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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

St. Francis PA

Expected RPI:266.0
Current RPI:266
Expected SOS:303
Current Record:12-17
Expected Record:12-17
Current Conf Record:9-10
Expected Conf Record:9-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:10-11
Current OOC Record:3-7
Expected OOC Record:3-7
Expected OOC RPI:232
Expected OOC SOS:151


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for St. Francis PA.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Notre Dame (31.0)ACCA87-56L0%0.0
11-21American (231.0)PatH68-48W100%0.0
11-24Kent St. (124.0)MACA79-60L0%0.0
11-27Maryland Eastern Shore (307.0)MEACA70-57L0%0.0
12-2Lehigh (168.0)PatH84-73W100%0.0
12-4Maryland (14.0)B10A96-55L0%0.0
12-12Duquesne (162.0)A10H65-67L0%0.0
12-15Binghamton (299.0)AEA61-67W100%0.0
12-19Albany (107.0)AEA65-58L0%0.0
12-30NJIT (207.0)ASunH65-77L0%0.0
1-2Wagner (185.0)NECH73-65W100%0.0
1-4Sacred Heart (258.0)NECH84-80W100%0.0
1-7St. Francis NY (276.0)NECA73-56L0%0.0
1-9LIU Brooklyn (254.0)NECA65-72W100%0.0
1-14Fairleigh Dickinson (205.0)NECH59-71L0%0.0
1-16Mount St. Mary's (245.0)NECH72-82L0%0.0
1-21Bryant (320.0)NECA65-71W100%0.0
1-23Central Connecticut (351.0)NECA64-79W100%0.0
1-28Fairleigh Dickinson (205.0)NECA86-82L0%0.0
1-30Robert Morris (291.0)NECH90-78W100%0.0
2-4Bryant (320.0)NECH63-57W100%0.0
2-6Central Connecticut (351.0)NECH91-82W100%0.0
2-11Robert Morris (291.0)NECA57-68W100%0.0
2-13Mount St. Mary's (245.0)NECA66-61L0%0.0
2-18St. Francis NY (276.0)NECH58-70L0%0.0
2-20LIU Brooklyn (254.0)NECH89-94L0%0.0
2-25Wagner (185.0)NECA69-54L0%0.0
2-27Sacred Heart (258.0)NECA88-78L0%0.0
3-2Fairleigh Dickinson (205.0)NECA74-72L0%0.0