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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Southern Utah

Expected RPI:336.0
Current RPI:336
Expected SOS:269
Current Record:4-24
Expected Record:4-24
Current Conf Record:3-16
Expected Conf Record:3-16
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:3-14
Current OOC Record:1-8
Expected OOC Record:1-8
Expected OOC RPI:316
Expected OOC SOS:228


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Southern Utah.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Utah (8.0)P12A82-71L0%0.0
11-18UNLV (147.0)MWCA84-64L0%0.0
11-21UTSA (347.0)CUSAH79-82L0%0.0
11-24Cal St. Fullerton (290.0)BWH66-80L0%0.0
11-28Eastern Kentucky (211.0)OVCA98-85L0%0.0
12-5Utah Valley (272.0)WACA54-68W100%0.0
12-16Saint Mary's (38.0)WCCA92-36L0%0.0
12-19IUPUI (189.0)SumA82-68L0%0.0
12-22Butler (57.0)BEA88-52L0%0.0
12-31Montana St. (260.0)BSkyH93-82W100%0.0
1-2Montana (145.0)BSkyH66-83L0%0.0
1-9Northern Arizona (333.0)BSkyH63-73L0%0.0
1-14Eastern Washington (233.0)BSkyA106-80L0%0.0
1-16Idaho (191.0)BSkyA83-85W100%0.0
1-21Northern Colorado (304.0)BSkyH80-90L0%0.0
1-23North Dakota (218.0)BSkyH72-88L0%0.0
1-28Idaho St. (256.0)BSkyA87-68L0%0.0
1-30Weber St. (108.0)BSkyA77-50L0%0.0
2-4Idaho (191.0)BSkyH44-68L0%0.0
2-6Eastern Washington (233.0)BSkyH67-81L0%0.0
2-11Montana (145.0)BSkyA86-53L0%0.0
2-13Montana St. (260.0)BSkyA80-73L0%0.0
2-18Weber St. (108.0)BSkyH83-87L0%0.0
2-20Idaho St. (256.0)BSkyH71-89L0%0.0
2-27Northern Arizona (333.0)BSkyA59-69W100%0.0
3-3Sacramento St. (273.0)BSkyA69-63L0%0.0
3-5Portland St. (282.0)BSkyA88-86L0%0.0
3-8North Dakota (218.0)BSkyN85-80L0%0.0