Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Southern Mississippi   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Southern Mississippi

Conference:CUSA
Expected RPI:112.8
Current RPI:113
Expected SOS:138
Current Record:16-13
Expected Record:16-13
Current Conf Record:10-9
Expected Conf Record:10-9
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:12-2
Current OOC Record:6-4
Expected OOC Record:6-4
Expected OOC RPI:127
Expected OOC SOS:220


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
16-1355.17%112.8100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Southern Mississippi.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Louisiana Lafayette (245.4)SBA79-72W100%0.0
11-21Montana St. (200.5)BSkyA66-62W100%0.0
12-5Mississippi (59.5)SECA79-81L0%0.0
12-12South Alabama (209.4)SBA66-54W100%0.0
12-15Louisiana Lafayette (245.4)SBH71-53W100%0.0
12-21New Orleans (323.2)SBN78-58W100%0.0
12-22Canisius (205.0)MAACN56-59L0%0.0
12-23North Florida (236.1)ASunN46-53L0%0.0
1-2Vanderbilt (19.5)SECA46-82L0%0.0
1-5Marshall (67.3)CUSAA63-76L0%0.0
1-9Memphis (56.3)CUSAH57-59L0%0.0
1-12Cal St. Bakersfield (317.0)indH81-65W100%0.0
1-16Texas El Paso (32.8)CUSAA49-56L0%0.0
1-20UAB (45.3)CUSAA56-57L0%0.0
1-23East Carolina (230.2)CUSAH68-53W100%0.0
1-30Tulane (281.1)CUSAA58-40W100%0.0
2-2Southern Methodist (208.1)CUSAH56-53W100%0.0
2-6Houston (126.1)CUSAA57-55W100%0.0
2-10Tulsa (66.5)CUSAA52-60L0%0.0
2-13Rice (311.0)CUSAH66-50W100%0.0
2-17UAB (45.3)CUSAH54-59L0%0.0
2-20Central Florida (189.5)CUSAH68-58W100%0.0
2-24Texas El Paso (32.8)CUSAH56-59L0%0.0
2-27Memphis (56.3)CUSAA69-76L0%0.0
3-2Tulane (281.1)CUSAH66-57W100%0.0
3-6East Carolina (230.2)CUSAA75-65W100%0.0
3-10Tulane (281.1)CUSAN57-47W100%0.0
3-11UAB (45.3)CUSAN58-44W100%0.0
3-12Houston (126.1)CUSAN66-74L0%0.0