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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Stephen F. Austin

Conference:Slnd
Expected RPI:202.0
Current RPI:202
Expected SOS:312
Current Record:16-12
Expected Record:16-12
Current Conf Record:13-5
Expected Conf Record:13-5
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:13-4
Current OOC Record:3-7
Expected OOC Record:3-7
Expected OOC RPI:310
Expected OOC SOS:322


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
16-1257.14%202.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Stephen F. Austin.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14San Diego (192.0)WCCA66-61L0%0.0
11-20Texas Tech (241.0)B12A66-54L0%0.0
11-26Texas El Paso (147.0)CUSAA35-53W100%0.0
12-3Texas A&M (165.0)B12A55-42L0%0.0
12-10Alabama St. (308.0)SWACH74-48W100%0.0
12-11Florida International (251.0)SBH56-58L0%0.0
12-20Prairie View A&M (294.0)SWACN50-53L0%0.0
12-21North Carolina Central (233.0)MEACN65-57L0%0.0
12-22Oregon (67.0)P12A55-45L0%0.0
1-4Texas St. (287.0)SlndA65-66W100%0.0
1-7Southeastern Louisiana (318.0)SlndH63-36W100%0.0
1-11Central Arkansas (321.0)SlndA56-67W100%0.0
1-14Texas San Antonio (196.0)SlndH52-59L0%0.0
1-21Texas Arlington (111.0)SlndA63-54L0%0.0
1-25Sam Houston St. (273.0)SlndH67-66W100%0.0
1-28Texas A&M Corpus Chris (319.0)SlndA49-64W100%0.0
2-1Texas St. (287.0)SlndH71-63W100%0.0
2-5McNeese St. (174.0)SlndA66-56L0%0.0
2-8Nicholls St. (298.0)SlndH62-58W100%0.0
2-11Texas San Antonio (196.0)SlndA51-59W100%0.0
2-15Texas Arlington (111.0)SlndH47-51L0%0.0
2-18High Point (268.0)BSthH69-62W100%0.0
2-22Lamar (108.0)SlndA52-62W100%0.0
2-25Texas A&M Corpus Chris (319.0)SlndH74-41W100%0.0
2-29Sam Houston St. (273.0)SlndA47-58W100%0.0
3-3Northwestern St. (217.0)SlndH62-52W100%0.0
3-7Sam Houston St. (273.0)SlndN68-46W100%0.0
3-8Lamar (108.0)SlndN44-55L0%0.0