Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Southern Utah   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Southern Utah

Conference:Sum
Expected RPI:325.5
Current RPI:326
Expected SOS:229
Current Record:5-22
Expected Record:5-22
Current Conf Record:3-15
Expected Conf Record:3-15
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:5-10
Current OOC Record:2-7
Expected OOC Record:2-7
Expected OOC RPI:266
Expected OOC SOS:141


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
5-2218.52%325.5100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Southern Utah.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Hawaii (253.2)WACA48-65L0%0.0
11-15Northern Colorado (116.7)BSkyN51-73L0%0.0
11-16McNeese St. (314.8)SlndN68-59W100%0.0
11-25Tennessee Tech (196.0)OVCH65-72L0%0.0
11-28Utah St. (24.4)WACA49-89L0%0.0
12-3Centenary (314.0)SumA85-93L0%0.0
12-5Oral Roberts (124.3)SumA53-68L0%0.0
12-12Weber St. (84.7)BSkyA66-84L0%0.0
12-15Nevada Las Vegas (40.1)MWCH59-77L0%0.0
12-21UC Riverside (255.6)BWH76-65W100%0.0
12-29Nebraska (148.7)B12A61-94L0%0.0
1-2Missouri Kansas City (281.7)SumA50-53L0%0.0
1-7North Dakota St. (268.0)SumH85-79W100%0.0
1-9South Dakota St. (233.5)SumH62-72L0%0.0
1-14IUPU Fort Wayne (225.3)SumA56-61L0%0.0
1-16Oakland (51.7)SumA53-99L0%0.0
1-21IUPUI (86.1)SumH60-75L0%0.0
1-23Western Illinois (280.0)SumH54-67L0%0.0
1-30Missouri Kansas City (281.7)SumH69-56W100%0.0
2-4South Dakota St. (233.5)SumA60-84L0%0.0
2-6North Dakota St. (268.0)SumA59-79L0%0.0
2-11Oakland (51.7)SumH72-85L0%0.0
2-13IUPU Fort Wayne (225.3)SumH65-72L0%0.0
2-18Western Illinois (280.0)SumA49-63L0%0.0
2-20IUPUI (86.1)SumA61-77L0%0.0
2-25Oral Roberts (124.3)SumH65-85L0%0.0
2-27Centenary (314.0)SumH70-67W100%0.0