Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  St. Francis PA   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

St. Francis PA

Conference:NEC
Expected RPI:286.7
Current RPI:287
Expected SOS:285
Current Record:11-19
Expected Record:11-19
Current Conf Record:8-10
Expected Conf Record:8-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-9
Current OOC Record:3-9
Expected OOC Record:3-9
Expected OOC RPI:290
Expected OOC SOS:249


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
11-1936.67%286.7100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for St. Francis PA.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13American (294.1)PatH65-61W100%0.0
11-16Notre Dame (48.1)BEA72-95L0%0.0
11-19Lafayette (209.5)PatH77-88L0%0.0
11-21Bucknell (258.5)PatA58-70L0%0.0
11-25Lehigh (151.8)PatH67-76L0%0.0
11-28Ohio St. (25.9)B10A47-110L0%0.0
12-3Wagner (332.0)NECH69-42W100%0.0
12-5Mount St. Mary's (171.3)NECH73-66W100%0.0
12-13Drexel (147.2)CAAA35-57L0%0.0
12-16Youngstown St. (270.5)HorzH65-74L0%0.0
12-20Akron (84.2)MACA51-80L0%0.0
12-22Duquesne (112.6)A10A56-86L0%0.0
1-2Hartford (304.5)AEH64-52W100%0.0
1-7St. Francis NY (294.9)NECA57-69L0%0.0
1-9Long Island (240.0)NECA80-89L0%0.0
1-14Monmouth (288.9)NECH53-63L0%0.0
1-16Fairleigh Dickinson (270.7)NECH54-52W100%0.0
1-21Monmouth (288.9)NECA40-69L0%0.0
1-23Fairleigh Dickinson (270.7)NECA75-78L0%0.0
1-28St. Francis NY (294.9)NECH71-63W100%0.0
1-30Long Island (240.0)NECH74-73W100%0.0
2-4Robert Morris (128.6)NECH67-76L0%0.0
2-6Robert Morris (128.6)NECA63-75L0%0.0
2-11Bryant (345.2)indA60-34W100%0.0
2-13Central Connecticut (309.1)NECA59-57W100%0.0
2-18Quinnipiac (146.8)NECH73-68W100%0.0
2-20Sacred Heart (262.1)NECH73-68W100%0.0
2-25Mount St. Mary's (171.3)NECA51-67L0%0.0
2-27Wagner (332.0)NECA76-81L0%0.0
3-4Mount St. Mary's (171.3)NECA50-65L0%0.0