Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Stephen F. Austin   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Stephen F. Austin

Conference:Slnd
Expected RPI:143.1
Current RPI:147
Expected SOS:311
Current Record:20-8
Expected Record:20-9
Current Conf Record:13-5
Expected Conf Record:13-6
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-1
Probability of Auto Bid:32.60%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:15-2
Current OOC Record:7-3
Expected OOC Record:7-3
Expected OOC RPI:142
Expected OOC SOS:281


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
21-872.41%126.432.60%
20-968.97%151.267.40%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Stephen F. Austin.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-16Minnesota (64.6)B10A42-82L0%0.0
11-21Jackson St. (197.2)SWACH62-61W100%0.0
11-24Texas Tech (71.6)B12H61-63L0%0.0
12-1Jackson St. (197.2)SWACA79-68W100%0.0
12-4Southern (343.0)SWACH79-52W100%0.0
12-5Cal St. Fullerton (205.2)BWH62-61W100%0.0
12-12Longwood (285.8)indA73-69W100%0.0
12-19Arkansas (159.8)SECA69-72L0%0.0
12-29Howard (329.6)MEACN73-50W100%0.0
12-30Binghamton (228.9)AEN64-43W100%0.0
1-9Sam Houston St. (74.5)SlndA57-66L0%0.0
1-13Central Arkansas (320.1)SlndH64-49W100%0.0
1-16Nicholls St. (277.4)SlndA63-70L0%0.0
1-20Texas Arlington (234.2)SlndH72-65W100%0.0
1-23Southeastern Louisiana (193.0)SlndH62-51W100%0.0
1-27Northwestern St. (312.3)SlndA66-56W100%0.0
1-31McNeese St. (314.8)SlndA70-55W100%0.0
2-3Nicholls St. (277.4)SlndH68-67W100%0.0
2-6Lamar (292.7)SlndA46-49L0%0.0
2-10Northwestern St. (312.3)SlndH69-59W100%0.0
2-13McNeese St. (314.8)SlndH69-56W100%0.0
2-20Southeastern Louisiana (193.0)SlndA56-66L0%0.0
2-24Texas St. (242.5)SlndA77-70W100%0.0
2-27Texas A&M Corpus Chris (168.4)SlndH64-43W100%0.0
3-3Central Arkansas (320.1)SlndA54-49W100%0.0
3-6Texas San Antonio (186.6)SlndH63-65L0%0.0
3-10Texas Arlington (234.2)SlndN77-54W100%0.0
3-11Texas A&M Corpus Chris (168.4)SlndN60-53W100%0.0