Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Stony Brook   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Stony Brook

Conference:AE
Expected RPI:141.4
Current RPI:142
Expected SOS:315
Current Record:21-9
Expected Record:21-9
Current Conf Record:14-4
Expected Conf Record:14-4
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:15-4
Current OOC Record:7-5
Expected OOC Record:7-5
Expected OOC RPI:196
Expected OOC SOS:331


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
21-970.00%141.4100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Stony Brook.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Maryland Eastern Shore (307.8)MEACA75-57W100%0.0
11-21Wagner (332.0)NECA72-48W100%0.0
11-24Rhode Island (37.1)A10A58-75L0%0.0
11-28NJ Inst of Technology (341.0)GWCH60-46W100%0.0
11-30Lehigh (151.8)PatA71-52W100%0.0
12-2St. John's (82.9)BEA55-63L0%0.0
12-5Columbia (251.3)IvyH63-60W100%0.0
12-8Fordham (306.4)A10A77-93L0%0.0
12-12Colgate (290.0)PatA66-55W100%0.0
12-21Sacred Heart (262.1)NECA70-78L0%0.0
12-28St. Peter's (181.2)MAACH46-67L0%0.0
12-31Holy Cross (272.4)PatH69-60W100%0.0
1-2Boston University (136.7)AEA84-75W100%0.0
1-7Hartford (304.5)AEH70-59W100%0.0
1-10New Hampshire (242.9)AEH69-63W100%0.0
1-12Binghamton (228.9)AEA62-64L0%0.0
1-16Maine (153.1)AEA61-67L0%0.0
1-18MD Baltimore County (333.0)AEH81-69W100%0.0
1-21Vermont (123.5)AEA65-60W100%0.0
1-24Albany (301.3)AEH67-61W100%0.0
1-30Boston University (136.7)AEH71-55W100%0.0
2-3Hartford (304.5)AEA54-44W100%0.0
2-10Maine (153.1)AEH83-64W100%0.0
2-13Binghamton (228.9)AEH81-61W100%0.0
2-16MD Baltimore County (333.0)AEA86-72W100%0.0
2-19Albany (301.3)AEA68-66W100%0.0
2-24Vermont (123.5)AEH82-78W100%0.0
2-28New Hampshire (242.9)AEA55-77L0%0.0
3-6Albany (301.3)AEN68-59W100%0.0
3-7Boston University (136.7)AEN63-70L0%0.0