Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  St. Bonaventure   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

St. Bonaventure

Conference:A10
Expected RPI:153.0
Current RPI:154
Expected SOS:111
Current Record:14-16
Expected Record:14-17
Current Conf Record:8-10
Expected Conf Record:8-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-1
Probability of Auto Bid:0.40%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-7
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-0
Current OOC Record:6-6
Expected OOC Record:6-6
Expected OOC RPI:134
Expected OOC SOS:106


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
17-1651.52%105.20.40%
16-1748.48%118.12.46%
15-1746.88%137.57.09%
14-1745.16%155.490.05%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for St. Bonaventure.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Cleveland St. (166.0)HorzH72-62W100%0.0
11-17St. John's (82.9)BEN68-69L0%0.0
11-20Binghamton (228.9)AEH66-40W100%0.0
11-27Southeast Missouri St. (312.9)OVCN67-44W100%0.0
11-28Norfolk St. (265.8)MEACN98-71W100%0.0
11-29Illinois St. (75.7)MVCA77-80L0%0.0
12-5Mississippi St. (60.9)SECA53-105L0%0.0
12-12Savannah St. (316.0)indH79-47W100%0.0
12-19Syracuse (5.0)BEA72-85L0%0.0
12-22Niagara (129.0)MAACA71-77L0%0.0
12-30Canisius (205.0)MAACH82-75W100%0.0
1-2Marshall (67.3)CUSAA61-80L0%0.0
1-6George Washington (149.3)A10H71-78L0%0.0
1-9Charlotte (77.8)A10A54-57L0%0.0
1-16Saint Joseph's (182.1)A10H68-65W100%0.0
1-20Massachusetts (174.2)A10A70-69W100%0.0
1-23Duquesne (112.6)A10A69-70L0%0.0
1-30Dayton (51.2)A10H58-75L0%0.0
2-3St. Louis (86.4)A10A65-67L0%0.0
2-7Saint Joseph's (182.1)A10A71-78L0%0.0
2-10Fordham (306.4)A10H72-61W100%0.0
2-13Richmond (28.0)A10H49-68L0%0.0
2-17Temple (15.6)A10H55-73L0%0.0
2-21La Salle (175.3)A10A77-66W100%0.0
2-24Fordham (306.4)A10A73-68W100%0.0
2-27Rhode Island (37.1)A10H81-74W100%0.0
3-3Duquesne (112.6)A10H92-80W100%0.0
3-6Xavier (16.9)A10A72-93L0%0.0
3-9Duquesne (112.6)A10H83-71W100%0.0
3-12Temple (15.6)A10N51-69L0%0.0