100%0.0
11-25Northwestern (63.0)B10A63-58L0%0.0
12-3Eastern Illinois (285.0)OVCA72-69L0%0.0
12-7Fairleigh Dickinson (330.0)NECH70-46W100%0.0
12-11Boston College (244.0)ACCA66-51L0%0.0
12-17Rutgers (163.0)BEN58-67L0%0.0
12-28Cornell (181.0)IvyH68-59W100%0.0
12-30Rider (199.0)MAACH79-62W100%0.0
1-2Vermont (134.0)AEH65-59W100%0.0
1-5Binghamton (344.0)AEA54-60W100%0.0
1-8Albany (215.0)AEH81-68W100%0.0
1-11MD Baltimore County (339.0)AEA49-89W100%0.0
1-14Boston University (190.0)AEA61-55L0%0.0
1-16New Hampshire (296.0)AEH61-52W100%0.0
1-21Maine (282.0)AEA52-58W100%0.0
1-25Hartford (307.0)AEH60-37W100%0.0
1-27Boston University (190.0)AEH66-57W100%0.0
2-1Binghamton (344.0)AEH82-48W100%0.0
2-4Albany (215.0)AEA69-76W100%0.0
2-6New Hampshire (296.0)AEA48-57W100%0.0
2-9MD Baltimore County (339.0)AEH80-68W100%0.0
2-12Vermont (134.0)AEA68-49L0%0.0
2-18Northeastern (172.0)CAAA69-76W100%0.0
2-21Hartford (307.0)AEA50-74W100%0.0
2-26Maine (282.0)AEH55-48W100%0.0
3-3Binghamton (344.0)AEN78-69W100%0.0
3-4Albany (215.0)AEN57-55W100%0.0
3-10Vermont (134.0)AEH43-51L0%0.0