Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  St. Francis NY   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 9, 2010.

St. Francis NY

Conference:NEC
Expected RPI:293.7
Current RPI:294
Expected SOS:324
Current Record:11-18
Expected Record:11-18
Current Conf Record:6-10
Expected Conf Record:6-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-11
Current OOC Record:5-8
Expected OOC Record:5-8
Expected OOC RPI:290
Expected OOC SOS:343


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
11-1837.93%293.7100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for St. Francis NY.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Brown (254.6)IvyH64-68L0%0.0
11-17Boston College (111.3)ACCA44-72L0%0.0
11-21Canisius (206.1)MAACH69-79L0%0.0
11-24Massachusetts (172.7)A10A65-83L0%0.0
11-28Colgate (289.6)PatA66-65W100%0.0
12-3Central Connecticut (308.9)NECH50-63L0%0.0
12-5Bryant (344.5)indH54-48W100%0.0
12-8Hartford (303.0)AEH63-60W100%0.0
12-13Syracuse (3.5)BEA51-75L0%0.0
12-22Lafayette (207.1)PatH69-74L0%0.0
12-29Fairfield (79.7)MAACA58-65L0%0.0
1-7St. Francis PA (288.0)NECH69-57W100%0.0
1-9Robert Morris (138.8)NECH63-67L0%0.0
1-11Columbia (251.0)IvyA59-53W100%0.0
1-14Mount St. Mary's (171.9)NECA61-58W100%0.0
1-16Wagner (331.6)NECA60-53W100%0.0
1-18Dartmouth (334.4)IvyA64-65L0%0.0
1-21Mount St. Mary's (171.9)NECH63-60W100%0.0
1-23Wagner (331.6)NECH57-54W100%0.0
1-28St. Francis PA (288.0)NECA63-71L0%0.0
1-30Robert Morris (138.8)NECA56-74L0%0.0
2-4Long Island (240.8)NECH53-62L0%0.0
2-6Long Island (240.8)NECA88-84W100%0.0
2-11Quinnipiac (126.0)NECA65-77L0%0.0
2-13Sacred Heart (262.4)NECA50-62L0%0.0
2-18Monmouth (286.5)NECH49-51L0%0.0
2-20Fairleigh Dickinson (271.1)NECH55-56L0%0.0
2-25Bryant (344.5)indA69-60W100%0.0
2-27Central Connecticut (308.9)NECA56-68L0%0.0