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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

St. Francis PA

Conference:NEC
Expected RPI:312.0
Current RPI:312
Expected SOS:217
Current Record:6-23
Expected Record:6-23
Current Conf Record:5-13
Expected Conf Record:5-13
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-9
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:4-10
Current OOC Record:1-10
Expected OOC Record:1-10
Expected OOC RPI:278
Expected OOC SOS:45


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
6-2320.69%312.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for St. Francis PA.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Virginia Commonwealth (38.0)CAAA63-57L0%0.0
11-14Lafayette (195.0)PatH81-84L0%0.0
11-19Bucknell (88.0)PatA73-42L0%0.0
11-23Colgate (295.0)PatA74-66L0%0.0
11-26Youngstown St. (170.0)HorzH59-60L0%0.0
11-28Niagara (201.0)MAACH63-65L0%0.0
12-1Monmouth (236.0)NECH71-49W100%0.0
12-3Fairleigh Dickinson (330.0)NECH73-69W100%0.0
12-7Lehigh (91.0)PatA71-50L0%0.0
12-10American (142.0)PatH66-61W100%0.0
12-20Pittsburgh (96.0)BEA71-47L0%0.0
12-23St. Bonaventure (72.0)A10A82-58L0%0.0
12-31Drexel (64.0)CAAA63-42L0%0.0
1-5Central Connecticut (227.0)NECA69-58L0%0.0
1-7Bryant (340.0)NECA59-56L0%0.0
1-12Sacred Heart (237.0)NECH68-71L0%0.0
1-14Quinnipiac (155.0)NECH74-71W100%0.0
1-19Monmouth (236.0)NECA68-50L0%0.0
1-21Fairleigh Dickinson (330.0)NECA63-69W100%0.0
1-26St. Francis NY (210.0)NECH65-75L0%0.0
1-28Long Island (80.0)NECH76-97L0%0.0
2-2Mount St. Mary's (292.0)NECA64-51L0%0.0
2-4Wagner (93.0)NECA72-54L0%0.0
2-8Robert Morris (99.0)NECH74-78L0%0.0
2-11Robert Morris (99.0)NECA70-56L0%0.0
2-16Central Connecticut (227.0)NECH60-65L0%0.0
2-18Bryant (340.0)NECH76-61W100%0.0
2-23Quinnipiac (155.0)NECA77-44L0%0.0
2-25Sacred Heart (237.0)NECA72-57L0%0.0