- Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Stephen F. Austin

Expected RPI:61.0
Current RPI:61
Expected SOS:238
Current Record:23-5
Expected Record:23-5
Current Conf Record:20-0
Expected Conf Record:20-0
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:100.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-0
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:15-1
Current OOC Record:3-5
Expected OOC Record:3-5
Expected OOC RPI:178
Expected OOC SOS:122


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Stephen F. Austin.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Baylor (25.0)B12A97-55L0%0.0
11-17Northern Iowa (70.0)MVCA70-60L0%0.0
11-26Western Michigan (202.0)MACN79-71W100%0.0
11-27Tulane (227.0)AmerN60-59L0%0.0
11-29Appalachian St. (259.0)SBN84-94W100%0.0
12-5Texas Southern (190.0)SWACH66-62W100%0.0
12-22Arizona St. (99.0)P12A80-73L0%0.0
12-29UAB (88.0)CUSAA76-66L0%0.0
1-2McNeese St. (341.0)SlndH86-57W100%0.0
1-4Southeastern Louisiana (331.0)SlndA69-89W100%0.0
1-12Central Arkansas (339.0)SlndH85-64W100%0.0
1-16Abilene Christian (321.0)SlndH97-62W100%0.0
1-18New Orleans (343.0)SlndA58-82W100%0.0
1-23Sam Houston St. (178.0)SlndH76-64W100%0.0
1-25Lamar (337.0)SlndH86-52W100%0.0
1-30Texas A&M Corpus Chris (84.0)SlndA61-66W100%0.0
2-6Houston Baptist (224.0)SlndA66-72W100%0.0
2-8Northwestern St. (344.0)SlndH83-72W100%0.0
2-13Texas A&M Corpus Chris (84.0)SlndH70-58W100%0.0
2-15Incarnate Word (163.0)SlndH84-46W100%0.0
2-20Nicholls St. (313.0)SlndA53-88W100%0.0
2-22Lamar (337.0)SlndA58-79W100%0.0
2-27Houston Baptist (224.0)SlndH82-54W100%0.0
2-29Incarnate Word (163.0)SlndA58-84W100%0.0
3-3Northwestern St. (344.0)SlndA55-95W100%0.0
3-5Sam Houston St. (178.0)SlndA64-85W100%0.0
3-11Houston Baptist (224.0)SlndN104-68W100%0.0
3-12Texas A&M Corpus Chris (84.0)SlndN82-60W100%0.0