live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Bracket Busters - Blog


Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Southern Mississippi

Conference:CUSA
Expected RPI:20.0
Current RPI:20
Expected SOS:47
Current Record:23-8
Expected Record:23-8
Current Conf Record:12-6
Expected Conf Record:12-6
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:6-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:9-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:5-1
Current OOC Record:11-2
Expected OOC Record:11-2
Expected OOC RPI:8
Expected OOC SOS:29


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
23-874.19%20.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Southern Mississippi.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-17Denver (94.0)SBA59-52L0%0.0
11-19Colorado St. (29.0)MWCA58-79W100%0.0
11-24UC Irvine (254.0)BWN78-67W100%0.0
11-25New Mexico St. (59.0)WACN72-80W100%0.0
11-26Murray St. (22.0)OVCN90-81L0%0.0
12-4New Mexico St. (59.0)WACH74-66W100%0.0
12-7South Alabama (169.0)SBA54-67W100%0.0
12-10Louisiana Tech (160.0)WACH78-62W100%0.0
12-17Mississippi (61.0)SECH86-82W100%0.0
12-19Arizona St. (252.0)P12A61-64W100%0.0
12-22South Florida (52.0)BEH53-51W100%0.0
12-29Alcorn St. (335.0)SWACH80-49W100%0.0
12-31McNeese St. (174.0)SlndA56-65W100%0.0
1-4East Carolina (164.0)CUSAH78-76W100%0.0
1-7Tulane (250.0)CUSAA66-71W100%0.0
1-11Memphis (16.0)CUSAA60-58L0%0.0
1-14UAB (112.0)CUSAH59-55W100%0.0
1-21Marshall (43.0)CUSAH67-63W100%0.0
1-25East Carolina (164.0)CUSAA60-72W100%0.0
1-28Central Florida (54.0)CUSAA65-78W100%0.0
2-1Memphis (16.0)CUSAH75-72W100%0.0
2-8UAB (112.0)CUSAA71-61L0%0.0
2-11Central Florida (54.0)CUSAH78-74W100%0.0
2-15Tulsa (120.0)CUSAH77-69W100%0.0
2-18Houston (221.0)CUSAA73-71L0%0.0
2-22Texas El Paso (147.0)CUSAA76-68L0%0.0
2-25Rice (171.0)CUSAH58-56W100%0.0
2-29Southern Methodist (212.0)CUSAH67-60W100%0.0
3-3Marshall (43.0)CUSAA79-75L0%0.0
3-8East Carolina (164.0)CUSAN81-78W100%0.0
3-9Marshall (43.0)CUSAN62-73L0%0.0